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Ian Brown. Polar Programme. Keith Finlayson. Knowlege Technologies. Does CEON want to be relevant to policy formulation?. Decision Technologies. ”Allocation of scarce resources for maximal returns”. ”Knowlege for it’s own sake”. This is – or should be - the policy domain
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Ian Brown Polar Programme Keith Finlayson
Knowlege Technologies Does CEON want to be relevant to policy formulation? Decision Technologies ”Allocation of scarce resources for maximal returns” ”Knowlege for it’s own sake” • This is – or should be - the policy domain • Acknowleges uncertainty and value differences/conflict • Requires Valutation Technologies to determine best course of action from multiple options IPCC AC/AMAP Assessments ACIA AHDR Ref.: Prof Jack Dowie, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine ”Research implications of science-informed, value-based decision making” – in preparation 2003
GMES Earth Observation in the North The Northern View Services The Northern View Team Involvement of End-Users Overview
Global Monitoring for the Environment and Security A program of the European Space Agency and the European Commission The GMES Services Element is funded at 80 million Euros. The Service Consolidation Phase (Part 1) is funded at 15 million Euros. The Northern View project is funded at 1.5 million Euros. GMES
Remote sensing is often the only cost effective and technically feasible means of obtaining information: Extent Isolation Harsh Environment Modern sensors can provide types of information that are not available from other sources, but have to be seen as complimentary to ground-based techonologies. CEON makes sense for NV! Earth Observation in the North
Short-Term Oil spills and discharge monitoring Glacier and snow cover monitoring Sea ice monitoring Iceberg monitoring Long-Term Work with end-users to identify and fulfill their needs for northern information The Northern View Services
C-CORE Hickling Arthurs Low ESYS Noetix Alfred Wegner Institute Canada Centre for Remote Sensing Cryosphere System in Canada Helsinki University of Technology Stockholm University University of Bonn Uppsala University MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates Canadian Ice Service Finnish Institute of Marine Research Danish Meteorological Institute Norwegian Meteorological Institute Radarsat International Canada Polar Commission Climate and Cryosphere (CliC) Environment Canada Grid-Arendal (UNEP) International Ice Patrol Norwegian Water and Energy Directorate International Arctic Science Committee The Northern View Team The Northern View is working in close cooperation with the GMES ICEMON team led by Norway. ICEMON is concerned particularly with ice monitoring.
Near real-time Ice Mapping and Monitoring • Ice Monitoring Services during the winter season (SAR: Radarsat, Envisat) • US National Ice Center (NIC) • Norway (Svalbard) – in development • Baltic Sea (Sweden & Finland) • Denmark (Greenland) • Icebreaker and/or other category vessel navigation and operations • Customer benefit-costs analysis has lead to operational changes • Monitoring of the Arctic for global climate applications • Integrated use Tromsø+Svalbard, gives extended coverage Source: Kongsberg Satellite Services
Glacier monitoring and modelling: Potential direct solar radiation (W m3)
Contribution to the identification of user needs, infrastructure requirements, and service delivery options. Access to EO data interpretation services at significantly reduced costs. Access to Training. Participation in trials & demonstrations. Northern policy makers will thus have better information for decision making. Involvement of End-Users
Land Monitoring Polar Programme
Eco-system Management ECORA Conserving Biodiversity and Minimizing Habitat Fragmentation in the Russian Arctic • Focus on Russian Arctic • 5 year project funded by Global Environment Facility and Arctic countries • 3 Model Areas selected: • Kolguev Island • Beringovsky District • Kolyma River Basin • Establish baselines; develop management regimes and implement; track progress • Extend to other areas of Russian Arctic • Key Project Partners: • Russian Ministry of Natural Resources • CAFF • Research teams Polar Programme
ECORA: Kolguev Island • Increased pressure from oil/gas development on ecosystems and aboriginal communities • Baseline information in support of development of integrated ecosystem management strategies in Northern Russia (ECORA Project): • Land cover • Habitat type • Habitat fragmentation • Infrastructure Polar Programme
Modelling Impacts Polar Programme
GLOBIO: Southeastern Tibet • Watersheds in the area are the origin of major Asian rivers, providing water to half the World’s population • Increasing pressure from logging and mining activities threatens integrity of watersheds: pollution, erosion, flooding • Generation of “hot spot” imagery and change maps showing key area before and after deforestation • Model scenario generation under differing policy regimes to guide decision-makers Polar Programme
Satellite Time-series Archive • Time series satellite images illustrating e.g. changes in landcover, infrastructure, pollution plumes; accompanied by ground truthing; development of methodologies into ”standard services” • Applications to eco-system management • Imagery of protected areas coupled with a GAP analysis of vulnerable ecosystems. • Links to ground-based networks not just optional, but critical Polar Programme