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Presentation Contents: Overview of Global Energy Electric Power Uranium Mining ICEM Electric Power Activities in 2007-

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Presentation Contents: Overview of Global Energy Electric Power Uranium Mining ICEM Electric Power Activities in 2007-

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    6. Energy developments in 2007 World primary energy consumption increased by 2.4% in 2007 – down from 2.7% in 2006, but still the fifth consecutive year of aboveaverage growth. The Asia-Pacific region accounted for two-thirds of global energy consumption growth, rising by an above average 5% even though consumption in Japan declined by 0.9%. North American consumption rebounded after a weak year in 2006, rising by 1.6% – double the 10-year average. Chinese growth of 7.7% was the weakest since 2002, although still above the 10-year average (as was China’s economic growth). China again accounted for half of global energy consumption growth. Indian consumption grew by 6.8%, the third-largest volumetric increment after China and the US. EU energy consumption declined by 2.2%, with Germany registering the world’s largest decline in energy consumption.

    10. Living on Two Different planets? Saying that coal will remain the backbone of global energy supply for the next 25 years, IEA Chief Economist Fatih Birol explained the growth of energy demand especially in China and India will mean coal is an essential fuel. “When I was in Davos in January, the energy discussion was all about renewables growth in megawatts. Soon after I was in Singapore and the discussion was all about coal and power generation, talked about in gigawatts. It was like living on two different planets”, Birol said at a conference in Nice. Reuters, 20 May 2008

    15. European Union –Latest Position Climate Change EU'S 20/20/20 VISION: KEY AIMS AND POTENTIAL CHALLENGES AIM: reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 AIM: reduction in energy imports, saving money and increasing energy security AIM: world leadership in renewable energy technology CHALLENGE: government and companies may try to weaken their emissions targets CHALLENGE: some countries likely to find renewables targets very ambitious CHALLENGE: wrangles likely over technicalities of ETS

    16. Sources of Global CO2 Emissions

    20. Nuclear could surge on carbon tax 09 April 2008 Stabilising carbon dioxide concentrations at 550 parts per million (ppm) by 2100 could lead to a nuclear power industry boasting 6000 reactors, according to Sonny Kim of the Joint Global Change Research Institute.    JGCRI research indicates that with no global carbon control policy, emissions would triple by 2100. This would be driven in part by a five-fold increase in electricity generation over the same period. Under this reference scenario nuclear power would grow from 439 reactors and 16% of global electricity now, to about 2400 reactors and 20% of electricity. Should the world act as one to impose a tax on carbon dioxide emissions with the aim of stabilising concentrations of CO2 at 450 ppm, that tax might have to increase as high as $800 per tonne of carbon (about $220 per tonne of CO2). Stabilising at 550 ppm could cost $110 per tonne of CO2 by comparison, and that choice would affect the scale of the future nuclear power industry. The other main factor would be the availability or not of carbon capture and storage to enable the continued use of fossil fuels. Stabilising at 550 ppm with CCS available would see the nuclear power industry expand to 4000 GWe to provide 33% of electricity. Without CCS the figures could be 6000 GWe and 50% of electricity. The value of these scenarios to nuclear was put at $0.9 trillion and $1.3 trillion respectively. An extreme scenario of forcing a stabilisation at 450ppm without the availability of CCS could see a nuclear industry worth a whopping $10 trillion.

    23. Hydroelectricity consumption by area

    24. Nuclear energy consumption by area

    28. The competitiveness of various electricity generation options varies from country to country Nuclear power (new plants) is more competitive than a few years ago The volatility of gas prices reinforce the attractiveness of stable nuclear electricity costs Carbon values will enhance the competitiveness of nuclear energy versus fossil fuels

    32. $45 trillion to wean the world off oil The world will face a bill in excess of $45 trillion to keep global temperature increases below 2.4°C - and would need to build 32 new nuclear power plants per year to help achieve it, says a new report from the International Energy Agency (IEA).   06 June 2008

    33. Nuclear Policies Europe considers its nuclear future 27 May 2008 A top-level European forum on the risks and benefits of nuclear energy has heard repeated calls for harmonised standards for the 150 nuclear power reactors across the group of 27 nations. The European Nuclear Energy Forum (Enef) is the product of an initiative of the March 2007 European Council meeting. It held its second biannual meeting in the Czech capital, Prague, on 22-23 May immediately after Czech politicians voiced their support for an expansion of nuclear power. Italian government set to reintroduce nuclear energy 23 May 2008 The newly-elected Italian government is planning a new generation of nuclear power plants,the minister of economic development Claudio Scajola told a meeting of the Italian employers‘ association, Confindustria. Toshiba expects 33 reactor orders by 2015 22 May 2008 Japan's Toshiba Corporation expects orders for at least 33 nuclear power reactors by 2015, and plans to expand all its nuclear businesses over the period to 2020, according to the company's president. Russia has released an overall plan for siting power plants up to 2020, including up to 42 new nuclear power reactors. Russian government approved the scheme on 22 February.Implementing and monitoring the plan will be the responsibility of the ministry of industry and energy, the ministry of economic development, and the Rosatom corporation under the control of Sergei Kiriyenko. These bodies are to submit an annual progress report on the execution of the scheme to government

    34. South Africa's nuclear policy goes mainstream 13 June 2008 The government of South Africa has eased its way onto the global nuclear stage with cabinet approval of its nuclear policy. This paves the way to a focused nuclear energy future that seeks to increase nuclear reliance from 2 GWe to around 40 GWe by 2025.  Almost one year after approval of the draft policy for public comment, the final document emerged from parliament in Cape Town this week. The policy is a statement to take ownership of the full nuclear fuel cycle. This includes, in some cases, the inclusion of private sector investors together with government agents. The policy allows for flexibility for the country to gain more benefit from the uranium it mines from potential conversion and enrichment works. The contents span the full nuclear fuel cycle including fabrication; used nuclear fuel and radioactive waste management, reprocessing and recycling devolving significant power to the South African Nuclear Energy Corporation (Necsa).  Investment has taken on new proportions with a dedicated clause to encourage private sector investment in "all aspects of the nuclear fuel cycle". This would be propped up by government financial support. Public-private partnerships are emphasised as options in the roll out of nuclear power plants and associated activities. Electricity utility Eskom is to retain majority stakes in nuclear power generating entities.  

    35. Nuclear power in the Middle East (May 2008 BBC) EGYPT Egypt recently announced plans to build a number of nuclear power stations to generate electricity. It says energy security is important to its development. GULF STATES Saudi Arabia has the world's largest oil reserves and an abundance of natural gas but is now also developing a civilian nuclear power supply. Saudi Arabia and the other states of the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) - Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates - have declared an interest in pursuing a joint civilian nuclear programme. In January, France signed a deal to help the United Arab Emirates build a nuclear reactor. JORDAN Last year, King Abdullah of Jordan told Israel's Haaretz newspaper that the rules had changed on the nuclear issue in the Middle East. He went on to announce that his country planned to develop its first nuclear power plant by 2015 for electricity and desalination. He said it was following Egypt and the GCC.

    37. Exploration drives uranium resources up 17% Current economic uranium resources will last for over 100 years at current consumption rates, while it is expected there is twice that amount awaiting discovery. With reprocessing and recycling, the reserves are good for thousands of years. Worldwide around 5.5 million tonnes of uranium that could be economically mined has been identified. The figure is up 17% compared to that from the last study because of a surge in exploration for uranium prompted by a dramatic price increase. The data comes from Uranium 2007: Resources, Production and Demand - often known as the Red Book published every two years by the OECD Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). figures are for deposits which could be mined for less than $59/lb. This compares to the current market spot price of around $70/lb. Based on 2006 nuclear electricity generation data, the 5.5 million tonnes of known uranium would be enough to sustain nuclear power's current contribution in electricity for more than a century. IAEA projections for the future of nuclear power see it expanding from 372 GWe today to 509-663 GWe by 2030. Such growth would cause an increase in uranium demand from 66,500 tonnes per year to between 94,000 and 122,000 tonnes. The NEA concluded that "currently identified resources are adequate to meet this expansion," noting that advanced reactors and the reprocessing and recycling of uranium "could increase the long-term availability of nuclear energy from a century to thousands of years.“ June 2008

    38. Rio Tinto aims to double uranium production 15 February 2008 In announcing record annual results, Rio Tinto said it plans to double its annual uranium production by 2015 Uranium boom During 2007 Rio Tinto produced 4589 tonnes of uranium from its Ranger mine in north Australia and 2582 tonnes from Rossing in Namibia, making a total of 7171 tonnes of uranium. Rio Tinto is already the world's second largest uranium producer. Doubling output would take it well clear of rival Cameco's current production rate of 8250 tonnes of uranium per year, although Cameco has plans to increase capacity - notably through the Cigar Lake mine which could produce 7000 tonnes per year alone. Another rival in the uranium world, KazAtomProm, is also planning extraordinary expansion. Over the 2001-2005 period, Kazakh uranium production rose from 2000 to 4357 tonnes per year, and further mine development is underway with a view to annual production of 15,000 tonnes by 2010. Preliminary figures released today by the US Energy Information Administration showed a steady rise in US uranium output over the last few years, and a jump in uranium production of 14% compared to 2006 taking output levels back to what they had been in the late 1990s. A total of 1800 tonnes of uranium was produced from five mines and one mill which was treating secondary material.

    40. ICEM Electric Power Activities in 2007-8

    45. ICEM Asia Electric Power Union Network Meeting July 7-8, 2007 Ulaan Baatar, Mongolia Next meeting April 22-23, 2008 Taipei, Taiwan

    46. ICEM Asia Electric Power Union Network Meeting April 22-23, 2008 Taipei, Taiwan

    48. Global Framework Agreement with EDF

    50. ICEM On-going Program of Action

    52. Action for Social Energy Democratic basis for national choices Full union involvement Proper regulatory framework Rules to prevent dumping Assist affiliates fighting destructive privatization Modernization of public enterprises Public services obligations

    53. Action for Social Energy Strengthen bargaining Global Agreements with MNC’s Unions and their international to develop Energy policies Union-building Training programs Organizing is a priority Building global solidarity

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