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Enhanced Weather Forecast Office (WFOs) Services

National Weather Service Eastern Region Activities Fred McMullen Regional Aviation Meteorologist Eastern Region Headquarters. Enhanced Weather Forecast Office (WFOs) Services. Routine three hour TAFs at all OEP airports in the east

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Enhanced Weather Forecast Office (WFOs) Services

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  1. National Weather ServiceEastern Region Activities Fred McMullenRegional Aviation Meteorologist Eastern Region Headquarters

  2. Enhanced Weather Forecast Office (WFOs) Services • Routine three hour TAFs at all OEP airports in the east • WFOs New York and Philadelphia in the 1015Z CCFP chat again for 2010 • Nine WFOs implemented CAC

  3. Aviation Climate http://www.erh.noaa.gov/avnclimo

  4. Aviation Climate • Monthly wind roses • Ceiling histogram • Visibility histogram • Cig / Vis histogram

  5. JFK Runway Closure • Hourly winds in AFD • 1030am telcon

  6. TRACON Support • Tactical Decision Aids • N90, PHL, CLE, DTW, PCT • Key points through Cleveland Center’s airspace

  7. CWSU Websites www.erh.noaa.gov/zny www.erh.noaa.gov/zdc www.erh.noaa.gov/zob www.erh.noaa.gov/zbw

  8. TAF Review TAFs are written to the ASOS / METAR. Pilots use ADAS VC 5-10SM 5-1 KJFK 0-5SM 5-10SM Vicinity = A donut-shaped area between circles with radii of 5 and 10 SM from the center of the runway complex of an airport.

  9. NY Aviation Demonstration • NYC Weather bulletin www.erh.noaa.gov/zny

  10. Verification NY Aviation Demonstration • Probability of Detection (POD): IFR and lower • 2008 0.70 • 2009 0.78 • 11% improvement! • False Alarm Rate (FAR): IFR and lower • 2008 0.35 • 2009 0.28 • 20% improvement! • National metrics: 0.64 POD / 0.43 FAR

  11. VerificationNY Aviation Demonstration • Wind Speed Improvement • 13-17 knots 4% improvement • 18-22 knots 9% improvement • 23-27 knots 38% improvement • 28-32 knots 52% improvement • Wind Direction Improvement • N 2% SE 1% • NE 26% W 4% • E 40% NW 17% • Overall 10%

  12. Future Items • NY Aviation Outlook? • Outlook at other high impact terminals? • Anything else?

  13. Open Discussion Topics • Greatest value products? • Other possible services? • Adjustments to current services? • Things you would like to have, but do not?

  14. The End

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