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NWS Climate Services Climate Analysis, Monitoring, and Services Meeting Fiona Horsfall

NWS Climate Services Climate Analysis, Monitoring, and Services Meeting Fiona Horsfall OCWWS/Climate Services Division October 24, 2003. NWS CLIMATE SERVICES Outline. Definition Vision CSD Role of Regional and Field Offices. NWS CLIMATE SERVICES Definition. Real-time monitoring

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NWS Climate Services Climate Analysis, Monitoring, and Services Meeting Fiona Horsfall

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  1. NWS Climate Services Climate Analysis, Monitoring, and Services Meeting Fiona Horsfall OCWWS/Climate Services Division October 24, 2003 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  2. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESOutline • Definition • Vision • CSD • Role of Regional and Field Offices OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  3. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESDefinition • Real-time monitoring • Forecasting products and services • Models and technology, model output • Observations • Customer education, assistance, and outreach • Developing partnerships The timely production and delivery of useful climate data, information, and knowledge to decision makers A Climate Services Vision: First Steps Toward the Future, 2001, NRC OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  4. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESVision • Real-time monitoring of climate variability (including drought conditions) coast to coast down to the county level • New forecast products • Linking weather and climate on intraseasonal time scales • Downscaled to local levels • Reflecting new insight into warm season precipitation, drought, and the Southwest monsoon • Extending beyond a year to a decade or more OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  5. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESVision • User-friendly provider to the private sector of NWS climate models, climate forecast model output, climate guidance products, and know-how • Capacity to ensure the accuracy and continuity of the U.S. historical record • Fully-mobilized regional and field offices for • Customer outreach • Downscaling climate forecasts • Product and information dissemination • Integration and quality control of surface observations OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  6. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESCSD -- Mission • To provide vision, direction, and resources to ensure NWS climate services are easily accessible, well understood, optimally used, and reflect customer needs OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  7. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESCSD -- Roles • Provide direct staff and monetary assistance • Produce guidelines and directives • Ensure availability of training • Coordinate requirements • Facilitate partnerships OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  8. Jiayu Zhou Climate Focal Point, OST Melvyn Gelman NWS Liaison to COSP Supporting NWS CLIMATE SERVICESCSD -- Personnel Bob Reeves Technical Consultant Contract Marina Timofeyeva Visiting Scientist OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  9. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESCSD -- Key External Activities • CSD Chief and CPC Director sit on NCO Board • Matrix link to other LOs directly and through NOAA Climate Office (NCO) • Develops and champions NWS climate budget initiatives OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  10. NWS CLIMATE SERVICES NWS Climate Services Team PPI Interagency Climate Office NOAA Climate Office Climate Board NESDIS OAR NOS NMFS NWS NCEP NGDC NCDC NODC OGP, CDC, GFDL, Sea Grant CSC, OCRM, CWISE OCWWS Regions Matrix Link RCCs CWISE RISAs, IRI, Extension EMC CPC CSD WFOs/ RFCs Regional Manager FY 2003 Focal Points FY 2001 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  11. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESCSD -- Key Internal Activities • Special projects • Statistical downscaling of CPC outlooks for Western (WR), Alaska (AR), and Eastern (ER) Regions • Definition of new homogeneous Climate Divisions for the United States (CDC/CIRES) • Development of an organizational model for regional climate services (CDC/CIRES) OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  12. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESThe Five Pillars Partnerships Education & Outreach Guidelines & Tools Climate Services of the National Weather Service Climate Monitoring & Prediction Products Observations & Data OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  13. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESRole of Regional & Field Offices Goal 1: Organize and equip the regional and local offices with guidelines and tools to enhance climate services Assume ownership of program, self organize (dedicated Program Manager at RHQ, designated focal points at field offices), and commence planning and training in FY03. OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  14. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESRole of Regional & Field Offices Goal 2: Provide reliable, timely, accurate, and secure observations and metatdata for the climate record Ensure standards, rigorous metadata reporting, timely exchange of QC information with partners. Jack Kelly: Our legacy will be our data OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  15. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESRole of Regional & Field Offices Goal 3: Enhance and extend CPC’s product suite to increase the use and effectiveness of regional and local climate information Involvement in CPC team activities; local studies, conditional probabilities, and statistical downscaling; feedback for product requirements; product development; testbed participation. OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  16. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESRole of Regional & Field Offices Goal 4: Conduct outreach to regional and local decisionmakers and users of climate services products OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  17. NWS CLIMATE SERVICESRole of Regional & Field Offices Goal 5: Establish strong partnerships with the climate community to facilitate collaborations in the delivery of regional and local climate services OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  18. NOAA Climate Transition ProgramResearch to Applications • NOAA Climate Transition Program (NCTP) • Developed in collaboration with OAR/OGP • Develops adeliberate bridgefor research to applications • Proposal process • Climate-sensitive research • Transition to applications • Provides funding • Open to all • For expanding regional/local climate services OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  19. Decision- makers Extension Problem Identification Education/ Outreach Prototype Development Transfer to Operations Research Operations NOAA Climate Transition ProgramUnit Model OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  20. NOAA Climate Transition ProgramUnit Model • Criteria for Proposal • Clearly defined roles • Research • Operations • Decisionmaker • Extension • Definedparticipant contributions OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  21. NOAA Climate Transition ProgramUnit Model • Criteria for Proposal cont’d • Formal agreementbetween participants • Statement ofduration and timeline • Benefit analysis(socio-economic and other quantative analyses, ecosystem benefits, etc.) • Addresspost audit(validation, verification, refinement, maintenance) • Expectedoutcome clearly defined OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  22. NOAA Climate Transition ProgramProposal Process • Managed by NOAA Climate Office • Program manager • Cross line office Advisory Panel; NCO Director is approving official • Priorities set by Climate Board in response to recommendations from regions • Letter of Intent in response to Request for Proposal • Submission of Proposal • Review • Scaled recommendations of merit reviewers • Funding allocations • Recommendations of Advisory Panel • Benefits to regional/local climate-sensitive decisionmaking processes OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  23. NOAA Climate Transition ProgramWhat’s next? • NCTP provides a NOAA backbone for Cores for Regional Collaboration • Collaborate on projects for transition of regional products (including NCTP projects) • Build on existing partnerships (eg, in the west, RISA’s, CPC, CDC, WRCC) and develop new ones (WRHQ) • Channel regional climate information into useful regional and local products • Data and information sharing • Quality control OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  24. Climate Cores Oversight/management NWS NESDIS NOS State entities Federal research Federal operations NMFS OAR NOAA RISAs CORE PPI Non-profit RCC Academia SCs Extension Private Sector County Offices OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  25. Climate Cores Share regional/local science Review consistencies across regions Identify policy issues Establish collaborations Identify operational issues Set planning guidelines Facilitate transition of research to operations Communicate funding opportunities Maintain dialogue for regional issues Make recommendations for regional/local priorities OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  26. Climate Cores • A 3-step process • Gather information, needs • Regional conferences • Domain defined by issues, not politics • Develop a capacity for working • Research • Funding • Transfer • Operations • Extension • Delivery and improvement OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  27. Synergistic Core Development New RISA Development Frequency Meetings Core FYO6 Time OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  28. Summary • Climate Services – in the national spotlight • NWS – perfectly poised to deliver climate services • Implementing climate services • Developing partnerships • NOAA – leadership role in climate services • NCTP provides a mechanism for transfer of research to operations with funding attached • Climate Cores – enabling collaborations with regional and local climate communities OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

  29. Thank You OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

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