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The Defense Commissary Agency. Sales. June 20, 2007. Mr. Randy Chandler. Directorate of Sales. The Military Shopper. Randy Chandler Directorate of Sales June 20, 2007. Demographics. Commissary & Exchange Shopper. Who is the Military Shopper?. HHLD Income $40K+ Female Head Age 55+
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The Defense Commissary Agency Sales June 20, 2007 Mr. Randy Chandler Directorate of Sales
The Military Shopper Randy Chandler Directorate of Sales June 20, 2007
Demographics Commissary & Exchange Shopper
Who is the Military Shopper? • HHLD Income $40K+ • Female Head Age 55+ • Affluent Suburban Spreads • Younger Bustling Families • Empty Nest Couples • Senior Couples • Not in Work Force • African American • Asian • Non-Caucasian
Who is the Military Shopper? Demographics of the HEAVY Military Shopper Demographics of the Average Military Shopper • HHLD Income $40K+ • Female Head Age 55+ • Affluent Suburban Spreads • Younger Bustling Families • Empty Nest Couples • Senior Couples • Not In Work Force • African American • Asian • Non-Caucasian • HHLD Income $40K+ • Female Head Age Under 35 • Female Head Age 65+ • 2 Member Household • 3 – 4 Member Household • Affluent Suburban Spreads • Younger Bustling Families • Empty Nest Couples • Senior Couples • Not In Work Force • African American • Asian • Non-Caucasian Your Most Important Shoppers
The Heavy Shopper Impact! % of Buying Purchase Purchase Outlet Annual 2006 Shoppers Rate Frequency Size Loyalty Average Shopper 100% $1,291.7 20.8 $62.24 17.4 HEAVY Shopper 33% $3,191.2 48.0 $66.52 35.2 Light Shopper 67% $342.7 7.2 $47.89 5.2 • Heavy Military Shoppers Top 33% of Total • Spend nearly 9X more than light shopper • Purchase in Military outlets nearly every week • Drive purchase size for channel at nearly $67 per trip. • Heavy Military Shoppers Fiercely Loyal • 7X that of the light consumer; double the average • More likely to purchase in commissary than competition
Military Shoppers Spend Less of Wallet in Channel % of All Outlet Loyalty - Mid-Year 2006 Pt Chg vs MY 05 -0.7 -0.6 -0.1 -1.4 +0.3 +0.1 +0.3 -0.3 +2.3 Driven by the On-line Channel Source: ACNielsen Homescan
Military Shoppers Spend Less of Food & Beverage Wallet in Channel % of All Outlet Loyalty - Mid-Year 2006 Pt Chg vs MY 05 -1.2 -1.4 -0.1 -0.1 +0.7 +0.3 +0.2 -0.1 +1.7 Source: ACNielsen Homescan
Roughly 40% of Military Shop Military Monthlyfor Food, HBC or GM - drives lower share of wallet Source: ACNielsen Homescan
More Military Households Shop Supers Source: ACNielsen Homescan Total US
Frequency Declining in all Channels Source: ACNielsen Homescan
Military Shopper Frequency Also Declining Everywhere Only Convenience/Gas Trips per Shopper Maintained Source: ACNielsen Homescan
Military Households Stock Up More - Make Less Trips Source: ACNielsen Homescan
Grocery Loyalty Driven by Convenience Trips Total US—ACNielsen Homescan Shopper Missions, 52wk end 7/2/05
Military Shoppers Decrease Buying Rate @ Most Other Grocers Source: ACNielsen Homescan
Military Dry Grocery & Non-Food StrongHighest Conversion Rates in Market Source: ACNielsen Homescan
Marketing the Benefit "Inside and Out"
Marketing the Benefit "Inside and Out" DeCA provides benefit to diverse Patron Base • Patrons come from varied social and economic backgrounds • Some are willing to pay a little more for quality • Some live payday to payday, looking for the best price • Some are just looking for the best value • All are looking to the “Commissary Benefit” to meet their needs
2006 Food Stamp & WIC Redemption Food Stamp WIC Region$ Value $ Value DeCA East 16,360,013 6,845,557 DeCA West 9,865,423 15,363,330 DeCA Europe NA 6,657,761 Totals 23,225,436 28,866,648
2006 Coupon Redemption RegionQuantity$ Value DeCA East 68,362,260 50,243,402 DeCA West 54,751,283 40,410,609 DeCA Europe 4,516,892 3,090,083 Totals 127,630,435 93,744,094
Important Issues Affecting CPG Industry • Consumer segmentation affected by shifting consumption patterns • Health • Convenience • Lifestyle • New Age Gender Income Traditional
DeCA's Response : Our View Thru April • This year sales stronger than initially anticipated • Up $39M over last year (December a record @ $500M) • Produce contribution has grown full point since 2001 • Decline in center store contribution concentrated in non-food (-2.1%) • Aggressive new sales target of +$100M established • Transaction count declining (but @ lesser rate) • Last year’s decline more than double current year result (-2.3% vs. -1.3%) • Average sale @ $60.44 continues to grow (up 2.6%)
Commissary Sales - Total DeCA thru April 2007 FY 2006 Vs. FY 2007 +1.7% +3.4% +1.9% -0.8% -2.1% +2.1% +2.5% FY 2006 FY 2007 FY07 Project $3162 $3201 Cumulative YTD Sales +$39 +1.8% FY 2007 YTD Sales Target: $3210 -$9 -0.3%
DeCA Customer Transactions Thru April FY 2006 Vs. FY 2007 # Transactions -1.0% -1.2% -1.3% -0.4% -3.3% -0.5% Millions -1.4% Cumulative Transactions 53.653 52.953 -0.446 -1.0% Sales Per Transaction Year Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep YTD FY 06 $58.28 $59.22 $61.15 $58.06 $58.93 $58.01 $58.71 $57.04 $58.05 $57.60 $57.74 $60.03 $58.96 FY 07 $58.57 $60.57 $62.83 $59.57 $61.26 $60.71 $59.48 $60.44
Commissary Sales – DeCA West thru April 2007 FY 2006 Vs. FY 2007 +0.6% +2.7% +0.6% -2.3% -2.4% +0.7% +1.7% FY 2006 FY 2007 FY07 Project $ 1416 $ 1420 Cumulative YTD Sales +$ 4 +0.3% FY 2007 YTD Sales Target: $1422 -$2 -0.1%
DeCAWestCustomer Transactions FY 2006 Vs. FY 2007 # Transactions -2.4% -3.0% -1.9% -1.9% -3.3% -2.2% -1.6% Millions Cumulative Transactions -0.571 -2. 3% 24.322 23.751 Sales Per Transaction Year Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep YTD FY 06 $57.57 $58.27 $60.07 $57.63 $58.44 $57.45 $58.18 $56.33 $57.68 $57.39 $57.27 $59.38 $58.25 FY 07 $57.99 $59.78 $61.93 $59.35 $60.38 $60.19 $58.76 $59.78
FY 2007 YTD Promotion Recap • Promotional support continues to outpace supermarkets • DeCA’s temporary price reduction (TPR) dollar fair share index up to 139 • Billboard categories drive results (unit lift percentages) • 102% Manager’s Special • 84% Power Buys • 67% Primaries • Overall lift percentages outstanding • Unit Lift ~ 49.9% • Dollar Lift ~ 27.0% • Aggregate dollar results from program impressive • Sales: $100.6M - Average Per SKU Sales: $12.6K • Savings: $18.0M - Average Per SKU Savings: $2.3K
Promotional Period Results • Periods 1 thru 9 Overall • Dollar Sales Up 13.4% • Dollar Savings Up 12.5% • FY 07 Projection* • Dollar Sales : $263.4M (+13.1%) • Dollar Savings: $53.3M (+12.4%) * Based on Promotional Period Contributions to Total
Perishable Departments • What was the fastest growing sub-department??? • Produce? • Deli? • Bakery? • Sushi To Go? • Hot Foods?
The Producers Perimeter Departments YTD • All perishables dollars up $30M • Sales trends leading the DeCA way • Produce +6.2% • Deli +2.6% • Bakery +4.4% • Sushi To Go +37.0% • Hot Foods +11.3% • Seafood +33.0% • Meat trend still down, but improved 50% to -1.7%
The Producers West Perimeter Departments YTD • All perishables dollars up $5.0M (17% share) • West sales trends tracking well with overall DeCA • Produce +5.5% • Bakery +2.6% • Sushi To Go +37.0% • Hot Foods +8.0% • Seafood +25.5%
Produce • New produce distribution system • Resulted in improved sales, quality, and pricing • Minor concerns being worked expeditiously • Decreased order-ship time • Improved merchandising support • Resulting in more frequent shopping trips to store
Meat • New, improved specifications • Resulted in increased yield • Reduced labor • Minimal impact on price • Sales increasing
Prepackaged Deli Changes • Introduction of tubs has shifted buying patterns • MBU responded • Cleansed mix through category review • Altered case merchandising profile to maximize return • Shift in merchandising expanded shelf space, reduced number of pegs, and improved tub utility • Anticipated impact on annual sales: Plus $1.5 Million
Yogurt • Yogurt sales top ten growth category for several years • Needed expanded category for entrance of pro-biotics • In stock rates greatly improved
The Center Store • Which category is most “impulsive” ??? • Carbonated Beverages? • Energy Bars? • Salty Snacks? • Crackers? • Snack Bars? • Cookies? • Candy?
Reinventing the Candy Aisle • Premium chocolate section • Dark chocolates • New item introductions • Health & well being • Antioxidants • Organics
The Baby Care Center • Integrated merchandising set • Toiletries over baby wipes builds sales synergy • Brand blocking adds visibility • Concept fully vetted thru virtual & in-store tests • Baby wipes result: • Dollars per purchase occasion up 24% • Units per purchase occasion up 25% • Toiletries result: • Dollars per purchase occasion up 20% • Units per purchase occasion up 8% • Potential DeCA sales growth $1.3M
Need for Strategic Partnerships Increasing • Redefine relationships • Create value • Achieve goals • Customize programs • Create “WOW” factor
Partnership at Work • Thanks for the San Diego Experience • Six Commissary Council Committees • Broad/comprehensive cooperation • COOP Ads • Coupon Outreach • Systems Applications • Category Review Refinements • Promo Support Across Departments • Vendor Stocking • Promotional Response • Market Insights
Meat & Produce Ads • Intent is to billboard perishable departments • Use in DeCA circulars/post newspaper inserts • Parallels retailer norms • Capitalize on customer’s menu driven psychology • Build sales synergy & incremental volume across total promotion package