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BOCES Sustainability 2011

BOCES Sustainability 2011. Is “it” sustainable? Is “it” worth keeping? If yes, then how?. Three Defining Questions. Environmental Context. Moreover, Education PAYS!. http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_chart_001.htm. But the Economy is Stalled. Tax Cap Comparison – NY vs. MA.

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BOCES Sustainability 2011

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  1. BOCES Sustainability 2011

  2. Is “it” sustainable? Is “it” worth keeping? If yes, then how? Three Defining Questions

  3. Environmental Context

  4. Moreover, Education PAYS! http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_chart_001.htm

  5. But the Economy is Stalled

  6. Tax Cap Comparison – NY vs. MA

  7. $15 billion deficit in 5 years Even though “education pays”, caps on state and local revenue will mean schools have fewer resources and cannot sustaincurrent levels of investment.

  8. One BOCES’ Example

  9. Enrollment is Dropping

  10. Yet Few Schools are Closing

  11. “Prime Earners” LOST “Early Career Earners” GAINED

  12. The Long Island Regional Economy Income Loss vs. State Average & Lower Hudson In 12 years, Long Island’s income dropped from 38% above the state average to just 11% above.

  13. Yet -- Median Salaries Stay High

  14. Economic Downturn: Long Island Education context

  15. LI Education 2011-12Staff Eliminated/Excessed(N = 114 Districts) (Other: T. Assts., T. Aides, Clerical, Custodial, Maintenance) Source: LIEC Budget Impact Survey 2011-12 (preliminary results as of 9/19/11) Note: Data for Little Flower, New Suffolk, Wainscott, not included in wealth group breakdown.

  16. LI Education 2011-12What We’ve Lost – Who Lost What(N = 114 Districts) Source: LIEC Budget Impact Survey 2011-12 (preliminary results as of 9/19/11)

  17. Districts as % of Services

  18. Major “Lines of Business”

  19. Two-year Change (Spending, not enrollment)

  20. Two-year Change (Spending, not enrollment) Alt. Ed.

  21. Top Growing Jobs through 2018 Career & Technical Education (CTE) • Network Systems • Personal Care Aides • Home Care Aides • Physical Therapy Aides • Medical Scientists • Pharmacy Technicians • Physical Therapy Assistants • Source: NYS Labor Department • Computer Network Technology • Nurse Assisting • Medical Assisting • Physical Therapy Aide • Medical Lab Technician • Pharmacy Technicians • Physical Therapy Aide • Source: Barry Tech Catalog Fastest Growing Jobs & CTE

  22. Grad Rates > Average 35%

  23. Grad Rates > Average

  24. Tax Cap Impact on Nassau BOCES

  25. Impact of the Tax CapScenario A(Flat Aid) Assumptions: 2.5 % rollover, same fund balance applied, 2% cap Sources: 2011-12 Legislative Budget State Aid includes Building Aid 2011-12 NYSED Property Tax Report Card

  26. NB Labor Cost Increases CONFIDENTIAL/SENSITIVEPlease don’t release these numbers or use this slide in its current form. This is provided only as a template for you to be able to perform a similar apples—apples comparison of labor cost increases due to pension and health increases. Or it can be used to do scenario planning for negotiations.

  27. Retiree Health Insurance & BOCES

  28. Administrative Cost

  29. Retirees Building Up

  30. Pressure Behind the Dam

  31. OPEB effect on Net Assets

  32. Opeb effect on A/O Budget • Sample of percentages • 60% - Jim L. • 40% - Tom R. • 50% - Chuck • 60% - Mark • 60% - Jackie • 54% - Jessica • Sample of issues • Growing faster than inflation or 2% • Can’t create reserves • RICs subsidize neighbors • Other cross-contracting issues

  33. Statewide BOCES Perspectives

  34. BOCES as % of all Spending

  35. BOCES as % of Spending by N/RC

  36. BOCES as % of spending by Decile

  37. BOCES spending & aid

  38. SWOT Analysis

  39. Strengths • High graduation rates: • CTE • Alt Ed. • Special Ed. • Strong Adult Ed. • Regional admin capacity • BOCES create service capacity  equity • Shared services = cost savings • Superintendent searches • Regional school improvement capacity • Prof. Dev. Capacity • Regents Reform Agenda capacity • New programs and services

  40. Weaknesses • Constant existential threats: • BOCES Aid • District Superintendent • Co-ser regulations • Competition with schools: • For students • For identity • For resources • Lack of understanding of what BOCES are • Rapid leadership turnover in some areas

  41. Opportunities • New programming models: • On-line learning • Regional High Schools • AP/IB/specialty • New non-instructional services: • Transportation • Central Business Office • HR, purchasing, etc. • Opportunities to help Big 5 (CTE) • Functional consolidation • Common core as common platform

  42. Threats - Where to begin???!!!! • Districts would rather cut our staff than theirs. • Discretionary budget shrinking under tax cap. • Hard to coordinate regional action • No way to spread overhead costs • Appears as “cost item” in district budgets • Costs increasing faster than 2% • Co-ser process not nimble, not aligned to RTTT/RRA • OPEB will overwhelm A/O • No true “business” model • Competition with local mom/pop business

  43. Around the Room Survey

  44. Around the Room Survey

  45. Is “it” sustainable? Is “it” worth keeping? If yes, then how? Three Defining Questions

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