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Personal Consumption Expenditures. New Classification System. Clint McCully , Chief Consumption Branch, NIWD National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference April 13, 2007. PCE Classification Background. PCE classification system born in 1947
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Personal Consumption Expenditures New Classification System Clint McCully, Chief Consumption Branch, NIWD National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference April 13, 2007
PCE ClassificationBackground • PCE classification system born in 1947 • Since 1947 . . . • Large increases in consumer incomes • Changes—demographic, technological, cultural, legal, tastes • Many new goods and services • Increased importance of services, including nonprofit organizations • Marginalization/obsolescence of other goods and services • New and expanded sources of funding • PCE classification in 2007 • About the same as 1947
New PCE ClassificationWhat It Is • New structures • Type of expenditure (functional) • Type of product (by durability) • Functional structure combines structures for individual and nonprofit consumption in the 1993 UN System of National Accounts • Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose (COICOP) • Classification of Total Outlays of Non-Profit Institutions Serving Households (NPISH) by Purpose (COPNI) • Product structure follows SNA classification of durable goods, semidurable goods, nondurable goods, and services
New PCE ClassificationWhat It Accomplishes • Creates a relevant, logical and demand-based structure • Accounts for transactions between households and NPISH • Achieves greater consistency with household surveys • Improves PCE deflation by precisely matching categories with associated price indexes • Facilitates comparisons with other countries
New PCE Classification Incorporation • 2002 I/O benchmark estimates • Functional classification • Released in 2007 • Benchmark estimates in 2008 • Time series back to 1929
PCE Functional Classification: New and current 1997 No change in total NEW Household Consumption Expenditures 1. Food and non-alcoholic beverages 2. Alcoholic beverages and tobacco 3. Clothing and footwear 4. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels 5. Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 6. Health 7. Transportation 8. Communication 9. Recreation and culture 10.Education 11. Restaurants and accommodation services 12. Insurance and other financial services 13. Miscellaneous goods and services 14. Net foreign travel and remittances Final Consumption Expenditures of Nonprofit Institutions Serving Households (NPISH) CURRENT • Food and tobacco • Clothing, accessories, and jewelry • Personal care • Housing • Household operation • Medical care • Personal business • Transportation • Recreation • Education and research • Religious and welfare activities • Foreign travel by U.S. residents 5547.4 5440.4 421.5 115.4 263.8 999.1 268.1 932.8 634.4 121.6 521.9 98.3 340.6 427.6 326.0 -21.1 107.3 5547.4 850.0 337.4 82.9 842.6 616.2 1002.8 412.9 685.2 474.5 129.7 134.2 -21.1
PCE Functional Classification: New and current 1997 NEW Household Consumption Expenditures 1. Food and non-alcoholic beverages 2. Alcoholic beverages and tobacco 3. Clothing and footwear 4. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels 5. Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 6. Health 7. Transportation 8. Communication 9. Recreation and culture 10.Education 11. Restaurants and accommodation services 12. Insurance and other financial services 13. Miscellaneous goods and services 14. Net foreign travel and remittances Final Consumption Expenditures of Nonprofit Institutions Serving Households (NPISH) CURRENT • Food and tobacco • Clothing, accessories, and jewelry • Personal care • Housing • Household operation • Medical care • Personal business • Transportation • Recreation • Education and research • Religious and welfare activities • Foreign travel by U.S. residents 5547.4 5440.4 421.5 115.4 263.8 999.1 268.1 932.8 634.4 121.6 521.9 98.3 340.6 427.6 326.0 -21.1 107.3 5547.4 850.0 337.4 82.9 842.6 616.2 1002.8 412.9 685.2 474.5 129.7 134.2 -21.1 New categories Disappearing Categories
PCE Functional Classification: New and current NEW Household Consumption Expenditures 1. Food and non-alcoholic beverages 2. Alcoholic beverages and tobacco 3. Clothing and footwear 4. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels 5. Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 6. Health 7. Transportation 8. Communication 9. Recreation and culture 10.Education and research 11. Restaurants and accommodation services 12. Insurance and other financial services 13. Miscellaneous goods and services 14. Net foreign travel and remittances Final Consumption Expenditures of Nonprofit Institutions Serving Households (NPISH) CURRENT • Food and tobacco • Clothing, accessories, and jewelry • Personal care • Housing • Household operation • Medical care • Personal business • Transportation • Recreation • Education and research • Religious and welfare activities • Foreign travel by U.S. residents 421.5 115.4 18.2 Pet food 294.9
PCE Functional Classification: New and current NEW Household Consumption Expenditures 1. Food and non-alcoholic beverages 2. Alcoholic beverages and tobacco 3. Clothing and footwear 4. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels 5. Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 6. Health 7. Transport 8. Communication 9. Recreation and culture 10.Education and research 11. Restaurants and accommodation services 12. Insurance and other financial services 13. Miscellaneous goods and services 14. Net foreign travel and remittances Final Consumption Expenditures of Nonprofit Institutions Serving Households (NPISH) CURRENT • Food and tobacco • Clothing, accessories, and jewelry • Personal care • Housing • Household operation • Medical care • Personal business • Transportation • Recreation • Education and research • Religious and welfare activities • Foreign travel by U.S. residents 188.7 268.1 103.6 Telephone
PCE Product Classification NEW Structure CURRENT Structure 1997 • Durable Goods • Motor vehicles • Furnishings & durable household equipment • Recreational equipment & vehicles • Other durable goods • Nondurable Goods • Semidurable goods • Clothing and footwear • Recreational and reading items • Household items • Motor vehicle parts & • accessories • Personal items • Other nondurable goods • Purchased food, beverages and • tobacco • Gasoline and other energy goods • Other nondurable goods, n.e.c. 557.6 254.0 130.8 99.7 73.2 1465.0 473.8 249.3 114.4 58.3 39.1 12.8 991.2 537.0 147.7 306.6 692.7 305.1 256.2 131.4 1619.0 796.2 258.1 147.7 416.9 • Durable Goods • Motor vehicle and parts • Furniture and household • equipment • Other • Nondurable Goods • Food • Clothing and shoes • Gasoline, fuel oil & other energy goods • Other To semidurables Purchased meals to services New categories
PCE Product Classification (cont.) NEW Structure CURRENT Structure 1997 3524.8 3417.6 975.9 803.8 206.9 213.9 340.6 427.6 448.9 107.2 3235.8 842.6 337.0 245.7 873.0 215.1 722.4 • Services • Household consumption • expenditures • Housing and utilities • Health care • Transportation services • Recreational and cultural activities • Restaurants and • accommodation services • Insurance and other financial • services • Other services • Final consumption expenditures of • nonprofit institutions serving • households • Services • Housing • Household operation services • Transportation services • Medical care services • Recreation services • Other services New categories
PCE Product Classification NEW Structure CURRENT Structure • Durable Goods • Motor vehicles • Recreational equipment & vehicles • …….. • Nondurable Goods • Semidurable goods • Motor vehicle parts & accessories • …….. • Other nondurable goods • …….. • Services • ……. • Durable Goods • Motor vehicle and parts • Furniture and household equipment • Others • Nondurable Goods • Food • Clothing and shoes • Gasoline, fuel oil & other energy goods • Others • Services • Housing • Household operation services • Transportation services • Medical care services • Recreation services • Other services 254.0 9.2 41.9
PCE Product Classification NEW Structure CURRENT Structure • Durable Goods • …….. • Nondurable Goods • Semidurable goods • Other nondurable goods • Food and non-alcoholic beverages • Alcoholic beverages & tobacco • …….. • Nondurable recreational items, n.e.c. • …….. • Services • …….. • Restaurants & accommodation • ……. • Durable Goods • Motor vehicle and parts • Furniture and household equipment • Others • Nondurable Goods • Food • Clothing and shoes • Gasoline, fuel oil & other energy goods • Others • Services • Housing • Household operation services • Transportation services • Medical care services • Recreation services • Other services