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Ilia Murashkovsky Head of Department for structural analysis and regulation documents development Shtokman Development AG. Developing Shtokman field – a unique international energy project (current status). V International conference Energy dialogue: Russia-EU. Gas aspect. May 2010, Berlin.
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Ilia Murashkovsky Head of Department for structural analysis and regulation documents development Shtokman Development AG Developing Shtokman field – a unique international energy project (current status) V International conference Energy dialogue: Russia-EU. Gas aspect May 2010, Berlin
General Information About Project • Shtokman is gas and condensate field on the Russian sector of the Barents sea • Discovered in 1988 • Reserves: 3800 Bcm of gas • sea depth 340m • 600 km offshore • Integrated development in 3 phases (3x23,7Bcma) • Phase 1: 7,5 MTPA of LNG, the rest – pipeline gas Barents sea Shtokman field Shtokman Barents Sea LNG LNG North sea North Sea Teriberka Teriberka Gas pipe Gas pipeline Vyborg Vyborg Russia Russia Greisfald Greifswald
Shtokman Phase 1 Partners Framework Agreement for Cooperation in the Development of the First Phase of Shtokman Gas Condensate Field with Total signed July 13, 2007 51% Framework Agreement for Cooperation in the Development of the First Phase of Shtokman Gas Condensate Field with Statoil signed October 25, 2007 OAO Gazprom 25 % (Total Shtokman B.V.) 24 % (Statoil Holding Netherlands B.V.) SPV «Shtokman Development AG» (SDAG) – February 15, 2008 (Shtokman Phase 1)
Taking the FID • Currently, Shtokman Phase 1 project is at the stage of preparing for the Final Investment Decision (FID) • Prior to taking the FID the following steps are to be taken: • FEED and Project documentation (TEO) are to be finalized • tender proposals from EPC contractors are to be received • main project agreements are to be signed • ecological and State expertise approvals of Project documentation are to be received • construction permit is to be received
Base Business Model - Conditions of Foreign Partners Participation in Shtokman Project, Phase I • No access to the license • Marketing of produced hydrocarbons by Gazprom Group • The partners are minority shareholders • The partners participate only in Phase I and cooperation period is limited to 25 years • The partners provide technologies and assume their share of project risks • The partners provide their share of capital investments
Base Business Model – Roles of the Participants • Shtokman Development AG (SDAG) • FEED development • Borrower (bank loans) • Financing, design, construction and operation of Phase I of Shtokman project • Design and construction of the General Purpose Infrastructure • SDAG Branches in Russia • Conduct business activities in Russia • Tax and customs payments to Russian budget • Gazprom - SDAG Russian shareholder • Finances its share of SDAG, receives dividend from SDAG • Provides personnel, project management expertise, technologies • Owner and investor of General Purpose Infrastructure • Foreign shareholders of SDAG • Finance their share of SDAG, receive dividends from SDAG • Provide personnel, project management expertise, technologies • OOO Gazprom neft shelf (OOO Gazprom dobycha shelf) • Shtokman gas and condensate field license holder • Implements Phases 2 and 3 • GPI operator • OOO Gazprom Export • Transportation and marketing of production
Concept for Two-Stage FID Stage 1 - taking decision (FID-1) to develop Phase 1 at 23,7 Bcma (minus fuel gas) of pipeline gas supplies and condensate by tanker shipment Start-up complex: • Off-shore – in accordance with base technical scheme • SPS, technological platform, subsea trunkline • On-shore – does not include facilities for LNG production • gas receiving and treatment facilities, condensate stabilization, storage and offloading (per base technical concept) Stage 2 - taking decision (FID-2) to develop 7,5 MTPA of LNG with concurrent reduction of pipeline gas volumes Conditions for FID-2: • Positive outlook on LNG market • Good results of work value exercise (optimization) based on application of international design standards
Schedule for Two-Stage FID Stage 1. Pipeline gas • FID-1:March 2011 • Start-up of pipeline gas supplies: • Per Gazprom gas balance • According to schedule - 2016 Stage 2. LNG • FID-2: • Target date:December 2011 • Start-up of LNG supplies: 2017 • If FID-2 is taken in December 2011
Reasons for Two-Stage FID • Uncertainties with respect to LNG market outlook • Additional time to maximize Russian content • Work value exercise to reduce costs for LNG plant construction
Change of LNG Market Outlook • Considering Shtokman field size, Shtokman LNG has been targeted at the North American large and liquid market • In 2008-2009 USA has drastically increase production of shale gas • Concurrently, large LNG capacity was commissioned in Qatar • Shale gas is the factor, which creates uncertainty with respect of LNG price in US • Economic crisis is another global uncertainty factor
Russian Content (1/2) • Subsea production system (SPS) • Share from 30 to 50%, including • Obtaining modern technologies for design and construction of templates for off-shore fields • Construction of a third pair of templates in Russian shipyards • FPU technological platform • Phase 1 • Cooperation with international consortium for joint design and construction of FPU with maximum utilization of capacities of Russian yards • Transfer of technologies for design and construction with increasing share of works performed in Russian yards as required capacities are being created • Subsequent phases • Complete construction of hull, construction of a substantial share of topsides and integration of hull and topsides for second FPU in Russian yards • Complete design and construction of the third FPU in Russian yards
Russian Content (2/2) • Subsea trunkline • High-diameter pipelines – Russian supplies from 50 to 100% • Pipe coating – only Russian contractors • Onshore objects for pipeline gas supplies • All design and construction works, as well as supplies of facilities and materials – only Russian design institutes and contractors • Production and logistical bases, supply and services bases • Only Russian suppliers and contractors • Supply vessels (8 units) • Only Russian suppliers and contractors
Current Status • FEED based on international standards and design based on Russian standards is practically complete • In October 2010 the shareholders will receive the documents packet based on tender proposals for taking FID-1 with respect of Start-up complex • Work value exercise is under way to optimize LNG plant costs
Project Economic Potential • Total volume of Shtokman Phase 1 gas production • during project life – over 900 Bcm • yearly - 23,7 Bcm • Direct foreign investments – 49% of total owners’ equity • plus bonus payment if FID is taken • Start-up complex • our estimates indicate that implementation of Start-up complex will provide for shareholders attain an acceptable ROE at $60/Bbl • Profitability of LNG production will depend on • North American market outlook • results of work value exercise for LNG plant construction • Tax and customs payments during Start-up complex project life may amount to around $90 Bn (in constant 2010 prices)
Legislation – Key Questions • Provide for companies and their contractors to recover “input” VAT on costs incurred for carrying out activities on Russian continental shelf • SDAG’s customs VAT and VAT of SDAG contractors (included in contractors’ costs) is estimated at $1,5 Bn. • Clarifying customs status of infrastructure on Russian continental shelf, and of hydrocarbons produced on the Russian continental shelf • only artificial islands, facilities and structures are recognized as Russian customs territory on Russian continental shelf • transportation of hydrocarbons produced on Russian continental shelf can thus be viewed as export and subsequent import when received on Russian soil • uncertainty of customs status of Russian continental shelf, islands and structures located on it in light of establishment of Customs Union • Provide for companies, not being licenseholders, to construct and operate facilities on the Russian continental shelf, as well as own them for exploration and production of hydrocarbons • all rights, connected with activities on Russian continental shelf for exploration and production of hydrocarbons, are included in the license • SDAG’s construction and ownership of productive infrastructure on the Russian continental shelf, as well as acceptance of risks, may thus be compromised • some criteria for enlarging the list of entitled entities: • no less than 50% in capital should be owned by the Russian side • an agreement with the license holder should be signed
Long-term effect from Project Implementation • Formation of a new resource base for the long-term • Commencement of industrial development of hydrocarbon resources on Russian Arctic shelf • Transfer to Russia of modern technologies for management, design and production of facilities for development of off-shore hydrocarbon fields and LNG production • Utilization of existing capacities and development of national industry (primarily, ship building) and applied science • Diversification of routes for gaining access for Russian gas/LNG to traditional and new markets • Allocation of risks, attraction of capital and innovative technologies from foreign partners based on the business model, which would allow retain control over license, production and project implementation