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Getting Your Head Out of the Box. Roberta B. Ness, MD, MPH Dean M. David Low Chair in Public Health. “Imagination rules the world.” (Napoleon Bonaparte).
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Getting Your Head Out of the Box Roberta B. Ness, MD, MPH Dean M. David Low Chair in Public Health
“Imagination rules the world.” (Napoleon Bonaparte)
“This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us” (Western Union internal memo 1876)
Definition of innovation: To introduce something different or novel Sun deprived village in Italian Alps gets ‘sun mirror.” A novel solution to fix the problem: A giant mirror which reflects the sun into the village square
Definition of lateral thinking: Thinking that seeks new ways of looking at a problem rather than proceeding by logical steps
DeBono provides tools to jump outside the box of normal patterns of thinking: A B A B
Purpose is to come up with new, innovative ideas that have not previously been considered
DeBono: “Thinking is a skill …no different from any other skill and we can get better at the skill of thinking if we have the will to do so.”
Have you ever taken a course in “Thinking”? • Do any other SPHs teach a course in Thinking? • A: only one other of >40 accredited schools
Schools teach information. • Thinking is the method, not the content.
Flexibility and novelty: think in different ways and make new connections across categories
The airline ticket agent was asked why there was a mistletoe hanging over the luggage conveyer belt. His response: “So you can kiss your bags goodbye.”
What is the one thing that all wise men, regardless of their religion or politics, agree is between heaven and earth? Answer: and
Gary and Nancy are lying on the floor dead. Around them is a puddle of water and some broken glass. What are the circumstances of their death?
Answer: They are fish and their fish tank broke – thus they suffocated.
E.g.: Association • How is a matchbox like a marriage?
Etiologic Hypotheses • Ovulation hypothesis: Ovulation exposes ovarian epithelium to minor trauma which allows promotion of cells containing allele loss. • Pituitary gonadotropin hormone hypothesis: High gonadotropin levels have direct toxic effect.
Gonadotropin Hypothesis Pro Parity Breastfeeding OC use Con Fertility drugs Prospective measures HRT
? Ovulation Involves Inflammation Parity Breastfeeding Oral contraceptive use Reduced Ovarian Cancer Risk
Ovulation Elevates Inflammation Mediators • TNF, IL-6, IL-1 • Cell proliferation • Oxidative stress • Prostaglandins and leukotrienes • Vascular permeability
Aspirin Use Risk 1.0 0.90.9 0.75 X X X 0.7 0.6 0.5 X X X Tzonou Cramer Rosenberg Tavani Akhmedkhanov Moysich 1984 1998 2000 2000 2001 2001
Fluency: generate lots of new ideas – rapidity of new idea generation
E.g.: Plus-Minus-Alternatives • Looking at a problem from all sides
PO: Fat people get paid more. • Defend this idea to get movement away from a normal judgmental attitude. Stepping Stone Method: de Bono’s Thinking Course
PO: Restaurants do not serve food. Escape Methods: de Bono’s Thinking Course
E.g.: Thinking Backward • Start at the end and get to the beginning
Complexity: Keeping multiple constructs in mind while coming to solutions
Complex Methods • Predictive • Provide a framework for what is known and unknown • Parameters can be specified even when based on “best guesses” • Incorporate known feedbacks • Clinic epidemiology uses induction to relate a single risk factor to a single outcome. HOWEVER, this approach… • Doesn’t envision new exposures • Doesn’t suggest interactions • Doesn’t help evaluate multiple exposures
Knowledge: Stepping stone of creativity is knowing what to innovate from
Creative thinkers are: • Internally motivated • Tolerant of ambiguity and adaptive • Willing to take risks • Self-confident • Perseverant • Intuitive • Able to delay gratification
Creative thinkers can think heuristically (making speculative jumps as a guide to solution of a problem) rather than step-by-step
“Trust yourself. Your perceptions are often far more accurate than you are willing to believe.” (Claudia Black)
“Blessed are the flexible for they shall not be bent out of shape.” (Anonymous)