The Environment, Green Growth & Agriculture Horsens , Denmark, 5 June 2012

1. The Environment, Green Growth & Agriculture Horsens, Denmark, 5 June 2012 Simon Upton DirectorOECD Environment Directorate For more information, see www.oecd.org/greengrowth

2. Linking economy and environment Population & demographics Capital supply Natural resources Economic growth Energy efficiency Yield efficiency Fuel prices Energy use Land use Bioenergy Local air pollution(under construction) GHG emissions Deforestation Health & environment Water stress & water quality Biodiversity Climate change

3. Environmental State and Pressures CO2 concentrations 3 - 6°C by 2100 450 ppm Source: OECD (2012), OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050, Baseline projection using IMAGE model suite

4. Greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture Source: Environmental Outlook to 2050, projections from ENV-Linkages model

5. Environmental Outlook to 2050: Water Global water demand: Baseline scenario, 2000 and 2050 +140% +400% +130% Source: OECD Environmental Outlook Baseline; output from IMAGE

6. Environmental Outlook to 2050: Nitrogen Balance Nitrogen surpluses per hectare from agriculture: 1970-2050 Source: OECD Environmental Outlook Baseline; output from IMAGE

7. Environmental Outlook to 2050: Water Source: OECD Environmental Outlook Baseline; output from IMAGE

8. Environmental Outlook to 2050: Biodiversity Effects of different pressures on terrestrial MSA: Baseline, 2010 to 2050 Source: OECD Environmental Outlook Baseline; output from IMAGE

9. Challenges are so big that we can’t afford expensive solutions

10. Environmental Outlook to 2050: What policies do we need? • Make pollution more costly • Value and price the natural assets and ecosystem services • Remove environmentally harmful subsidies • Devise effective regulations and standards • Encourage green innovation Source: OECD Environmental Outlook Baseline; output from IMAGE

11. Israeli freshwater use (2009)a Or latest available year Source: OECD, Environment Directorate.

12. Agricultural output value per m3 of water used for irrigation Real agricultural freshwater price (deflated by the consumer price index) Israeli economic efficiency of agricultural water use, 1986-2008 Source: OECD (2010), OECD Review of Agricultural Policies: Israel, 2010 .

13. Israeli Patents in selected environment & climate-related technologies Patent counts are based on the priority date, the inventor’s country of residence and use fractional counts on PCT filings at international phase (EPO designations). Source: OECD (2011), OECD Patent Statistics Database; OECD, Environment Directorate.

14. Inventive Activity in Solid Waste Management in Germany Landfilling Law Packaging Waste Recycling Law EPR Law Mandatory Waste Recovery Note: The Figure shows the number of patent applications filed under the Patent Co-operation Treaty. Source: OECD Patent Statistics Database; OECD Indicator of Environmental Technologies.

15. What you don’t know can hurt you www.oecd.org/environment/outlookto2050

16. Thank you For more information, see www.oecd.org/greengrowth