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Overview FAA/AST Suborbital Market Study May 19, 2004 Paula Trimble Federal Aviation Administration

Overview FAA/AST Suborbital Market Study May 19, 2004 Paula Trimble Federal Aviation Administration Associate Administrator for Commercial Space Transportation. Overview.

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Overview FAA/AST Suborbital Market Study May 19, 2004 Paula Trimble Federal Aviation Administration

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  1. Overview FAA/AST Suborbital Market Study May 19, 2004 Paula Trimble Federal Aviation Administration Associate Administrator for Commercial Space Transportation

  2. Overview • FAA/AST promotes the development of a vibrant launch industry through a variety of activities, including providing fair and balanced information about commercial space transportation markets. • AST plans to conduct a Suborbital Space Transportation Market Analysis to be completed in October 2004. • Comments, input, and suggestions from the COMSTAC RLV Working Group are encouraged and desired.

  3. Objectives • Provide an updated assessment of the markets for suborbital vehicles in the next 10 years • Provide updates on the development of U.S. suborbital launch vehicles

  4. Background • In 2002, Department of Commerce Office of Space Commercialization released report “Suborbital Reusable Launch Vehicles and Applicable Markets” • Highlighted current suborbital markets: • National Missile Defense Tests • Sounding Rocket Research Activities • Described Emerging Suborbital Markets: • Military Surveillance • Commercial/Civil Earth Imagery • Media, Advertising, and Sponsorship • Space Tourism

  5. FAA/AST Study Outline • History of suborbital spaceflight • Year in Review of suborbital activity • Vehicle-by-vehicle update/assessment • Markets • Immediate – Next 10 years • Markets addressed in DOC Report • Other markets TBD (Input from RLV WG needed) • Spaceports • Summary of FAA Regulations • Non-technical hurdles • Insurance • Other

  6. Existing Data Points • Environmental report for Mojave Airport site license states number of anticipated launches for two launch vehicle concepts • Concept A vehicles: Maximum of 6 launches per year from 2004-2008 (30 total) • Concept B vehicles: No launches in 2004, 10 launches in 2005, 25 launches in 2006, 30 launches in 2007, 50 launches in 2008 (115 total) • Similar data is expected from the environmental assessment for the proposed Oklahoma launch site • Forecast for suborbital sounding rockets

  7. Questions for RLV Working Group • Should FAA/AST study address both manned and unmanned markets for suborbital launch vehicles? • DARPA/AF RASCAL and FALCON • Microsatellites and university-class payloads • Homeland Security • What additional market analysis would be useful?

  8. Follow-up • Final report anticipated for October COMSTAC • AST would like interim review of report by RLV Working Group this summer • Provide input to: • Paula Trimble, AST-100, 202-493-4468 • Paula.trimble@faa.gov • John Sloan, AST-100, 202-267-7989 • John.sloan@faa.gov

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