A vision of the future

1. A vision of the future Maewyn Cumming Assistant Director, Interoperability Office of the e-Envoy, Cabinet Office

2. Predicting the future is dangerous • "640K ought to be enough for anybody." • - Bill Gates, 1981.

3. Being wrong can become a habit… • "Radio has no future.""X-rays are clearly a hoax.""The aeroplane is scientifically impossible." • - Royal Society president William Thomson, Lord Kelvin, 1897-9.

4. Even the cleverest….. • "There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will." • - Albert Einstein, 1932

5. Not only in technology……. • "It will be years - not in my time - before a woman will become Prime Minister." • - Margaret Thatcher, 1974

6. Be wrong for the right reasons! • "Brain work will cause women to go bald." • - Berlin professor, 1914

7. Future of what? • Libraries and librarianship • Government services to itself • Government services to the public and businesses

8. Libraries: Images of the future • Continuation • Collapse • Disciplined • Transformation

9. 1. Continuation The Image of Continuation:  • Libraries and library services continue to exist essentially as they currently are.  Unlikely • denies the impact of technology • history shows we adapt

10. 2. Collapse The Image of Collapse: The much predicted death of libraries: A future in which libraries and library services cease to exist The most dire of future images

11. 3. Disciplined The Disciplined Image: • Libraries and library services become organized around traditional values, services and organizations… • librarians as archivists • libraries as places to preserve the culture

12. 4. Transformation The Image of Transformation • libraries and library services evolve into something entirely new • the most difficult future to imagine

13. Dependencies • Changes in government • Changes in technology • Changes in the profession itself • How we respond to these

14. Today, joining up is done by users Citizens and businesses Information and transaction services

15. Integration has to be part of the service Integration Information and transaction services

16. This can apply to internal customers Knowledge Network ELG Shared files WWW Intranet Library GSI Departmental Records

17. What’s wrong with this picture? • ‘E-Government: A Practical Guide to the Legal Issues’, from Sweet & Maxwell That sounds good. But where do I get it from??

18. The future • We will become more customer focused • Customers will know what we do! • They will know its not all about books. • They will know we are not like a public library

19. Our users • They will do most of their information finding themselves • they will get it wrong…. • …..or do it badly • They will come to us for the hard stuff • They won’t realise how much we have done to get them as far as they went

20. What will we actually do? • We will be more involved in the behind- the-scenes work that makes everyone’s lives easier • More cataloguing! • More consultancy • More places and more systems

21. Transformed information systems • Create the one stop information shop • Portals will give access to libraries, records, documents. Websites and intranets will tie in. • This will take some careful structuring and organising of information.

22. The transformed environment Knowledge Network WWW Shared files ELG Intranet Departmental Records GSI Library Search interface

23. The transformed profession • Information organisers and managers, rather than finders • Information will cease to be split by format or geography • Users will do it themselves • They will come to us for the hard stuff • They won’t realise how much we have done to help them find what they do find

24. More transformation • We will get paid more! • (This one might be wishful thinking)

25. Our image won’t change • Some things you just can’t fight.