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Chapter 19. Exchange Rate Policy and the Central Bank. Linking Exchange Rate Policy with Domestic Monetary Policy. When capital flows freely across a country's borders, a fixed exchange rate means giving up domestic monetary policy. Linking Exchange Rate Policy with Domestic Monetary Policy.
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Chapter 19 Exchange Rate Policy and the Central Bank
Linking Exchange Rate Policy with Domestic Monetary Policy • When capital flows freely across a country's borders, a fixed exchange rate means giving up domestic monetary policy.
Linking Exchange Rate Policy with Domestic Monetary Policy • Purchasing Power Parity • In the long run, changes in the exchange rate are tied to differences in inflation. • The central bank must choose between a fixed exchange rate and an independent inflation policy; it cannot have both.
Linking Exchange Rate Policy with Domestic Monetary Policy • Percentage Change in the Number of Pesos per Dollar= U.S. Inflation – Mexican Inflation
Linking Exchange Rate Policy with Domestic Monetary Policy • With Fixed Exchange Rates: if = i
Linking Exchange Rate Policy with Domestic Monetary Policy • Capital Controls and the Policymakers’ Choice • A country cannot • Be open to international capital flows, • Control its domestic interest rate, and • Fix its exchange rate. • Policymakers must choose two of these three options.
The Mechanics of Exchange Rate Management • The decision to control the exchange rate means giving up control of the size of reserves, so that the market determines the interest rate.
The Mechanics of Exchange Rate Management • A foreign exchange intervention has the same impact on reserves as a domestic open market operation.
The Mechanics of Exchange Rate Management • A foreign exchange intervention affects the value of a country's currency by changing domestic interest rates • Any central bank policy that influences the domestic interest rate will affect the exchange rate
The Mechanics of Exchange Rate Management • An intervention is unsterilized if it changes the monetary base and sterilized if it does not change the monetary base.
The Costs, Benefits, and Risks of Fixed Exchange Rates A country will be better off fixing its exchange rate if it has: • A poor reputation for controlling inflation on its own; • An economy that is well integrated with the one to whose currency the rate is fixed, trading significantly with it and sharing similar macroeconomic characteristics; and • A high level of foreign exchange reserves.
Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes • Exchange Rate Pegs and the Bretton Woods System • International Monetary Fund (IMF). • Hard Pegs: Currency Boards and Dollarization
Chapter 19 End of Chapter