PERFECT STORM To Hit Job Markets!

1. PERFECT STORM To Hit Job Markets!

2. 2 Aging Population 1 Great Recession 4 Unprepared Workforce 3Upskilling of Jobs Storm Warnings 4 Converging Megatrends

3. Megatrend 1: The Great Recession • The global economy is recovering from • the worst economic storm in a century • Mass layoffs, many jobs in jeopardy • Despite massive stimulus, recovery is • slow and faltering • The economy is vulnerable

4. Megatrend 2: Aging Population Predictable Demographics • Birth rate declining since 1967 • Marriage & childbirth later, fewer children • Boomers who can are retiring (1947-64) • Labour force participation rate declining • Immigration can’t offset natural decline

5. Percent of Canadian Population 15-64 Years of Age

6. Projected Worker Shortfall 2011 421,000 2016 947,000 2021 1,552,000 2026 2,079,000 2031 2,763,000 Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People [Figures projected nationally from Miner’s Ontario (38%) medium growth estimates] • Vast majority of 2031 work force has already been born • Immigration 2010 – 280,000 (family, credentials, competition) • Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled

7. Megatrend 3: Upskilling of Jobs Accelerating Knowledge Economy Estimated that 80% of all jobs in Canada now require some post-secondary education or training Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People

8. New & Changing Jobs There’s never been a better time to imagine career prospects! • Nano-mechanic • Old age wellness manager • Memory augmentation surgeon • Weather modification police • Waste data handler • Social networking worker • Personal brander/communications advisor • Stem cell bank manager • Adam Gordon, August 2009, Jobs of the Future, Science and Technology Enabled Employment 2020-2030

9. Megatrend 4: Unprepared Workforce Education System and Employers The Talent Pipeline

10. End of the Pipeline Destinations of Students in Ontario (1999-00 to Fall 2004)(King, Phase 4) Saskatchewan-72.4% graduation rate for males, 71.5% for females (2006/07)

11. End of the Pipeline • In addition… • 25% of post-secondary students drop out by the end of the first year. A similar number change programs or majors • 50% will not be in jobs directly related to their majors 2 years after graduation • 70% of adults would seek more career information if they could start over

12. “Too many students can’t see a clear connection between their program of study and labor market opportunities.” Pathways to Prosperity, February 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education http://www.gse.harvard.edu/news_events/features/2011/Pathways_to_Prosperity_Feb2011.pdf

13. “Many drop out because they struggle academically. But large numbers say they drop out because they felt their classes were not interesting, and that high school was unrelentingly boring. In other words, they didn’t believe high school was relevant, or providing a pathway to achieving their dreams.”

14. In recent work out of the OISE, • Student rated the sources of career information as follows: • Spending time ‘on the job’ exploring what a career involves on a day-to-day basis • Talking to people working in the career area you are interested in • A web-based tool that provides all the information you need to select a future career • Video clips of people talking about what they do in their career. • Interactive web sites (e.g. surveys, quizzes, careers game etc.)

15. Provision of career development has been in decline in many North American schools despite evidence of its effectiveness. There is a strong body of evidence which demonstrates that career development activity in schools can help young people to experience academic achievement, successfully transition to the labor market and live happier and more productive lives. http://www.derby.ac.uk/files/career__cruising.pdf

16. Career and Workforce Development Paradigm Shift Learning Skills Life Imagination Introductions Choosing Occupation Work Information Lists

17. Solution To avoid being victims of the perfect storm, communities must equip students with the knowledge, skills, attitudes, and life-long tools necessary in a world where change is the only constant

18. Solution • Implement in all education and training sites the best available: • experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students

19. Solution • Implement in all education and training sites the best available: • experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students • career exploration and planning system

20. Solution • Implement in all education and training sites the best available: • experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students • career exploration and planning system • electronic portfolio system (6-12)

21. Solution • Implement in all education and training sites the best available: • experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students • career exploration and planning system • electronic portfolio system (6-12) • course planning system

22. Solution • Implement in all education and training sites the best available: • experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students • career exploration and planning system • electronic portfolio system (6-12) • course planning system • online networking system to connect students with informed dreams to employers seeking talent

23. Solution • Implement in all education and training sites the best available: • experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students • career exploration and education planning system • electronic portfolio system (6-12) • course planning system • online networking system to connect students with informed dreams to employers seeking talent • Then mobilize the entire community to • optimize utilization of all of the above.

24. Helping students imagine the future they want to create “Your imagination is a preview of life’s coming attractions.” Albert Einstein “I wish The Real Game was MANDATORY for all students. The information and life experience it provides are more valuable than some required coursework. Giving our students the tools they need to be successful in “the real world” should be our first priority.” Tanya McKay, First Northern Bank, Woodland, CA, April 2011

25. Career Cruising Career and Education Information Portfolio Course Planner Career Cruising Network

26. How We Engage and Inspire

27. Current Projects • K-5 elementary version • Parent portal • Complete interface redesign • Matching system research • Re-branding • Real Game acquisition • Connection to social media

28. A Peek into the Future

29. Career Cruising Whole-Community Solution All education/training institutions, employers & community agencies • Jumpstart (K-5) • Career Cruising and Portfolio System • Real Game Series (all levels) • Course Planner • Network Software and Implementation