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Opportunities and risks for importing woody bioenergy from developing and emerging countries - Results of a scoping study for BMZ-. Uwe R. Fritsche Scientific Director, IINAS International Institute for Sustainability Analysis and Strategy.
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Opportunities and risks for importing woody bioenergy from developing and emerging countries - Results of a scoping study for BMZ- Uwe R. Fritsche Scientific Director, IINAS International Institute for Sustainability Analysis and Strategy presented at the BMZ Conference “Forests for Future Generations – Public and Private Responsibility for Sustainability “ 11.-12.6.2013, Berlin on behalf of
Bioenergy in the global system Source: IEA (2012)
Global biomass for electricity Source: IEA (2012)
Demand for Woody Bioenergy Imports • Europe: biggest buyer, growing (CO2 and oil prices), especially for co-firing (eq. to ≈ 30-40 Mm3 by 2020); UK currently most relevant; dominant role of private sector (bioenergy not in public procurement yet) • Japan: no ambitious plans for bioenergy imports • North America & Russia: none (exporter) • China: some imports (≈ 10 Mm3 by 2020) • India: little imports if competitive • South Korea: plans to import ≈ 10 Mm3 by 2020 • South Africa: increasing demand for co-firing
Developing Country Export potentials • Calculating potentials is challenging due to domestic fuelwood dynamics, land and infrastructure (harbors) investment needs • Asia: Indonesia and Thailand • Africa: Congo, Gabon, Mozambique (ZA?) • Latina America: Brazil… • But domestic supply for fuelwood demand often unsustainable
Conclusions • Woody bioenergy exports can imply competition with local fuelwood: needs analysis& safeguards • Coherent policies for sustainability of imports beyond EUTR needed: RED extension could provide safeguard against environmental risks, but lacks social criteria • Developing countries need social safeguards: voluntary forest certification crucial for this • Donor support for implementing certification • Extend public procurement to bioenergy