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Nigeria. Key Institutions. 45 years of independence 16 year of it ruled by citizens Current rule 1999 Rest under military rule Under 6 different Generals Brutal and greedy Unstable Tendencies to fall apart Military waiting in the wings to take over. The U.S. Model.
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Key Institutions • 45 years of independence • 16 year of it ruled by citizens • Current rule 1999 • Rest under military rule • Under 6 different Generals • Brutal and greedy • Unstable • Tendencies to fall apart • Military waiting in the wings to take over
The U.S. Model • Progressively increases states • 12-36 states • Redraw map lines: ease ethnic issues • When violent occurs • Create a new state • Worked? There is less violence now
The U.S. Model • 1991: • Military dictator Ibrahim Babangida • Moved capital from Lagos to Abuja • Move to open the interior • Designated Federal Capital Territory • Costly and inefficient
The U.S. Model • British set them up under the Wesminster model • Includes a prime minister • One party winning maj. Of seats in Commons • Fragmented: easily get a vote of no confidence • 1979 constitution: looks more like U.S. • President can govern with or without support • Term limit: 2-four year terms • Olusegun Obasanjo • 1st president of Fourth Republic Election day
Branches of Government • The Executive • Most powerful political force • The Legislature • Tend to serve at the will of leader • The Judicial • Tend to serve at the will of the leader
The Executive • President is elected by popular vote • Head of state, government, and commander in chief • Four years terms (serve only two terms) • Perform • Ceremonial duties of leadership • Overseeing the day to day administration of the government • Coordinates and overseeing the country’s armed forces • Appoints government ministers (must come from all 36 states) • Federal Executive Committee (president and ministers) • Enact laws • Not allowed to serve in the National Assembly • Vice President • Assist president • Nominated by the presidential candidate
The National Assembly • Bicameral National Assembly • Senate: • 109 seats • Each 36 states = 3 representatives • One for the Federal Capital Territory • House of Representatives • 360 seats • 10 for each state • Represent single member districts • Both elected for four years terms at the same time • Pass laws • Either house can originate legislation • Must be passed by both house • Assented by the president
The National Assembly • Appeasement of smaller ethnic groups • Equal seats in both houses • Like U.S. having two senates • Danger is hyperfederalism: • A system that tries to hard to represent ethnic groups. • May lead to a country falling apart
Judiciary • Responsible for interpretation of the laws in accordance with the constitution • Supreme Court • Highest court of the land • Court of Appeal and Federal High Courts
Nigeria’s Parties • First parties were ethnically based • Did not reach out beyond ethnic group • Caused Ethnicizing and regionalizing the national process
Nigeria’s Parties • 2003 elections were flawed • Registration favored parties • Missing ballots • Stuffed boxes • Intimidation • See page 297 in your book
Nigeria’s Parties • “Two-party Plus” system • PDP (Peoples Democratic Party) • Centrist party • Personalistic vehicle of President Obasanjo • Well-organized and funded • Nationwide party • Draws votes from all ethnic groups (including Muslims) • Most Northern Muslims do not support (vote for relgionalist and Islamist parties)
Nigeria’s Parties • ANPP (All Nigeria Peoples Party) • Strongest following Mulsim North • Supported the dictatorship of Sani Abacha • AD (Alliance for Democracy) • Yoruba party • Southwest; • Other parties
State Government • Governor is elected by popular vote • Serve one four year term • Unicameral State House of Assembly • Popular elected representatives from local govt. areas. • Members = 3 times the number in House of representatives • 774 local governments • Deal with local administrative matters • Construction and maintenance of public roads
Military • Looms over like an intimidating shadow • Operate on behalf of sectarian interest in legislative process • Discipline organization • Capacity to make decision • National in character • People of all regions • ethnic groups • religious predilections • Representative of the people • Use to assume and keep power • Cleavages do exist and influence military officers in and out of power
Elections • Embraced by the victors; contested by the losers • Military officers • Bypassed elections • Choose to rely on guns and violence Mashood Abiola
Elections • 1999 and 2003 • Olesugen Abasanjo: wins 60% of votes • ANNP: Muhamad Buhari received 32% in 2003 • Five other parties • Only one received 3 percent of the votes; rest received less than 1 percent • Both contested legitimacy of elections • Abasanjo: led since 2003 and terms will end in 2007
Constitutions • Post World-War II colonial period • Series of constitutions • Offered self-rule and regional autonomy • Served to guide the content and to form and independent Nigeria • Suspended and rendered obsolete under military rule • Promised transitions back to civilian rule • Est. new ways to write the constitutions
Bureaucracy • Source of employment for large number of people • After independence • Replaced the British and Indians who dominated • Exacerbating north/south tensions
Bureaucracy • Problems: • Proliferation of states= grew rapidly • Oil revenue • Political instability • Lack of accountability • All leads to corruption • Hard to reverse!!!
1st Republic 1960-1966 • Adopted Westminster model • Northerners dominated government • Due to census in 1952-1953 • Turned into Northern only group • Northern People’s Congress (NPC) • Set out to redistribute resources • Political Policy “Northernization” • Conflict with south • Yoruba AG (Yoruba Action Group) • Igbo NCNC (National Convention of Nigerian Citizens formerly Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons) • Internal Western crisis = NPC seized opportunity to sub-divide the Western region • Diluted Yoruba power
1st Republic 1960-1966 • Violence escalated in the West • NPC engaged in extensive corruption • Fraudulent census • Falsified ballots in general elections • Widespread violence • Intimidation of supporters and candidates • Victory in 1965 • Absolute majority in parliament
1st Republic 1960-1966 • Approaching the Military • Nnamdi Asikiwe, NCNC leader and president • Tafawa Balewa, NPC prime minister • Both asked for support if violence broke out • Inadvertently gave military political power
Civil War and Military Rule:1966-1979 • Group of largely Igbo officers seize control • January 1966 • Aguiyi Ironsi, head of state )highest ranking officer • Aim was to end violence in Western region • Stop political corruption • Stop abuses of northern dominated government • Replaced federation with unitary state • Second coup • Killed General Ironsi; Yakubu Gowon, Middle Belt Christian
Civil War and Military Rule:1966-1979 • Igbo were persecuted in the north • Ethnic violence sent Igbo’s fleeing • 1967: • Igbo tried to secede to form own independent nation: Biafra • Believed that north lock other regions out of power • General Gowon built a military led govt. in rest of Nigeria
Civil War and Military Rule:1966-1979 • Three-year war • Starvation tactics • Attrition • Defeated Biafra by January 1970 • Heavy toll on Nigeria’s populace • Million deaths
Civil War and Military Rule:1966-1979 • Post-war • Gowon presides over policy of national reconciliation • Growing oil revenues • Break/dilute three major ethnic groups • Broke down in 12 states (19 states) • Increased the armed services from 10,000 to nearly 250,000 in 1970 • Corruption was widespread (oil boom) • Gowon opts not to return to civilian rule • Gowon was overthrown in 1975 by Murtala Muhammad
Civil War and Military Rule:1966-1979 • Murtala Muhammad • Committed to transition program • 1976 he was assassinated • General Olusegun Obasanjo • 2nd in command • Peacefully ceded power to elected civilian government in 1979 • Retired but later returned in 1999
Second and Third Republics1979-1999 • 1979-1983 • President Shehu Shagari • National Party of Nigeria (NPN) • Did little to reduce the mistrust between parts of the federation; stop corruption • Regional and ethnic polarization continued • Economy deteriorated rapidly • Four year • Fractional infighting • Weak leadership • Declining public services • Chronic economic mismanagement • Steady parade of corruption scandals • Growing political violence increased
Second and Third Republics1979-1999 • 1983: • NPN captures majority in state and national elections • Fraud • Violence • A few month later Major General Muhammadu Buhari seized power
Second and Third Republics1979-1999 • General Buhari • Refused to pledge rapid return to democratic rule • Failed to revive the economy • Popular support wavered • August 1985 General Ibrahim Babangida
Second and Third Republics1979-1999 • Ibrahim Babangida • Announced program transition to democratic rule • Stalling tactics were used to extend tenure in office • Annulled the presidential election in 1993 • SHOULD HAVE preceded full withdrawal of military • 1993 election • Claimed as fair • Despite military influence and limitation • Yoruba businessman Chief Moshood Abiola won
Second and Third Republics1979-1999 • Annulment provoke angry reactions from people • Postponed transitions • Lingering military rule • Deception of rulers • Ibrahim Babangida • Under pressures to resign • Hand picks successor: Ernest Shonekan
Second and Third Republics1979-1999 • General Sani Abacha • Defense minister • Seizes power in 1993 • Prolonged military dominance • Combines repression/public promises to restore constitutional democracy • Announced transition to civilian rule • Delayed steps • Cracked down on political opposition • Constricted civil liberties and political rights • Corruption at its best • Sudden Death in June 1998 • Saved the country?
Second and Third Republics1979-1999 • General Abdulsalami Abubakar • Successor • Est. new transition program • Promptly handed over to an elected civilian government • President Olusegun Obasanjo • People’s Democratic Party (PDP) • May 1999
The Fourth Republic1999 to present • Obasanjo • Called out of retirement • Yoruba’s felt they had been cheated over the years • Many did not trust Yoruba leader • Handed over power to military head of state in 1979 • North: candidate they could trust • Ex-military leader could better manage the thorny task of keeping armed forces in the “barracks”
The Fourth Republic1999 to present • Obasanjo: • Unpopular among his own people • Irregularities at the poles • Reform the State and economy • Retired all military officers who held political positions • Economy • Oil sector targeted for new management • Lobby others to forgive Nigeria’s debt • Increased minimum wage • “truth and reconciliation” commission • Civil Society groups thrived
The Fourth Republic1999 to present • Media: • Exposed corruption • Forced Speaker of the House and two Senators to resign • Proliferation of Newspapers, radio, and televisions stations • Radio still main source of information • All 36 states have their own radio stations • Over 100 privately owned newspapers
The Fourth Republic1999 to present • Obasanjo: • Political debts • 1st cabinet corrupt politicians • Brought down previous republics • Newcomers lined their pockets with public funds • Anticorruption???? • Needed support for re-election • Agenda??? • Faced National Assembly and impeachment
The Fourth Republic1999 to present • 2003 elections • Re-elected Obasanjo • Political accommodations • Election rigging • Overall the election was questioned • Secured the PDP’s dominance • Legitimacy?? • Acceptable in Nigerian politics
Obasanjo Administration • 1st six months • Reform the armed forces • Revitalize the economy • Address public welfare • Improve standards of governance • Praised for clean management and contracting policies • Clientelism and financial kickbacks for oil licenses resurfaced • Proposed and anti-corruption commission • Powers to investigate • Prosecute public officials • Had little impact • “political tool” of the presidency • 2nd one founded in 2003: The economic and Financial Crimes commission (EFCC)
Obasanjo Administration • Peace and Reconciliation Commission (1999) • Did not have the power to grant amnesty • Ensured testimony would be accurate • Reported findings to President who did not make the document public
Obasanjo Administration • PDP • Supported Obasanjo in 1999 • He filled his cabinet with these “political kingpins” • 2003: “fixers” delivered him victory again • Accomplished through fraud • Allegations of corruption at the highest level surfaced
Obasanjo Administration • Niger Delta • Proposed Niger Delta Development Commission (NDDC) • Disburse the 13 percent of oil revenues constitutionally mandated to return to the delta states • States took Obasanjo to court • Youth militias harassed police, stole oil, kidnapped workers for ransom • Nov. 1999: • Attacked killed several policemen • Military units destroyed the village of Odi = massacre • NDDC was slow to take shape and had little affect • Ethnic groups grew bolder and more restive • Violence in the region has shut down nearly 40% of the country’s oil exports
Obasanjo Administration • Legitimacy • Problems in Niger Delta • Plateau State • Governor elections • Christians and Muslims • Demonstrate deficits of legitimacy for the government as well as democracy • Patronage, coercion, and personal interest will drive politics
Democracy • 2000 poll: 81% of the people support • Division of tribe and religions • Might have achieved stable democracy • Fails under tribal and religious animosities, corruption, and military power grabs • Intercivilizational disunity: • Two civilizations rarely living in peace
Political Economy • Dependent on Oil Reserves • Predominately agriculture • Represent a small faction of the total earnings