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Learn about mitigation actions to reduce risks, plan updates, risk assessment, and community profiles for disaster resilience.
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BLAINE COUNTY MULTI-HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN UPDATE Contractor: Tetra Tech, Inc. Daphne Digrindakis 406-475-2648
WHAT IS MITIGATION? Mitigation is a sustainable action that will reduce or eliminate injury to citizens, damages to structures and allow continuity of critical society function. Types of mitigation projects include: • Property Protection • Structural • Prevention • Emergency Services • Natural Resource Protection • Public Education and Awareness
WHY HAVE A MULTI-HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN? • Required by FEMA in order to receive mitigation funds after a declared disaster (HMGP), Public Assistance (PA) C-G. • $100 million available annually through competitive grants for hazard mitigation projects through: • Hazard Mitigation Assistance grant program (HMGP) • Pre-Disaster Mitigation (PDM) grants program • Flood Mitigation Assistance (FMA) grants program
APROACH FOR2018 MITIGATION PLAN UPDATE • Review each section of the 2012 PDM Plan • Implement planning process for public involvement • (website: www.countypdm.com / password: Chinook) • Review recent plans and studies • Update hazard profiles and identify any new hazards • Update critical facilities • Update risk assessment • Update mitigation goals, objectives & projects • Update capability assessment • Update plan maintenance procedures • Formally adopt plan
2012 PLAN REVIEW SECTION 1.0 - INTRODUCTION Blaine County first completed a Pre-Disaster Mitigation (PDM) Plan in 2006. This PDM Plan was updated in 2012. Hazard Mitigation Plans must be updated every 5 years to remain eligible for disaster funding. Must be adopted by resolution by County and Cities. New FEMA guidance for completing PDM Plans in 2013. Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan instead of PDM.
2012 PLAN REVIEWSECTION 2.0 - PLANNING PROCESS • Project Stakeholders • County and City of Chinook and Harlem staff, response personnel, school districts, medical, local organizations, state, federal, non-profits, businesses • PDM Planning Team • Jurisdictions wishing to adopt plan must participate • Conference calls/planning meetings • Review of Plans and Studies • Public Meetings • Project Website • www.countypdm.com. Password: Chinook • Plan Review
REVIEW OF PLANS & STUDIES • Plans with Mitigation Considerations • County and City Growth Policies • Subdivision Regulations • Zoning Ordinances • Building Codes • Flood Mitigation Plan • Community Wildfire Protection Plan • Analyze Development Trends • Determine what hazards future development projects are exposed to.
2012 PLAN REVIEWSECTION 3.0 – COMMUNITY PROFILE • Physical Setting • Climate • Critical Facilities and Infrastructure • Water and Wastewater, Utilities, Fire Protection • Population Trends • Housing Stock • Economy and Socioeconomics • Land Use and Future Development
2012 PLAN REVIEWSECTION 4.1 – RISK ASSESSMENT • Natural, Man-Made, and Technological Hazards most likely to cause a disaster in the County. • Hazards that have the potential to cause fatalities/injuries or property damage. • Use Calculated Priority Risk Index (CPRI) to Re-Prioritize Hazards (see handout). • Probability - Highly likely to unlikely • Severity/Magnitude - catastrophic to negligible • Warning Time - < 6 hours to > 24 hours • Duration - < 6 hours to > one week
2012 PLAN REVIEWHAZARD IDENTIFICATION & RANKING Wildfire Hazardous Material Incidents Transportation Accidents Flooding Dam Failure Severe Winter Weather Severe Summer Weather and Drought Structure Fire
2018 MITIGATION PLAN UPDATE HAZARD PROFILES • Identify Additional Hazards to Include in Plan • Communicable Disease, Terrorism, Cyber Security • Profile 8 Hazards in Plan • Organized in Plan by priority • Some hazards can be combined into one profile • Lower priority hazards included in Plan appendix • Each Hazard Profile to Include • Description and History • Vulnerability and Area of Impact • Probability and Magnitude • Future Development • Implications of Climate Change
2018 MITIGATION PLAN UPDATE RISK ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY • GIS layers of hazard areas • Some hazards have uniform exposure across county • Analyze buildings at risk from various hazards • Critical facility locations and insured values. • Dept. Revenue parcel data of locations and values of commercial & residential properties. Linked to NRIS Structures database with locations of building stock. • Using GIS – intersect building stock/critical facilities with hazard areas • Determine number and value of buildings at risk • Population exposure – total in hazard area, over 65, under 18
2018 MITIGATION PLAN UPDATE HAZARD-BY-HAZARD REVIEW For Each Hazard: • What significant hazard events have occurred since last PDM Plan update? • Where are the problem areas in the County? • Has County received any FEMA grants to complete mitigation projects? • What mitigation projects has County completed since last PDM Plan was completed? • Capability limitations for completing mitigation projects?
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEWSECTION 4.2 - WILDFIRE • Typically occur in summer due to low rainfall, high temperatures, low humidity and thunderstorms. • More than 50 fires over 100 acres 1990-2011. • 1990 Veterans Fire – 22,420 acres from burning dump • 1991 Blaine C Fire - 9,300 acres from lightning • 2006 Maggie Fire - 8,000 acres from lightning • 2006 Howard Fire - 5,154 acres from lightning • 2012 Outhouse Fire – 12,00 acres from railroad • Vulnerability to agricultural economy & WUI • Future Development • Subdivision regulations require consideration of placement of structures, on-site water supply, ingress/egress, covenants
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEW SECTION 4.3 - HAZARDOUS MATERIAL INCIDENTS • Chemicals and petroleum products at fixed facilities and regularly transported through area via highways, railroads, pipelines. • Five haz-mat spillsin Blaine County 1993-2011. • Meth labs a concern.
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEWSECTION 4.4 - TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENTS • Highway Accidents • About 2,500 vehicles on U.S. Highway 2 between Chinook and Harlem each day. • 695 accidents with 31 fatalitiesbetween 2002-2011. • Railroad Accidents • BNSF, Amtrak – 35 trains/day through Chinook • 1975-2011 in Blaine County • 24 accidents at RR crossings with 6 fatalities • 18 derailments or collisions with 1 fatality and 39 injuries • Trains block crossings hindering emerg. response • Aviation Accidents • Nov. 1992 – USAF cargo planes collided north of Harlem with 13 fatalities.
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEWSECTION 4.5 - FLOODING • Riverine floods, ice jams, flash floods • Mid-Winter/Spring due to snowmelt and heavy rains • History • 1880, 1888, 1899, 1906, 1912, 1923, 1943, 1952, 1953, 1978, 1986 • Milk River, 30-Mile Creek • FEMA disaster declarations in 1986, 1996, 2011 • Floodplain Management • DFIRMs available for portions of Blaine County. • NFIP in County, Chinook, and Harlem. • Do not participate in CRS program.
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEWSECTION 4.5 - FLOODING • Losses: 1969-2004 • 2 fatalities; $2.5M property damage; $8.3K crop damage • Vulnerability to Property within Flood Hazard Area • Future Development • Subdivision regulations prevent development in floodplain.
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEWSECTION 4.6 - DAM FAILURE • 3 High Hazard Dams in Blaine Co. and one in Hill Co. that could impact Blaine Co. residents • Dry Fork Dam on Dry Fk Creek, Anita Dam on Battle Creek, BR-12 Dam on 15-Mile Creek, and Fresno Dam on Milk River • Losses • BR-12 and upstream dam on same drainage failed in 2011. • Anita dam failed in 1997 due to poor construction. • Vulnerability to Property within Inundation Areas • Future Development • Subdivision regulations do not require disclosure of dam inundation areas.
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEW SECTION 4.7 - SEVERE WINTER WEATHER • Snow, blizzards, extended cold, high winds • Losses: 1960-2006 • $1.1 million in property damage, $2.6k in crop damage • Building lost in 2011 due to high winds • 2012 springtime blizzard downed power lines leaving >10,000 people without power. • Vulnerability • Vehicle accidents, interruption of power, isolation • Future Development • Building codes require commercial buildings to withstand snow load of 30 pounds/sf and 75 mph wind load
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEW SECTION 4.8 - SEVERE SUMMER WEATHER & DROUGHT • Thunderstorms, wind, hail, lightning, tornados, microbursts • Losses from severe weather: 1960 to 2004 • $3.7 million in property damage; $4.8 million in crop damage • Economic loss due to severe drought in 2007. • Vulnerability • Agricultural producers; lower yields, reduced inventory • Increase in wildfire risk. • Future Development • Building codes require commercial building design to withstand 75 mph and 90 mph gusts. • Impacts from drought could affect groundwater availability.
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEW SECTION 4.9 - STRUCTURE FIRE • History • 1949 - Chinook Post Office. Rebuilt and burned again along with grocery store. • 1930 and 1959 - Grain elevator fires in Chinook and Harlem • 1968 - Harlem block with Civic Center. • 1968 - Harlem grade school • 1980 - Chinook – 300 block of Indiana St. • 2001 and 2008 - Mission Parochial School in Hayes • Losses • 40 fires between 2001 to 2011 • $205K in property loss
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEW SECTION 4.10 - RISK ASSESSMENT SUMMARY • Vulnerability Assessment Tables • Hazard Composite Maps • Future Development • Empty Lots on Meadowlark Lane • Multi-Purpose Building at Fairgrounds • Sidewalks in Turner
2012 PDM PLAN UPDATESECTION 5.0 - MITIGATION STRATEGY • See Handout • 9 Goals • 21 Objectives • 60 Projects (Actions)
2018 MITIGATION PLAN UPDATEMITIGATION STRATEGY • Determine Status of Projects from 2012 Plan • Complete, Retain/Reword, Delete, Ongoing • Identify New Projects • Focus on mitigation – not response or preparedness • Consider Development Trends • Project Implementation Details • Responsible Agencies and Partners • Potential Funding Sources • Timeframe • Progress Made • Planned Activities • Project Prioritization Factors • Cost, Feasibility, Population Benefit, Property Benefit
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEW SECTION 6.0 – CAPABILITY ASSESSMENT • Capabilities to Implement Mitigation Projects • Blaine County DES • LEPC • Blaine County Fire Council • Funding Opportunities • FEMA – HMPG, PDMC, FMA • BLM – National Fire Plan • HUD – CDBG Program • USDA, USDOT, Others
2012 PDM PLAN REVIEW SECTION 7.0 - PLAN MAINTENANCE • Plan Monitoring, Evaluation & Updating • LEPC should review Plan annually • DES should apply for Plan update grant • Monitoring Progress of Mitigation Activities • Responsibility of LEPC • Implementation through Existing Programs • Growth Policies • CWPP • Codes, Regulations Ordinances • Continued Public Involvement • Plan on County Website
2018 MITIGATION PLAN UPDATE SCHEDULE • Planning Team Conference Calls/Meetings – Dec, Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, as needed • Public Meeting to review draft risk assessment and mitigation strategy – May 2018 • Stakeholder review of Draft Plan (30 days) – May/June 2018 • Revision to address stakeholder comments – June 2018 • Submit to Montana DES (30 days) & FEMA (60 days) for approval – June/July/Aug 2018 • Additional revision if necessary – Aug 2018 • Submit to County, Cities of Chinook and Harlem for adoption – Sept 2018