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Anomalies of global air temperature during the last Millennium, relative to the period 1902-1980. Global temperature 1998 – the warmest. 1998. Anthropogenetic related risks. ECHAM4 Global Climate Model. Climate Change Scenarios for Bulgaria. GCM simulated changes in monthly precipitation
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Anomalies of global air temperature during the last Millennium, relative to the period1902-1980
Global temperature 1998 – the warmest 1998 Anthropogenetic related risks
ECHAM4 Global Climate Model
Climate Change Scenarios for Bulgaria GCM simulated changes in monthly precipitation in Bulgaria for the 2050s, relative to 1961-1990
GCM LIMITATIONS ECHAM4 climate change scenario for air temperature in May at the 2020s (2.8o x 2.8o)
(MAGICC/SCENGEN) ECHAM4 GCM scenario of annual air temperature in Europe during the 2050s (A2 SRES emission scenario), relative to 1961-1990
Change in summer mean temperature (oC) for the HadCM3 and PCM climate modelscoupled with the A2 SRES scenario for 2080
Change in summer precipitation (mm/month) for the HadCM3 and PCM climate modelscoupled with the A2 SRES scenario for 2080
Departures of the CERES simulated yield of maize at the Bulgarian region, relative to 1991-2000
WINTER WHEAT 2011-2020 HadCM3 – A2 vs. 1981-1990 Poland Bulgaria
WINTER WHEAT 2071-2080HadCM3 – A2 vs. 1981-1990 Poland Bulgaria
MAIZE 2011-2020 HadCM3 – A2 vs. 1981-1990 Poland Bulgaria
SOYBEANS 2011-2020HadCM3 – A2 vs. 1981-1990 Poland Bulgaria
ADAPTATION OPTINS Zoning crop production in agricultural land areas with elevation below 1000 m Change in crops Change in sowing dates Change in irrigation Change in crop hybrids and cultivars
ADAPTATION OPTINS Change in fertilization Change in management practices Change in management of diseases and pests control Governmental policy and strategies in the field of agriculture