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Recession Briefing RDA Project Managers Meeting Nov 2009 Ben Neild Assistant Director, SLIM. UK GDP. Source: ONS. Unemployment, SW. Source: ONS / BBC. Employment Rate, SW. % Working age population in Employment. Source: LFS. Employment Rate, SW.
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Recession BriefingRDA Project Managers MeetingNov 2009Ben NeildAssistant Director, SLIM
UK GDP Source: ONS
Unemployment, SW Source: ONS / BBC
Employment Rate, SW % Working age population in Employment Source: LFS
Employment Rate, SW % Working age population in Employment, May to July 2009 Source: LFS
Employment Rates % Change, year to May to July 2009 Source: LFS
Unemployment, SW Source: JC+ / NOMIS
Claimant Count SW, Adjusted & Unadjusted, Jan to Oct 2009 Source: JC+ / NOMIS
Claimant Count Grown by regions Indexed, April 08 = 100 Source: JC+ / NOMIS
Claimant Count Rates by region Source: JC+ / NOMIS
Claim duration Source: JC+ / NOMIS
Redundancies Notified redundancies each week, South West, 1st Nov 2008 to 12th June 2009 Source: JC+ administrative data
Vacancies Source: JC+ / NOMIS
Claimants per vacancy - SW Source: JC+ / NOMIS
Claimants per vacancy - LA Source: JC+ / NOMIS
Gender - Employment Rates South West Employment Rate by gender, indexed, Aug 08 = 100 Source: LFS
Gender – Claimant Count South West Claimant Count by gender Source: JC+ / NOMIS
Age – Claimant Count South West, Indexed, April 2008 = 100 Source: JC+ / NOMIS
Claimant Count by Age + 3% of age band Source: NOMIS / JC+
Claimant Count20 to 24 yrs olds (Aug 09) Source: NOMIS / JC+
Impact on Sectors Source: JC+ administrative data
Impact on occupations Composition of Employment & Claimant Count, South West, August 2009
Impact on occupationsChange over time Composition of Claimant Count, South West, August 2008 & August 2009
Unemployment Lagging Indicator Estimates 19 Quarters of positive growth before unemployment returns to pre-recession levels We have now had 6 successive quarter s of negative growth Source: LFS, ONS