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This meeting aims to prepare for a new working group on predictability, dynamics, and ensemble forecasting. The agenda includes discussions on scientific focus, membership, related research, and the role of TIGGE in supporting WWRP projects. The meeting will also review outcomes, decisions, and actions from previous meetings.
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Introduction slides for Joint GIFS-TIGGE/PDP Meeting Richard Swinbank, Masayuki Kyouda, Heini Wernli, Istvan Szunyogh Joint PDP & GIFS-TIGGE WG meeting World Meteorological Organization Headquarters, Geneva, Switzerland 19-20 March, 2014
Aims of the meeting • Prepare for new working group on Predictability, Dynamics & Ensemble Forecasting. • Agree Terms of Reference • Scientific foci • Links with other WGs • How best PDEF, TIGGE & TIGGE-LAM can support WWRP projects (particularly high-impact weather, polar prediction). • Membership • Related research. • TIGGE paper • T-NAWDEX • Predictability
AGENDA • Organisation of the meeting • Report and actions from previous meetings • Links with other WMO & WWRP groups • Research work • Plans for TIGGE and TIGGE-LAM developments • Plans for new PDEF working group • Terms of reference (co-chairs) • Possible future PDEF science projects / foci (all) • Membership • Any other business • Review of meeting outcomes, decisions and actions; next meeting
HI Weather project From Sarah Jones: • Two important functions of TIGGE-LAM: • TIGGE-LAM for specific RDPs/FDPs or field campaigns • Regular database for predictability studies • Our job is to tell HI Weather how they can use and benefit from TIGGE-LAM • (DAOS gave really helpful input) • Workshop in June in US. Likely GEOWOW side-meeting
Polar Prediction Project From Thomas Jung: • How can the PDP and GIFS-TIGGE working groups contribute to the PPP flagship themes (next slide) • Are there any volunteers from PDP or GIFS-TIGGE that are willing to review the draft YOPP implementation plan? • Interested in using TIGGE to support Polar Project, and discuss their requirements with us.
Polar Prediction ProjectFlagship Themes • Sea ice prediction • Explore predictability • Develop of coupled prediction systems • Linkages between polar regions and lower-latitudes • Determine mechanisms and strengths • Implications for predictions in middle latitudes • Improved availability of observations from polar regions • The Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP)