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Electricity Network Planning until 2050 – The e-HIGHWAY2050 project

Electricity Network Planning until 2050 – The e-HIGHWAY2050 project Romanian Energy Center - REC Round Table. Dr . Mihai PAUN Network Development ENTSO-E. ENTSO-E has significant role in delivering European energy and climate change objectives .

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Electricity Network Planning until 2050 – The e-HIGHWAY2050 project

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  1. Electricity Network Planning until 2050 – The e-HIGHWAY2050 project Romanian Energy Center - REC Round Table Dr. Mihai PAUN Network Development ENTSO-E

  2. ENTSO-E has significant role in deliveringEuropean energy and climate change objectives Key activities set out in Regulation 714/2009 (on cross-border electricity trade, part of the 3rd IEM Package) • Deliver network codes binding to all network users (through ‘Comitology’) • Deliver network plans European / regional view of system needs (“TYNDP”) • Deliver crucial aspects of market integration (“market coupling”) • R&D Plan (fully included in EEGI – European ElectricityGrid Initiative, part of the SET Plan) Through its members deliver the infrastructureto: • enable markets to function, • secure energy supply, • meet climate change objectives through connecting RES 41TSOs (among whom swissgrid) from 34countries; 530 million people; 910 GW gen.; 300 000 km transm.

  3. ENTSO-E Organizational Structure

  4. What are the tools needed for infrastructure development? • The EC’s Infrastructure Legislation! • Transmission line permitting in <3 years with one-stop shops • Transmission regulatory improvements for better financing • The ENTSO-E TYNDPs with better and better cost-benefit methodologies as the basis for “Projects of Common Interest” • A 2030 and 2050 modular transmission plan for a Electricity Highways system • A 3-year R&D study with TSOs + broad consortium for the definitive 2050 grid study • Major changes in electricity generation and use  major changes in transmission • Need to know soon whether to introduce a higher voltage level, of which kind • Transmission becomes cheaper and more efficient (less losses, less land needed) at higher voltage • And: Public acceptance campaigns by MS governments for Electricity Highways, linking European infrastructure to their daily needs

  5. What are the tools needed for infrastructure development (2) • Excursion: what does an Electricity Highways system mean? • Examples exist (China, USA, Brazil, Korea): 750, 765 or even 1000 kV AC, 800 kV DC, but key technology still missing (DC breakers) • May make sense for corridors thousands of km long for 3, 5 or more GW per corridor • ...but only if planned with long-term, European view – each corridor otherwise optimal with 400 kV AC • Must be managed in integrated way with the existing 400 kV-based European transmission system (secure operations, market, planning) • Why does it take 3 years? • The market can and will decide the generation mix but transmission reacts to generation decisions • Long-term scenarios for relative costs of PV, offshore wind, gas w/ CCS, nuclear are highly uncertain • The flexibility, reserves or storage needed to balance RES fluctuations = crucial for security of supply • ...and this interplays with the Electricity Highway planning

  6. The Modular Development Plan on pan-European Electricity Highways System 2050 – MoDPEHS MoDPEHS SteerCo of EH Stakeholder Platform Monitoring Body EC ENTSO-E Regulators (+ Florence Forum) • EIP • R&D Plan • TYNDP • RIPs Internal Study Work • Energy Roadmap 2050 • SO&AF • NS2030 IPS/UPS OPTIMATE Related external Study Work PRIMES KEMA EWIS TWENTIES PRIMES MEDRING SUSPLAN REALIZEGRID FOSG EEGI NSCOGI Parallel platforms with involvement of ENTSO-E members METSO Dii RGI MEDGRID

  7. ENTSO-E Roadmap - the MoDPEHS approach TheENTSO-E Study Roadmap was published in July 2011 (after a consultation process). The realization of the study program will be done by a large consortium (TSOs, DSOs, universities, institutes, manufacturers…). First comprehensive electricity highways concept is intended to be available by end 2014. Context: SET-Plan, EEGI, ENTSO-E R&D Plan

  8. The Timeline: Main steps towards MoDPEHS End 2014 Q2-Q3 2011 Mid 2012 3-year study programe Q3-Q4 2010 Q1-Q2 2011 Stakeholder involvement, dissemination of intermediate results Modular Development Plan on Pan-EuropeanElectricity Highways System 2050 MoDPEHS Preparation of Study Roadmap Broad consultation of Study Roadmap Start of dedicated FP7 project Consortium establishment and submission of FP7 proposal In line with Energy Infrastructure Package

  9. Composition of the consortium 26 directpartners

  10. Regional and contractual representation by the TSO Partners e-HIGHWAY2050 WP TSOs Leaders RGs representation TSOs Partners 7 TSOs 3rd Party Relationship APG AMPRION RG NS EKC Energinet.dk RG BS via 50HzT ELIA Gr. HTSO ENTSO-E REN RG CSW Svenska Kraftnät REE RTE (incl. overall coordination) RG CCE ČEPS TRANSELECTRICA RG CCS SWISSGRID Options TPA RG CSE TERNA 3rdParty Relationship Participating or Represented in the Steering Committee IPE PSE Operator

  11. Project application: e-Highway2050 OBJECTIVE OF E-HIGHWAY2050 • The overarching goal of the e-Highway2050 project is to develop the foundations of a modular and robust expansion of the pan-European network from 2020 to 2050 which will be required to be in line with the three European energy policy pillars. The projectaimsatdevelopingmid to long term planning approachesatEuropeanlevel, supported by R&D activities, and implementing the 5 followingsteps

  12. Detailed objectives of the project To frame the scope of an ENTSO-E 2050 transmission infrastructure plan To detail the candidate grid architectures able to meet the challenges of electricity markets between 2020 and 2050. To validate a portfolio of technologies, which will impact directly or indirectly the grid architecture studies. To detail the non-technical drivers and barriers which new grid architectures must overcome. To study the governance issues raised by some of the candidate architectures. To perform socio-economic analyses of the candidate grid architectures. To involve stakeholder groups at all stages of the scenario-based planning process. To improve and experiment a long term planning methodology able to circumvent the limitations of existing scenario-based techniques. To disseminate the project results.

  13. Work packages and Leaders Leaders WP1 WP2 WP3 WP4 WP5 WP6 WP7 WP8 WP9 WP10 Sintef Amprion Technofi REN Elia Gr RSE DENA RTE ENTSO-E RTE

  14. The overall Governance Structure as proposed Effective control and monitoring measures ensure efficient working procedures of the highly complex and interrelating Work Packages.

  15. 2050 Electricity Highways Governance of the project (2/2) Stakeholder involvement ENTSO-E involvement via monitoring body Effective control and monitoring measures ensure efficient working procedures of the highly complex and interrelating Work Packages.

  16. Technical solutions Technical solutions Technical solutions Generation mix Generation mix Generation mix X ????? X X X ????? ????? X X Storage Cap. Storage Cap. Storage Cap. X ????? X X ????? ????? X X X RES incentives X RES incentives X RES incentives X X X X X X X X Market principles X X Market principles Market principles WP 1: Setting boundaries in multi-dimensional scenario room Policy pathways Generation mix Social acceptance Regulation scheme … Technology pathways 2030 Legal framework 2040 Market principles More relevant dimensions xx, yy, zz 2050

  17. Technical solutions Technical solutions Technical solutions Generation mix Generation mix Generation mix X ????? X X X ????? ????? X X Storage Cap. Storage Cap. Storage Cap. X ????? X X ????? ????? X X X RES incentives X RES incentives X RES incentives X X X X X X X X Market principles X X Market principles Market principles WP 2: Definition of working scenarios within the defined boundaries. Policy pathways Generation mix Social acceptance X Regulation scheme X X X X … X X X 2030 X Technology pathways X Legal framework X X X 2040 X X X X Market principles More relevant dimensions: xx, yy, zz 2050

  18. ENTSO-E paves the way to MoDPEHS Possibilities 2050 2010 2020 2030 Time TYNDP NSCOGI Plannedprojects Envisagedprojects MoDPEHS Possible projects 2050 EnergyPathways (National analysis) FP7 Projects(Susplan, Realisegrid, Twenties, Optimate,…..) …. TSOs Plan EU Policies

  19. Grid developments in NorthSea • For 2020 updated North Seas grid analysis shows that the links identified in the pilot TYNDP are sufficient • First analysis shows that 2030 offshore wind capacities (80 GW) demand new thinking

  20. 2030 offshore wind capacities demand new thinking Radial Local coordination International coordination Fully integrated solution

  21. Smart grids vision 2020: by 2020 European grids need to... • Actively integrate efficient new generation and consumption models • Integrate RES at the different voltage levels • Enable and integrate active demand from end users • Enable & integrate new electricity uses: electric vehicles, heat pumps • Enable energy efficiency by end users • Enable new business opportunities and innovations for market players • Coordinated planning and operation of the whole electricity network • For the pan-European transmission network • Between transmission and distribution networks • Study and propose new market rules to maximize European welfare • New market rules at national and European levels • Smart grids from the TSO view point… • … enable demand response to bid into Europe-wide intra-day and balancing markets.

  22. Conclusion: The future grids must be European, and they must be very smart • EU policies on security of supply, market, and RES integration call for: • Massive development of transmission grids • ENTSO-E’s first TYNDP was a timely initiative to enable the policy debate • Smart grid solutions and e-Highways2050prepare for the future systems • ENTSO-E R&D Plan, EEGI are key to reaching the 20/20/20 goals • Complete communication/control chain TSOs-DSOs-suppliers-customers • Permitting and public acceptance is a central issue: • Without radical changes policy objectives will not be met • A huge financial effort requires new financing tools and regulatory stability ENTSO-E works to prepare the future power system associated with increasing variable RES generation, increasing need for demand response, increasing energy efficiency and steeply decreasing CO2 emissions.

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