Developing a Sustainable Communities Strategy For the Bay Area Ezra Rapport, ABAG Executive Director Steve Heminger, MTC

1. Developing a Sustainable Communities StrategyFor the Bay Area Ezra Rapport, ABAG Executive Director Steve Heminger, MTC Executive Director

2. AB 32 Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 • AB 32 establishes the first comprehensive program of regulatory and market mechanisms in the nation to achieve greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions • AB 32 sets GHG emissions limit for 2020 at 1990 level • Acknowledges that 2020 is not the endpoint • Points way towards 80% reduction by 2050 • Air Resources Board (ARB) adopted a Scoping Plan to achieve AB 32’s GHG emissions reduction target

3. California’s Three Pronged Approach to Reducing Transportation Greenhouse Gases(with AB 32 Scoping Plan estimates for GHG reductions in 2020) • Cleaner vehicles (Pavley, AB 32) - 38 tons • Cleaner fuels (Low-Carbon Fuel Standard) - 15 tons • More sustainable communities (SB 375) - 5 tons

4. SB 375 Basics • Directs ARB to develop passenger vehicle GHG reduction targets for CA’s 18 MPOs for 2020 and 2035 • Adds Sustainable Communities Strategy as new element to RTPs • Requires separate Alternative Planning Strategy if GHG targets not met • Provides CEQA streamlining incentives for projects consistent with SCS/APS • Coordinates RHNA with the regional transportation planning process

5. ARB Adopted GHG Targets — September 2010

6. Regional Job Projections Jobs in millions

7. Revised GHG Emission Reduction Estimates(% per capita - 2005 vs 2035) -2% 0% +2% -7% -10% T-2035 w/Proj 07 T-2035 w/Proj 11 T-2035 w/Proj 11 w/New Model w/HOT Backbone w/Increased tolls T-2035 w/Proj 09 Increase GHG Reductions per capita

8. Why Not Focus on Infrastructure?

9. Won’t Technology Save the Day?

10. Price Matters • Core Pricing:Driving is more expensive in the urban core with higher parking costs and bridge tolls

11. Location Matters Too • Growing Cooler:Compared to sprawl, compact development results in a 20 to 40 percent reduction in VMT and hence in CO2

12. Strategy for Growth • What this means: • The growth we are planning for over the next several decades will be very different from the outward expansion over the last few decades. • With the demands for environmental resource conservation and infrastructure efficiency, infill development with streamlined permitting and financial support will be primary strategies.

13. Current Regional Plans

14. Building on an Existing Framework • The region already has a local-regional partnership to support growth in sustainable Priority Development Areas and to protect important natural resources identified as Priority Conservation Areas. • SB 375 is structured as a voluntary, incentive-based program.

15. Priority Development Areas

16. Resources to Local Government Are Key • State and regional capital grants • New federal funding models(e.g. joint HUD/DOT/EPA programs) • Self-help tools(e.g. value-capture such as tax increment financing)

17. CARB Targets RTAC Implementing SB 375 Ain’t Easy Housing Elements RHNA Planning SCS Interaction/Iteration CEQA Assistance RTP InvestmentPlan APS Modeling

18. Changes In Attitude and BehaviorAre Essential • Breakthroughs are possible!