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Chapter Two. Population. Introduction. Population is studied to provide a basis of understanding issues in Human Geography Population is important for three reasons: More people are alive today Population increased faster in the 2 nd half of the 20 th century than ever before
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Chapter Two Population
Introduction • Population is studied to provide a basis of understanding issues in Human Geography • Population is important for three reasons: • More people are alive today • Population increased faster in the 2nd half of the 20th century than ever before • Almost all population growth is in LDC’s • Demography is the study of population growth and it looks at how people are spatially distributed by age, gender, occupation, fertility, health, etc…
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? I. Population Concentrations • 2/3 of the world’s population (6 ¾ billion) are in four regions: • East Asia • South Asia • Southeast Asia • Western Europe
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? • 2/3 of the world’s population live with in 300 miles of an Ocean • The four population clusters are all: • low-lying areas • have fertile soil • temperate climates
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? East Asia: • 1/5 of the world’s population • China, Koreas, Japan, & Taiwan • 5/6 live in China (the most populous country in the world) • Most people are farmers in rural areas
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? South Asia: • 1/5 of the world’s Population • India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka • India is the 2nd most populous country in the world • Most people are farmers in rural areas
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? • Southeast Asia: • Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, & the Philippines • Europe: • 1/9 of the world’s population & 3rd largest population cluster in the world • ¾ of Europe’s inhabitants live in cities
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? Other Population Clusters: • Largest population concentration in the Western Hemisphere is the northeastern US & southeastern Canada – 2% of the world’s population • Most Americans are urban dwellers • West Africa 2% of the world’s population – mostly in Nigeria
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? II. Sparsely Populated Regions • Ecumene is the portion of the Earth’s surface occupied by permanent human settlement • Dry Lands: • 20% of the Earth’s surface is too dry for farming • People adapt by using irrigation, raise animals like Camels, & settle for cultivation of natural resources such as oil • Wet Lands • The rain & heat hinders agriculture
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? • Cold Lands: • Polar regions • Permafrost prevents agriculture, few animals can survive, & few humans can live here • High Lands: • Few people live at high elevations with the exception of areas in Latin America & Africa
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? III. Population Density • Density (# of people occupying an area of land) is looked at by: • Arithmetic Density, • Physiological Density • Agricultural Density
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? Arithmetic Density: • Arithmetic Density is the total number of people divided by the total area of land aka population density • Calculated by the total population & total land area • Varies within individual countries • Enables geographers to compare the number of people trying to live on a given peace of land in different regions of the world
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? Physiological Density: • Physiological Density the number of people supported by a unit area of arable land • The higher the physiological density, the greater the pressure on the people to produce enough food • Looks at the relationship between the size of a population & the availability of resources
Key Issue #1: Where is the World’s Population Distributed? Agricultural Density • Agricultural Density ratio of the number of farmers to the amount of arable land • helps account for economic differences • MDC’s have a lower agricultural density than LDC’s
Key Issue #2: Where has the World’s Population Increased Crude means we are concerned with society as a whole rather than a refined look at individuals or groups I. Natural Increase: • Geographers most frequently measure population change in a country/world as a whole through three measures: • Crude Birth Rate (CBR) total # of live births in a year for every 1000 people EX: CBR of 20 means 20 babies are born for every 1000 people
Key Issue #2: Where has the World’s Population Increased • Crude Death Rate (CDR) total # of deaths in a year for every 1000 people alive in a society • Natural Increase Rate (NIR) the % by which a population grows in a year. It is computed by subtracting CDR from CBR – this excludes migration • About 80 million people are added to the world annually • Doubling Time the number of years needed to double a population assuming a constant rate of natural increase
Key Issue #2: Where has the World’s Population Increased II. Fertility: • The CBRs are mostly in sub-Saharan Africa • Total Fertility Rate (TFR) average number of children a woman will have in her childbearing years (15-49) • TFR attempt to predict the future behavior of individual women in the world
Key Issue #2: Where has the World’s Population Increased III. Mortality: • Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) is the annual number of deaths of infants under 1 year of age compared to total live births • The highest rate of IMRs are in sub-Saharan Africa • The lowest rates are in Western Europe • IMR reflect a country’s health-care system • Minorities in the US have IMRs twice as high as the national average comparable to levels in Latin America & Asia
Key Issue #2: Where has the World’s Population Increased • Life Expectancy measures the average number of years a newborn infant can expect to live at current morality levels • Highest in wealthy countries • People can live into their 70’s in Western Europe compared to their 40’s in sub-Saharan Africa
Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries? I. The Demographic Transition the process of change in a society’s population from a condition of high CBR & CDR & low NIR to a condition of low CBR & CDR & high NIR • The process with several stages and every country is in one of them. There are four stages
Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries? • Stage 1: Low Growth • During this period people depended on hunting & gathering – when food was easy to find population increased and when food was scarce it declined • Between 8000BC & 1750 AD the earth’s population rose from 5 million to 800 million this was due to agricultural revolution – when humans began to use domesticated plants and animal • Every country has progressed to at least stage 2
Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries? • Stage 2: High Growth • Most countries entered this stage as a result of the Industrial Revolution • This enabled farmers to increase agricultural production & feed the rapidly growing population • The industrial revolution led to factory jobs, better sanitation, & personal hygiene • Europe & N. America entered stage 2 in 1800 and Africa, Asia, & Latin America 1950’s • Medical Revolution the advances in medical technology in Europe & N. America diffused to LDCs
Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries? • Stage 3: Moderate Growth • This happens when CBR begins to drop sharply & the CDR also begins to decline • N. America & Europe are in this stage • Economic changes occur, people have less children, & live in cities rather than rural areas
Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries? • Stage 4: Low Growth • This occurs when the CBR & CDR & the NIR approaches zero • Zero Population Growth (ZPG) • Most European countries are in stage 4 • Women working, using birth-control, more income, etc…have led to less child bearing
Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries? III. Population Pyramids • Displays age & gender on a bar graph • Shows the percentage of the total population in 5 year age groups • Shape is determined by the CBR
Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries? • Age Distribution • Dependency ration is the number of people who are too young or too old to work • Larger the number of dependents the greater the financial burden of those working • 0-14 & 65+ are classified as dependent • Countries in stage 2 you see a ratio of 1:1 (1 dependent for every worker) • Countries in stage 4 is 1:2 (1 dependent for every 2 workers)
Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries? • Age Distribution Cont’ • The larger the number of dependents in stage 2 countries prevents poorer countries to provide services (school, hospitals) • When there is a large population of elderly people it places a burden on governments. EX: US and Social Security, Health Care programs, etc…
Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries? • Sex Ratio is the number of males per hundred females in the population • Poor countries generally have a lower percentage of women due to mortality during childbirth • Younger children in poor countries are mostly male while older populations are generally higher
Key Issue # 3: Why is Population Increasing at Different Rates in Different Countries? IV. Demographic Transition • No country remains in stage 1 • Few have reached stage 4 • Most countries are in stage 2 or 3 • Two Big Breaks in the four stage demographic • Sudden drop in death rates – mostly due to diffusion of medical technology • Sudden drop in birth rates
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? I. Malthus on Overpopulation: • Thomas Malthus (economist) argued that the world’s rate of pop. Increase was far outrunning the development of food supply • Said population increase would press against available resources unless the CBR decreased or disease, famine, war, or other disasters produced higher CDRs
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? • Neo-Malthusians: • The gap between population growth and resources is wider than he anticipated • The population growth is outstripping a wide variety of resources, not just food production
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? • Malthus’s Critics: • Some think his beliefs are unrealistically pessimistic • They believe the world’s resources are fixed not expanding • Possibilists believe humans can choose a course of action to expand resources • Boserup & Kuznetsbelieve larger populations can stimulate economic growth • Marxists such as Friedrich Engels said there are enough resources but they are just not shared equally
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? II. Declining Birth Rates: • Malthus Theory & Reality • His theory is not supported by conditions during the past half-century • Problems lie on distribution of wealth rather than insufficient global production of food • Population is increasing at a slower rate than theorized
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? • Reasons for Declining Birth Rates • Economic Development • Wealthier communities have more money to spend on education & health care thus promoting lower birth rates • More educated women know their reproductive rights, make more informed reproductive choices, & select more effective contraception • IMRs decline due to better health care
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? • Distribution of Contraception • LDCs are demanding a greater supply of contraceptive devices • Use of contraceptives: ¼ Africa, ¾ Latin America, & 2/3 in Asia • Birth rates are still very high in Africa & SW Asia which reflects the low status of women – little education, # of children reflects a woman’s status & a mans virility • Many oppose birth control due to religion or politics
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? III. World Health Threats: • Epidemiologic Transition is the distinctive causes of death in each stage of demographic transition • Epidemiologic Transition Stages 1 & 2 • Black Plague (Stage 1) • Killed ½ of Europe’s pop (25 million) between 1347-1350 • Killed 13 million in China 1380
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? • Cholera (Stage 2) • Pandemic diseases occur over a wide geographic area and affects a high proportion of the population • 500,000 died in 1832 in NYC • Due to poor sanitation & contaminated water supply in poor urban areas
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? • Epidemiologic Transition Stages 3 & 4 • Cardiovascular Disease • Cancer • Decline in infectious diseases such as Polio & Measles
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? • Epidemiologic Transition Possible Stage 5 • Some medical analysts think the world is moving to a stage of reemergence of infectious & parasitic diseases • This will cause higher CDRs
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? • Reasons for Stage 5 • Evolution • Resistance to antibiotics • Diseases evolve – Malaria • Continued epidemics in poverty - TB • Improved travel – Avian flu
Key Issue #4: Why might the world face an overpopulation problem? • AIDS • Most lethal pandemic in recent years • 95% of those infected & 99% of new cases are in LDCs • 2/3 of the world’s total HIV positive people live in sub-Saharan Africa • Second highest rate of infection is in India