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Africa Infrastructure Country Diagnostic: a multi-stakeholder effort. East Africa’s Infrastructure: A Regional Perspective. Methodology and approach. Methodology Data collection by local/international consultants and Bank staff based on standardized methodology
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Africa Infrastructure Country Diagnostic:a multi-stakeholder effort
Methodology and approach • Methodology • Data collection by local/international consultants and Bank staff based on standardized methodology • Baseline year for data is 2006, does not reflect subsequent evolution • Approach • Focus on benchmarking ECCAS’s infrastructure against other African RECs and benchmarking ECCAS member countries with each other
Key Message #1 Infrastructure has contributed almost one percentage point in per capita growth in East Africa
Infrastructure contributed almost one percentage point in East Africa’s recent growth spurt
Catching-up on infrastructure could boost growth by almost six percentage points
Key Message #2 East Africa consists of a number of midsized economies
Both typical and unique features of East Africa’s economic geography • Typical African characteristics • 2 countries have economies <$10 billion • 2 countries have populations <10 million • 4 countries are landlocked • Transboundary river basins (e.g. Nile) • Unique geographic features • Number of mid-sized economies • Significant contiguous areas of wealth-generation • Economic activity away from the coast
Key Message #3 Northern corridor is by far most significant artery for the region
A middling performer on prices and delays associated with road freight
Main northern corridor corridors paved and in good condition, but elsewhere not so
Regional traffic largely concentrated on the northern corridor at present
Key Message #4 Regional roads more developed in EAC area, no real connectivity with broader East Africa
Regional road network in EAC, generally in better condition than in the broader East Africa
Marked absence of connectivity between EAC, and broader East Africa
Key Message #5 East Africa’s railways do not constitute a regional network and demand relatively low
East Africa has one binational railway, but otherwise networks are not interconnected
Traffic volumes on East African railways particularly low even by African standards
Key Message #6 Performance and capacity at Mombasa and Dar Es Salaam drive the regional story
Regional ports story is about relative roles of Mombasa and Dar Es Salaam
East African ports are in the middle of the African range, well behind global best practice
Performance relatively good in general, except for Port Sudan
Capacity is a significant issue at both Mombasa and Dar Es Salaam (b) Containers (a) General Cargo
Key Message #7 Vibrant internal air transport market across East Africa
One area where connectivity is strong between EAC and broader East Africa
A medium-sized market with strong levels of connectivity (thanks to Addis and Nairobi)
East Africa features among Africa’s top 60 air transport routes
Strong connectivity with all countries having regular service to both hubs
East Africa about half way along with respect to market liberalization
Kenya and Ethiopia still dominant, shifting market shares among smaller players
Key Message #8 Regional power trading saves over 10 percent of costs and almost 4 million tons of CO2
Interconnections limited as of today but ambitious plans exist for EAPP/NB
Low access and limited availability of power, relatively good utility performance
Demand for power mostly being met at power pool level but with country variation
Regional power trade saves EAPP/NB US$1 billion a year Note: Numbers include Egypt
Volume traded has potential to increase from 12 to 162 terra-watt hours a year Trade expansion Trade stagnation
Many countries need to invest in cross-border interconnectors and a few in large hydro
Most countries have higher immediate spending needs under power trade
Two major exporters (Ethiopia, Sudan), and one major importer (Egypt)