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The National Drought Mitigation Center Monitoring Drought in the 21 st Century

The National Drought Mitigation Center Monitoring Drought in the 21 st Century. Mark Svoboda, Climatologist National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln. National Drought Mitigation Center.

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The National Drought Mitigation Center Monitoring Drought in the 21 st Century

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  1. The National Drought Mitigation Center Monitoring Drought in the 21st Century Mark Svoboda, Climatologist National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln

  2. National Drought Mitigation Center Mission: To lessen societal vulnerability to drought by promoting planning and the adoption of appropriate risk management techniques.

  3. NDMC Program Objectives • Improve the science of drought monitoring, planning, and mitigation • Build awareness of drought and its impacts on society and the environment • Build awareness of how human actions affect our vulnerability to drought • Focus the attention of policy makers on the importance of drought policy and planning in the wise stewardship of natural resources RESEARCH, OUTREACH, AND TRAINING

  4. Outreach and Training • Workshops • USDA/RMA • U.S. Bureau of Reclamation • International • Website • 6 million page views in 2004 • Drought Monitor • Drought Impact Reporter • Media • 500+ national/international media contacts annually • International

  5. Characteristics of Crisis Management • Reactive, post-impact • Poorly coordinated • Untimely • Poorly targeted • Ineffective

  6. Components of Drought Plans • Monitoring/early warning • Foundation of a drought mitigation plan • Indices linked to impacts and triggers • Risk and impact assessment • Who and what is at risk and why • Mitigation and response • Actions/programs that reduce risk and impacts and enhance recovery

  7. Natural and Social Dimensions of Drought Decreasing emphasis on the natural event (precipitation deficiencies) Increasing emphasis on water/natural resource management Increasing complexity of impacts and conflicts Hydrological Meteorological Agricultural Socio-economic Time/Duration of the event

  8. Vulnerability Analysis • Impact Assessment • Social • Environmental • Economic • Causal Assessment • Temporal Trends

  9. Western Drought Coordination Council How to Reduce Drought Risk Preparedness and Mitigation Working Group March 1998 Principal Authors: Cody Knutson, National Drought Mitigation Center Mike Hayes, National Drought Mitigation Center Tom Phillips, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation http://drought.unl.edu/handbook/risk.pdf

  10. National Initiatives • National Drought Preparedness Act • National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) http://www.westgov.org/wga/publicat/nidis.pdf

  11. NIDIS Goals • Develop leadership and partnerships to ensure implementation of NIDIS • Establish an integrated federal drought researchprogram • Create a drought early warning system • Develop an impact reporting/methodology tool • Provide interactive delivery systems (enhance the Drought Monitor) • Provide a framework for interacting with and educatingdecision makers and the public

  12. U.N. Convention to Combat Desertification “To combat desertification and mitigate the effects of drought . . including the adoption of drought preparedness plans.”

  13. NDMC International Activities Mediterranean Drought Mitigation Workshop ISDR Drought Discussion Group NATO Science Program-Czech Republic MEDROPLAN Project-EC North American Drought Monitor Jordan TCP-FAO South Korea National Drought Center Pakistan National Drought Center Morocco Drought Observatory China/US Drought Monitoring Project w/NOAA/USDA/WMO African Drought Risk Policy Forum w/UNDP DDC Drought/Climate Change Coping Strategies-UNDP DDC Sao Paulo Drought Mitigation and Monitoring Center UNESCO Integrated Drought Risk Management Center for Southern Africa Australian National Drought Policy book

  14. Global Drought Preparedness Network GOAL: To help nations build greater institutional capacity to cope with drought by promoting risk management and sharing lessons learned on drought monitoring and prediction, mitigation, and preparedness. Building a Network of Regional Networks through Regional and Global Partnerships

  15. Global Drought Preparedness Network Individually, many nations will be unable to improve drought coping capacity. Collectively, through global, regional, and national partnerships, we can share information and experiences to reduce the impacts of drought.

  16. GDPN Regional Networks NEMEDCA Network w/ICARDA, FAO and CIHEAM North American Network Asian Network w/ ESCAP, ISDR, WMO and others Sub-Saharan African Network w/UNDP DDC, ISDR and others

  17. National Drought MitigationCenter A Partnership www.unisdr.org

  18. A Web-Based National Drought Impacts Reporting Tool (DRI Reporter) Mark Svoboda, Michael Hayes, Don Wilhite, Melissa Higgins and Deb Wood National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln

  19. Why Monitor Drought Impacts? • Drought is a normal part of the climatic cycle • Drought impacts are significant and widespread • Many economic sectors affected • Drought is expensive • Since 1980, major droughts and heat waves within the U.S. alone have resulted in costs exceeding $100 billion (NCDC)

  20. U.S. Drought Impact Facts • Drought is the most costly U.S. natural disaster • FEMA estimates losses at $6-8 billion annually (1995) • 1988, $39 billion ($62B in 2004 $) • 2002, $20+ billion • 2003, $15+ billion • 2004-05, ??? • Impacts are becoming more complex agriculture, energy production, transportation, tourism and recreation, forest and wild land fires, urban water supply, environment and human health • Conflicts between water users increasing • No systematic national, state, or local assessment of drought impacts

  21. DRI Reporter Tool • Went live on July 27! http://drought.unl.edu • Web-based (GIS architecture) package of products and interactive features • Ability to incorporate user-supplied input and information/feedback (all levels) • A comprehensive archiveof news articles • Location- and theme-based • Map and database formats • Clipping service: 7,100 publications daily • NDMC: 11,000 news stories since 1997

  22. Potential Outcomes • Ability to do national assessments • Building first national impacts database/archive • Consistent reporting methodologies • National, state, local levels • Ingest/integrate regional impact data (RISAs, RCCs, SCs, tribal, state/fed reports, academic, etc.) into national database • Heighten awareness of drought as a hazard

  23. http://drought.unl.edu/

  24. Thanks! Visit the NDMC drought.unl.edu msvoboda2@unl.edu

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