1 / 6

Chapter 7: Probability

Chapter 7: Probability. 7.1 Randomness, probability, and simulation. Deck of Cards. How many cards are in a deck? Four suites-spades, hearts, clubs, and diamonds-hearts and diamonds are red, clubs and spades are black 13 cards in each suite-ace, 2-10, jack, queen, king

idalee
Download Presentation

Chapter 7: Probability

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Chapter 7: Probability 7.1 Randomness, probability, and simulation

  2. Deck of Cards • How many cards are in a deck? • Four suites-spades, hearts, clubs, and diamonds-hearts and diamonds are red, clubs and spades are black • 13 cards in each suite-ace, 2-10, jack, queen, king • Total of 52 cards-we ignore the jokers • How many total outcomes?

  3. Deck of Cards

  4. Deck of Cards • What is the probability of getting an ace? Number of desirable outcomes Number of total outcomes • What is the probability of getting a heart? • What is the probability of getting a red? • What is the probability of getting a 9? • What is the probability of getting a 4 and then without replacing the card, drawing again and getting a king?

  5. Let’s Make ADeal • 3 Doors, behind one door is a prize, the other two are empty • Contestant picks one door, then game show host opens one of the other doors which is empty • The contestant has the option then to switch their choice of doors or stay with their original choice • What is the probability of getting a prize if the contestant stays with their original choice? • To check, let’s play “Let’s Make a Deal” to test what the probability is

  6. Myths about Probability • Probability does not change • Myth of short run regularity • Probability predicts over the long run not the short run • Myth of law of averages • Myth of the surprise meeting

More Related