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Renewable Energy Workshop

Renewable Energy Workshop. What’s Driving the Shift To Renewable Energy ?. The Global Picture. Global System “Everything is Connected to Everything Else”. Biodiversity. Business. Water. Population. Land - Food. Poverty-Wealth. Sustainability. Energy. Technology. Globalization.

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Renewable Energy Workshop

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  1. Renewable EnergyWorkshop What’s Driving the Shift To Renewable Energy ?

  2. The Global Picture

  3. Global System“Everything is Connected to Everything Else” Biodiversity Business Water Population Land - Food Poverty-Wealth Sustainability Energy Technology Globalization Human Health Climate Change

  4. It is a Complex Puzzle Climate Change Population Increase False Sense of Security ! “A Stressor” Demands on Ecosystem Energy (Heat, Light, Travel) Water (Life, Fun, Waste) Land (Food, Factories, Families) Overuse & Abuse Law of the Commons Energy Depletion & Air Pollution Biodiversity Shift Water Pollution/Depletion Land Abuse/Fragmentation Bio-Trend Systems Inc.

  5. Law of the Commons System Stress Limited Resources • Energy • Water • Food • Habitat Planetary System Who falls off the Train ? Those Who Fail to Seek and Capture Opportunities through Continuous Learning Bio-Trend Systems Inc.

  6. Knowledge Can Change Everything!! The Benefit to Companies and Communities + Being well prepared and positively positioned to change threats to opportunities…. Don’t Blink Opportunity Moves Quickly ! Bio-Trend Systems Inc.

  7. Global Threats • Climate Change • Population • Energy Status

  8. Climate Change

  9. Global Climate Change++++++++++“A Legacy of Progress” “During the past 20,000 years, a 5 to 6C change in temperature dramatically altered regional distribution of forests, prairies and wetlands…. The past 150 years has witnessed the 1st, and now the 2nd, Industrial Revolution During the next 75 years, or less, we may be facing temperature increases in Ontario that equal or eclipse these levels – our thirst for the fossil fuels and what they provide is contributing significantly to this situation.

  10. CO2 Rise & Temperature - 2000 CO 2 Temperature oC 60 ppm increase In 50 Years 1.8 oF increase globally A Disconcerting Trend  Rate of CO2 Increase 1950 – 1990  1.0 ppm 1990 – 2000  1.8 ppm 2001 – 2005  3.0 ppm

  11. Climate in OntarioIn Just 35 – 55 Years ?! Boreal 7.2 – 9.0°F Great Lakes St. Lawrence 5.4 – 7.2°F Oak-Hickory or Prairie ? 3.6 – 5.4°F

  12. Implications of System Stress • Climate-induced changes, particularly over a short time frame, represent a significant stress – one that is likely to be expressed by significant mortality of species incapable of relatively rapid adjustment • Stress pre-disposes the terrestrial systems to attack by insects, disease and/or fire.

  13. Stress is Cumulative, and Once Stressed,a System is More Vulnerable to Subsequent Stress Drought Insect Attack Death Fungus Attack

  14. Population

  15. Population Global Population doubled in 40 years, will it double again by 2050 ?? Additional Tid-Bits • Even if birth rate declines the net affect is upward due to: • life expectancy  today’s baby girl • “fix your body” technology • China + India = 2,500,000,000 Growth = 1.2% / year. So? ? Impact on Finite Resources “Energy” Bio-Trend Systems Inc.

  16. Energy

  17. World Oil Production 1930-2050Cheap Oil is Going…Going…. Not include: shale oil , tar sands, extra heavy oils, deep ocean drilling, etc. 70 Mean-Case Scenario Rate of decline is based on past post-peak declines 60 Rate of increase is tied to population and industrialization 50 Global Peak Millions of Barrels / Day 40 30 20 U.S. Peaked Kuwait To Peak 10 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050

  18. How Long Will it Really Last ?? Peak Time Population Since Oil  2 to 6 billion “1st Trillion Gone” Population Next 40 Years  6 to 9 billion “ Remaining Trillion ???” Plus Industrialization of China, India & Others Not include: shale oil , tar sands, extra heavy oils, deep ocean drilling etc.

  19. So, Is The Party Over ? Ole Saudi Proverb My father rode a camel I drove a car My grandson will ride a camel My son fly’s a jet

  20. What About The Tar Sands ? Energy Choices plus 25% of Alberta’s fresh water supply ! 20% of Canada’s Natural Gas is used to extract tar sands oil !! Solar 1% Petroleum 30% Natural Gas 24% Wood 38% Global “Cheap” Peak is Close Depletion Imminent Alcohol Fuel 1% Waste 8% Renewal Energy 7% ? Wind 1% $ & Fear Dirty Stuff Conventional Hydroelectric 46% Coal 23% Nuclear Electric Power 8% 5 Million Chinese work in 25,000 coal mines  70% of the Energy Geothermal 2%

  21. Renewable Energy in Ontario“Growing the Percent of Renewable (& Recyclable) Options” Biofuels What’s the Strategy ?? Wind On-Shore Tide & Wave Wind Off-Shore Geothermal – Heat Energy Required Geothermal – Electric Biomass/Biogas - Heat Biomass/Biogas - Electric Solar Heat Solar Electric Micro-Hydro 2005 2020 Bio-Trend Systems Inc.

  22. So, are “WE” Ready to Change ?

  23. Top Oil Consumers“ Where Does Canada Sit” ? Millions of Barrels per Day But! Per capita Canada is 3rd

  24. North American Culture For Energy Not Conservation Friendly Motivated to Change…??? More Efficient Less Dispersed Urban Sprawl Greener Bio-Trend Systems Inc.

  25. We are Not Afraid of a ChallengeandWe are Creative !!! There’s Plenty of Oil ! What Oil Peak ? The North American Compromise Bio-Trend Systems Inc.

  26. Making it Work Expert Team Team Preparedness Team Due Diligence Business Development Business Management Project Financing Markets & Marketing Biomass Procurement Permitting/Regulations Mechanical Engineer Chemical Engineer Biology/Ecology Etc…… • Assets & Infrastructure • Taxes and Incentives • Municipal Zoning • Relevant Resources • NIMBY Concerns • Sector-Specific Attributes • Bio-Energy • Remediation • Liaison Services • Etc…….. • You are the Local Expert • Due Diligence • Business Acumen • Markets • Supply • Technology/Product • Financing • Competitors • Credibility & Trust • Etc…… Prepare – Position – Promote Bio-Trend Systems Inc.

  27. Parting Messages • Energy demand will trump supply – Prices will rise • Environmental consequences of Fossil Fuels are unacceptable • Threats can be Opportunities – SME’s can Thrive and help mitigate price increases • Learning Teams (Communities of Practice) are Essential for residential/farm cooperatives, companies and communities • Conserve 1st - You Get the Biggest Bank for Your Buck

  28. Parting Messages • Explore cooperative ventures  Optimize Your Energy Solution • Employ Integrated Renewable Energy Systems • Focus on Renewables and Recyclables • Accommodate and Enable Small Business Development • Be progressive, patient, practical and persistent

  29. A New Day has Come ! Selected Readings • Boom, Bust & Echo. David K Foot • Weather Makers. Tim Flannery • ZOOM. Iain Carson & V.V. Vaitheeswaran • A Thousand Barrels A Second. Peter • Tertzakian • Why Mexicans Don’t Drink Molson. • Andrea Mandel-Cambell • 6. Fueling the Future. Heintzman • 7. The Long Emergency. James Kunstler • 8. Dry Spring. Chris Wood

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