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Hydrometeorological trends in eastern Canada. by D. Caissie and M. Thistle Fisheries and Oceans May 1-2, 2012 Institut Maurice-Lamontagne, Mont-Joli, QC. Introduction. Mean annual & seasonal air temperatures
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Hydrometeorologicaltrends in eastern Canada by D. Caissie and M. Thistle Fisheries and Oceans May 1-2, 2012 Institut Maurice-Lamontagne, Mont-Joli, QC
Introduction • Mean annual & seasonal air temperatures • Data from Envrionment Canada (Adjusted and Homogenized Canadian Climate Data - AHCCD) • Annual & seasonal total precipitation • Data was also from AHCCD • Streamflow trend analysis • Peak and low flows (as defined by a 30-day mean) • Timing of peak and low flows • Ice conditions in rivers • Data from Environment Canada (HYDAT & CEHQ)
Site Selection Criteria • Spatial distribution • Duration of record • Data quality • Close proximity of sites (e.g., AirT, P and Q)
Selected Sites Air temperature (37) Total Precipitation (35) Rivers (42)
Change in Annual Mean Temperature (oC/decade) > 1.0 0.6 – 1.0 0.3 – 0.6 0.0 – 0.3 No significant change Annual Air Temperature (60 & 30 years) 0.6-1.0°C 68% (25/37) 70% (26/37) 0.0-0.3°C A) 1951 - 2010 B) 1981 - 2010
Annual Air Temperature (1900-2010) Change in Annual Mean Temperature 1900-2010 (oC/decade) 0.3 – 0.6°C 0.09 – 0.3°C < 0.09°C No significant change 87% (20/23) 0.09-0.3°C
Change in Seasonal Mean Temperature 1951-2010 (oC/decade) > 1.0 0.6 - 1.0 0.3 – 0.6 0.0 – 0.3 No significant change B) Spring A) Winter A) Winter D) Autumn C) Summer C) Summer Air Temperature (1951-2010) Seasonal 27% (10/37) 14% (5/37) 54% (20/37) 87% (32/37)
Air Temperature • The level of increase in annual AirT is greater in last 30 years (1981-2010) due to a cold period in late 80s and early 90s • On a seasonal basis, summer and autumn AirT showed more wide spread increases for both the 30 & 60 years period • Winter mean temperature did not significantly increased in 1951-2010; however did in 1900-2010
Change in Total Annual Precipitation (percent change/decade) > 10 5 - 10 0 - 5 No significant change Total Precipitation (60 & 30 years) 29% (10/35) No clear seasonal pattern was observed A) 1951 - 2010 B) 1981 - 2010
Change in Annual Average Flow (percent change/decade) >>10 >10 5 - 10 0 - 5 No significant change Mean Annual Flow (60 & 30 years) A) 1950 - 2009 B) 1980 - 2009
Change in Seasonal Flow Extremes (percent change/decade) >>10% >10 5 - 10 0 - 5 No significant change Trends in Magnitude (1950-2009) 26% (11/42) 19% (8/42) Spring Maximum – 1950 - 2009 Summer Minimum – 1950 - 2009
Change in Timing of Seasonal Flow Extremes (days/decade) 6 - 9 3 - 6 0 - 3 No significant change Trends in Timing (1950-2009) 42% (14/42) Spring Maximum – 1950 - 2009 Summer Minimum – 1950 - 2009
Change in Annual Ice Days (days/decade) >>10 >10 5 - 10 0 - 5 No significant change Trends in Ice cover (1950-2009)
Thank you ! Questions !