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Future Learning: Desire or Fate?

Future Learning: Desire or Fate?. Professor Gilly Salmon, University of Leicester. Are we educating students well enough: those who will need to solve the challenges of the 21 st Century?. http://www.futures.hawaii.edu. http://www.le.ac.uk/beyonddistance/calf/.

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Future Learning: Desire or Fate?

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  1. Future Learning: Desire or Fate? Professor Gilly Salmon, University of Leicester

  2. Are we educating students well enough: those who will need to solve the challenges of the 21st Century? http://www.futures.hawaii.edu http://www.le.ac.uk/beyonddistance/calf/

  3. “…but to myself I seem to have been only like a boy playing on the sea-shore, and diverting myself in now and then finding a smoother pebble or a prettier shell than ordinary, whilst the great ocean of truth lay all undiscovered before me." Isaac Newton (1642-1727)In Brewster, Memoirs of Newton (1855), vol II, Ch. 27 Gilly Salmon, July 2008

  4. The future is not to be forecast but created. • What we do today will decide the shape of things tomorrow • Ervin Laszlo, Founder of the Club of Budapest

  5. There are so many variables that you don’t know what the hell is going to happen. That’s when a leader or a group comes in and says what they want to see happen. • (Hank Lederer of the Minnesota Futurists)

  6. “Heavier than air flying machines are impossible” Lord Kelvin, President of the Royal Society Ernest Rutherford (Founder of nuclear physics, Nobel Prize winner) once declared ‘talk of nuclear power is moonshine’ British Astronomer Royal, Sir Harald Spencer Jones, 1957 space flight is ‘bunk’ (Russian Sputnik launched 2 weeks later) Thomas J. Watson CEO of IBM, “there is a world market for five computers” Gilly Salmon, July 2008

  7. Big trends (looking backwards for looking forwards) Gilly Salmon, July 2008

  8. Ripples from the history of Education Bruner Lave Dewey Vygotsky Marton Freire Situated Säljö reflective practice Inquiry Pask Seely Brown instructional design Discovery conversation double loop Laurillard Constructivism Biggs Piaget Resnick connectivism problem based learning Gilly Salmon, July 2008

  9. Motive power: industrial revolution 10 3 Computing power Performance =10 increase Costs = 10 decrease 5 3 Computing power Performance = 10 increase Costs = 10 decrease 4 2 1 horse power 1,000 Horse power 3 http://www.computerhistory.org, http://www.informationeconomy.sa.gov.au/digital_engagement/jargonbuster/optical_fibre, http://www.applebytes.info/apbC.html, Laszlo ( 2006 p. 106)

  10. 2008 E-assess Blog Podcasts Wikis E-portfolio Social bookmarks 2008 UCISA/JISC Survey of Technology Enhanced Learning Browne, Hewitt, Jenkins & Walker

  11. 2008 Drivers Constraints/ challenges Enhancing L & T Technology Enhanced Learning in Higher Education Lack of time Meeting students’ expectations Staff skills Committed local champions Career Development Opportunities E-learning strategies Support for Web 2.0 technologies Central support/funding 2008 UCISA/JISC Survey of Technology Enhanced Learning Browne, Hewitt, Jenkins & Walker

  12. Technologies ‘to campus watch’ Adoption Horizons (in years) 4-5 2-3 1 Grassroots video (capture, edit, share) Collaboration webs (personal, flexible, free) Mobile /devices & broadband (affordable, portable, deliverable) Data mash-ups (converge, re-represent) Collective intelligence (large numbers, explicit & implicit collection) Social operating Systems (organisation of knowledge round people rather than content)

  13. Collective sharing & knowledge generation 3 dimensions of computing People connecting via the network 7 Metatrends over 5 years Communications Between human & machines Games as pedagogical tools Users as content producers Ubiquitous platforms http://www.nmc.org/horizon/

  14. Lord Robbins Lord Dearing http://www.leeds.ac.uk/educol/ncihe/, http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=11463

  15. Micro trends (making a difference) Gilly Salmon, July 2008

  16. Never doubt the power of a small group of people to change the world. Nothing else ever has. Margaret Mead Be the change you want to see in the world Mahatma Ghandi

  17. Microtrends – on Facebook. http://apps.new.facebook.com/microtrends

  18. Visioning Gilly Salmon, July 2008

  19. To them that come after us, it may be as ordinary to buy a pair of wings to fly to the remotest regions, as now a pair of boots to ride a journey, and to confer at the distance of the Indies by sympathetic conveyances, may be as usual in the future as literary conveyances Joseph Glanvill, philosopher, clergyman and chaplain to Charles II of England 1661 Gilly Salmon, July 2008

  20. Some men see things as they are and say, why? I dream things that never were and say why not?’ Robert Kennedy

  21. “Change comes most of all from the unvisited no man’s land between the disciplines” Norbert Wiener Gilly Salmon, July 2008

  22. Pictures from Flickr: Avi- Abrams, hornsrev.dk/Engelsk/default_ie.htm, www.darkroastedblend.com/2007/10/cool-road-rail-vehicles.html enchgallery.com/fractals/fractalpages/suspension.htm,

  23. A word about ‘resistance’

  24. Creating the future through curriculum

  25. Delivery Pedagogical Challenge 1 5 Development 4 Choice of learning technology/ enhancement 2 Design 3

  26. New books & Learning Futures Festival www.le.ac.uk/beyonddistance/festival www.podcastingforlearning.com

  27. Thanks for listening Please carry on the discussion online

  28. Additional refs/bibiography • Stille, A. (2003) The Future of the Past, Picador, London. • Long term views of trends. • Laszlo, E. (2006) The Chaos Point: the world at a crossroads, Hampton, London. See the nice foreward by the (now late) Arthur C. Clarke & the brief excursion into chaos theory. • Dregni, E. & Dregni, J. Follies of Science, 20th Century visions of our Fantastic Future SpeckPress, Denver Colorado. Fabulous & easy read, and loads of pictures, good mix of science and fiction, also attempts to look well at 21st Century science. • http://www.ucisa.ac.uk/groups/tlig/surveys.aspx • The UCISA surveys- 2001-8. • 2008 Horizon ReportJohnson, Laurence F., Levine, Alan, and Smith, Rachel S. 2008 Horizon Report. Austin, TX: The New Media Consortium, 2008. • http://www.nmc.org/horizon/ • Like the hype cycles models? • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hype_cycle, reasonably good, free summary. The Garnter paper usually have to be paid for. Their new book is Mastering the hype cycle: how to choose the right innovation at the right time. Fenn & Raskino.

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