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AFN In Transition, 2000-2010. Where we are… How we have changed… Where we will be…. A preliminary report compiled by the Institute for Social and Economic Research. Where we are… A Snapshot of Alaska Natives in 2000. Relatively young population facing unique challenges and change
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AFN In Transition, 2000-2010 Where we are… How we have changed… Where we will be… A preliminary report compiled by the Institute for Social and Economic Research
Where we are… A Snapshot of Alaska Natives in 2000 • Relatively young population facing unique challenges and change • Large regional differences in demographic composition and patterns of change • Roughly equal distribution of male and female Native Alaskans • Large share of Alaska Natives live outside of Alaska AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
2000 Race /Ethnicity Question – select all appropriate ethnic backgrounds 6. What is this person's race? Mark [X] one or more races to indicate what this person considers himself/herself to be. O White O Black, African Am., or Negro O American Indian or Alaska Native - Print name of enrolled or principal tribe. _________________________ O Asian Indian O Chinese O Filipino O Japanese O Korean O Vietnamese O Other Asian - Print race. ___________________________ O Native Hawaiian O Guamanian or Chamorro O Samoan O Other Pacific Islander - Print race. _____________________________ O Some other race - Print race. _____________________________ Where we are… A Snapshot of Alaska Natives in 2000 AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … 2000 Population Overview AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
1990 Race /Ethnicity Question – self-select a single ethnicity 4. Race Fill ONE circle for the race that the person considers himself/herself to be. If Indian (Amer.), print the name of the enrolled or principal tribe. If Other Asian or Pacific Islander (API), print one group, for example: Hmong, Fijian, Laotian, Thai, Tongan, Pakistani, Cambodian, and so on. If Other race, print race. O White O Black or Negro O Indian (Amer.) (Print the name of the enrolled or principal tribe.) _________________________ O Eskimo O Aleut Asian or Pacific Islander (API) O Chinese O Japanese O Filipino O Asian Indian O Hawaiian O Samoan O Korean O Guamanian O Vietnamese O Other API ↓ ____________________ O Other race (Print race) _________________________ Where we are… A Snapshot of Alaska Natives in 2000 AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are… A Snapshot of Alaska Natives in 2000 AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Source: ISER Where we are … 2000 Population Overview: by region AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … 2000 Population Overview: by region AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … 2000 Population Overview: by region AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … 2000 Population Overview: by age AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … 2000 Population Overview: by age AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … 2000 Population Overview: by age AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … Alaska Natives Living Abroad AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … Alaska Natives Living Abroad AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … Alaska Natives Living Abroad AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … Alaska Natives Living Abroad AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we are … Alaska Natives Living Abroad AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … General trends since 1990: • State population growth has been greater among Alaska Natives relative to non-Natives • Regional growth rates varied, but by far the Southern region grew most rapidly – mainly due to out-migration from other regions and states • The cohort of Alaska Natives between ages 10 and 18 now comprise the largest share of the Alaskan Native population • The share of Alaska Natives aged 40-55 experienced the fastest growth since 1990 and comprise the second largest share of the population • Alaska Natives aged 70-74 and 85+ grew roughly at an annual rate of 6% AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … General trends since 1990: • Population distribution between males and females has remained relatively constant • Infant Mortality rates have declined but large regional differences persist among Alaska Natives and infant mortality rates remain double non-Native infant mortality • Alaska Natives are increasingly multi-ethnic • Changes in the 2000 census invalidate Alaska Native population growth statistics based on straightforward comparisons to the 1990 census; the choice of a bridging method will strongly influence the statistics used in determining Federal and State appropriations AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Statewide Population Growth AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Regional Population Growth AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Population Change by Age: all ages AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Source: US Census, (2000 Native with one or more ethnicities); ISER How we have changed … Population Change by Age: all ages and gender AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Source: US Census, (2000 Native with one or more ethnicities); ISER How we have changed … Population Change by Age: all ages and gender AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Population Change by Age: 5 year cohorts AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Population Change by Age: young, old, and elders AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Changes in Mortality and Fertility: Infant Mortality AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Changes in Mortality and Fertility: Infant Mortality AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Changes in Mortality and Fertility: Infant Mortality AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Changes in Mortality and Fertility: Infant Mortality AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Changes in Mortality and Fertility: Life Expectancy AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Changes in Mortality and Fertility: General Fertility Rate AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Migration AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Migration AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
How we have changed … Migration AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we will be … What can we expect in 2010 and beyond: • A large increase in the share of 19-29 year olds – these changes will likely lead to: • Large wave of new entrants into the labor force • New “baby boom” • Less of a demand for elementary education between 2000-2010, but growing demand after 2010 • Greater demand for higher education • A large increase in 40-60 year olds - this change implies: • Large Alaska Native labor force – without adequate labor demand in rural areas out-migration and unemployment can be expected to increase • Growth of Alaska Native retirees after 2010 • An increasing share of multi-ethnic Alaskan Natives AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we will be … AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we will be … AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we will be … AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we will be … AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we will be … AFN in Transition, 2000-2010
Where we will be … AFN in Transition, 2000-2010