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What Can Wind Do for Energy Security?

Explore the role of wind power in addressing energy security concerns, including risks, benefits, and its potential impact on energy mix portfolios. Learn about challenges such as supply source concentration and social acceptance.

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What Can Wind Do for Energy Security?

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  1. What Can Wind Do for Energy Security? Hisashi Hoshi The Institute of Energy Economics, Japan Quantum Leap in Wind :Overcoming Challenges and Building Momentum in Asia Manila, 20-21 June 2011

  2. Energy Insecurity of Japan(Contingent Risks Experienced) • On and after March 11 • Blackout • Cutoffs of water and gas supply • No Oil : Gasoline, Diesel, Heating Kerosene • Summer 2011 • All-out effort to avoid power shortage in the midst of nuclear disaster

  3. TEPCO on Alert (Source :TEPCO Homepage)

  4. Energy Insecurity of Japan (Structural Risks, Additional) • Unpredictable Nuclear Power Outlook • 14 Planned units by 2030 in Question • Local authorities’ resistance to restart of idle reactors.

  5. Mtoe 8,000 6,000 7% 18% 4,000 China India Japan Japan Korea Taiwan Indonesia India Malaysia Philippines 13% Thailand Vietnam Singapore Hong Kong 12% 2,000 Other Asia 51% China 51% 0 1971 1980 1990 2000 2008 2020 2030 2035 Growing China and India Primary Energy Demand (Asia) (Source:IEEJ)

  6. Vulnerable Asia Supply and Demand of Oil in Asia Mtoe . 2,500 Demand Production Net import 1,901 2,000 1,720 1,548 1,500 1,380 1,353 1,067 990 1,000 695 612 479 500 390 372 367 353 304 308 250 229 0 1980 1990 2008 2020 2030 2035 (Source:IEEJ)

  7. More Renewables! • Japan (1974) CSP (Sunshine Program) • Brazil (1981) Bioethanol • China (2006) Renewable Energy Law • Japan (2011) “Rooftop PV on 10 mil. houses”

  8. Does Wind work for Energy Security? • Risks to address • Physical Shortage • Concentration of supply source • Transportation (chokepoint) • Geopolitical instability • Energy mix portfolio • Price volatility

  9. Does Wind work for Energy Security? • Some drawbacks of wind power • Variability • Distance from Demand Centre • Social Acceptance

  10. Social Acceptance Ugly Beautiful

  11. Conclusion • While Energy Security must be achieved through multiple measures, RE including wind power will best serve the end. • Wind Power has its drawbacks. But they are surmountable, and tolerable if benefits are considered.

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