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POPULATION CYCLES. I. WHAT IS A CYCLE?. A. The Concept of Cycles multiannual fluctuations that occur with some regularity (periodicity). CYCLE CHARACTERISTICS. MORE CHARACTERISTICS OF CYCLES. Regional synchrony in fluctuations of coexisting species, Summer crashes in abundance
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I. WHAT IS A CYCLE? A. The Concept of Cycles • multiannual fluctuations that occur with some regularity (periodicity)
MORE CHARACTERISTICS OF CYCLES • Regional synchrony in fluctuations of coexisting species, • Summer crashes in abundance • A gradual disappearance of cycles southward
I. WHAT IS A CYCLE? B. Cycles and Body Size • Biological times scale as : • nerve conduction time • cardiac cycle time • respiratory cycle time • generation time • lifespan
I. WHAT IS A CYCLE? B. Cycles and Body Size
I. WHAT IS A CYCLE? D. Longer-Period Cycles: Hares • period of 9-10 years • amplitude of 15-200 fold
I. WHAT IS A CYCLE? D. Longer-Period Cycles: Hares • period of 9-10 years • amplitude of 15-200 fold
I. WHAT IS A CYCLE? D. Longer-Period Cycles: Hares • Coincident cyclic species animaldiversity.ummz.umich.edu www.arttoday.com www.aquatic.uoguelph.ca
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES • Archbishop Olaus Magnus and Lemmings
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES • Archbishop Olaus Magnus and Lemmings • Intrinsic Versus Extrinsic factors
Some Theories 1) Chitty’s Hypothesis - NS 2) Social Fence Hypothesis - Social behavior
Competition increases: tolerants stay but low fertility Pop size decreasing = emmigration & fertility Pop Size increases Animals spaced out & competition reduced
Some Theories 3) Climate - indirect/direct
Some Theories 4) Nodal Lunar Cycles & Sun Spots - 9.3 yr phase of moon = full moon during spring breeding - 11 yr periodicity on sun spots
Some Theories 5) Trophic-Level Interactions * plant-herbivore * predator-prey * parasite-host * seasonality * predator switching
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES A. Increase Phase • high fertility rate • low mortality rate • young age structure • large litters • early age at first reproduction • few predators
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES B. Peak Phase • fertility rate declines • hares: decline in quality and quantity of food
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES B. Peak Phase • fertility rate declines • voles and lemmings: social factors
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES C. Decline Phase • low fertility rates • high mortality rates • old age structure
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES C. Decline Phase • Role of food quality • Proteinase inhibitors • common plant toxin • pancreatic enlargement • build up during peak and year 1 decline phase
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES • Proteinase inhibitors could cause: • drastic declines in herbivore density • changes in body size and organ mass • the high degree of synchrony in fluctuations
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES C. Decline Phase • Role of food quality • Reversion to juvenility • woody plants and winter browsing by hares • juvenile defenses • time lags of 2-3 years
Winter Dormant Twigs of Alaska Paper Birch (B. neoalaskana) Mature Stage Juvenile Stage Note Catkin And The Lack Of Resin Glands Note Resin Glands
Results of B. neoalaskana Mature Vs. Juvenile Feeding Trial Juvenile Stage Twigs Note That These Twigs Do Not Have Catkins At Their Tip. Mature Stage Twigs
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES C. Decline Phase • Role of predators • Direct effects on vital rates
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES C. Decline Phase: Role of Predators • Direct effects on vital rates • voles and buffer prey • buffer prey promote stability www.abdn.ac.uk
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES • Indirect effects of predators • Example: Bank Vole
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES • Indirect effects of predators www.abdn.ac.uk
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES • Indirect effects of predators • diurnal raptors and indoor plumbing by lemmings • birds of prey detect UV light • tundra = vulnerable lemmings • underground latrines in summer European kestrel Collared lemming www.goals.com
II. A GENERAL THEORY OF POPULATION CYCLES C. Decline and Low Phase • Interaction of Food and Predators • >2-3x when food added or predators removed • >11x when food added and predators removed