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Visions of Europe in the world. Workshop 2 THE “CENTRE-PERIPHERY” VISION: towards a dissymmetrical Euro-Mediterranean pattern. WORLD EVIDENCES - The “North-South regions”. Share in the World population & GDP, 1952-1998. WORLD EVIDENCES - The “North-South regions”. Synthesis.
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Visions of Europe in the world Workshop 2 THE “CENTRE-PERIPHERY” VISION: towards a dissymmetrical Euro-Mediterranean pattern
WORLD EVIDENCES - The “North-South regions”.Share in the World population & GDP, 1952-1998
WORLD EVIDENCES - Bilateral international trade flows (1996-2000, EU25 aggregated)
VISIONS - The vision of world division by the ESPON members (Survey)
VISIONS- Official development assistance to the neighbourhood and the EU share (members and Commission, ann. average 2001-04)
VISIONS - Destination of German Foreign Direct Investmentin the neighbourhood (stock, 2003)
VISIONS – Share of the neighbourhood in FDI (out stocks) Japan USA Germany Idem, excluding intra UE15 FDI Spain Idem, excluding intra UE15 FDI France Idem, excluding intra UE15 FDI
REGIONAL EVIDENCES – The center-periphery delimitation varies in the time (e.g. GDP / inhab.)
REGIONAL EVIDENCES - Egypt tourism (origins of tourists to Egypt, ann. average 2001-2003)
REGIONAL EVIDENCES - Demographic and markets opportunityPopulation in 2030 Demographic development 1955-2045
Territorial assets of the North-South Vision • 1- A deeper Euro mediterranean integration, despite being asymmetrical (2010 free trade zone) • 2- Mediterranean European territories will boost their development • 3- Europe improves catching up with Asian and American counterparts (although not on the high-tech base of the Lisbon strategy)
Shortcomings of the North-South Vision • 1- The relocation of the environmental burden on the southern shore of the Mediterranean is not sustainable • 2- No de-pollution of the Mediterranean • 3- No change in the migration mix: mainly low educated migrants toward Mediterranean Europe • 4- Southern brain drain is not stopped • 5- North Africa as gatekeeper against sub-Saharan African migrants
Expected impacts on EU territorial cohesion Global cities Global gateway National capitals or other major cities Rural regions Touristic regions Old industrial regions High tech regions