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From 35,000 to 15,000 Feet: Evangelicals in the United States and Canada: A State/Province, Metro, and County Glimpse. Prepared by the Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, Dr. J. D. Payne, Director.
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From 35,000 to 15,000 Feet: Evangelicals in the United States and Canada: A State/Province, Metro, and County Glimpse Prepared by the Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, Dr. J. D. Payne, Director
Presentation Prepared by J. D. Payne, Renee Emerson, and Matthew Pierce, Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary • In order to understand this presentation better, you are urged to download and read the free corresponding report of the same name from the Articles section of www.NorthAmericanMissions.org • For more information, contact: J. D. Payne at jpayne@sbts.edu or the Church Planting Center at churchplanting@sbts.edu
two important limitations • Definition of Evangelical used in the research report of Religious Congregations and Membership in the United States: 2000 • Because of this broad definition used, from a missiological perspective, I (Payne) firmly believe the number of Kingdom Citizens living missional lives in these locations of the U. S. and Canada are, in reality, much lower than they appear in this presentation. • Age of the data.
what is not here • The 15,000 feet perspective is still a big picture perspective; so you will not find: • Pockets of lostness • Substantial numbers of Unreached People Groups who have migrated to the U. S. or Canada • Receptivity levels to the gospel (For important information related to these three matters, see the corresponding report linked to Slide #2.)
why these statistics • Most missiologists have labeled unreached peoples of the world numbering approximately 2% or less evangelical, with 5% or less Christian adherents • The desire to show how the statistics look in the U.S. and Canada • Some missiologists have encouraged setting goals of evangelical church to population ratios of 1:1500 in urban contexts and 1:500 in rural contexts.
Moving from 35,000 to 15,000 feet • 35,000 feet perspective—maps revealing the total estimated percentage of Evangelicals in a country • 15,000 feet perspective—maps in this presentation showing the total estimated percent of Evangelicals in a state/province, metro, and county • This change in perspective provides us with a more accurate and surprising picture of reality
data sources • The U. S. data for this presentation was taken from The Association of Religion Data Archives (2000 Religious Congregations and Membership Study) • Data on the U. S. is ten years old at the time of this study by the Church Planting Center • The Canadian data for this presentation was provided by Lorne Hunter, Outreach Canada • 2006 data on Canada was four years old at the time of this study by the Church Planting Center
the purpose • To note the need for better and more contemporary missiological research in North America. • To note important data is available to Evangelicals if they are willing to search for it. • To emphasize wise missionary strategy is guided by good missiological research. • To point out some of the least evangelical areas of the United States and Canada • To urge strategists across denominations and churches to consider the importance of prioritizing most needy areas (and most receptive).
contents of presentation • The percentage of Evangelicals per U. S. state • The evangelical church to population ratio of each U. S. state • A sampling of some U. S. counties with 10% or less evangelical population AND the evangelical church to population ratio in each of those counties • A list of U. S. Metro areas with less than 10% evangelical population • A specific list of U. S Metro areas with less than 3% evangelical population • The number of evangelical churches and the evangelical church to population ratios in selected Canadian cities (2006)
strategic recommendations • Missionary strategies for the U. S. and Canada must reflect a wise stewardship of the opportunities the Lord has provided • While evangelical need is not the only factor that should be taken into consideration for wise strategic planning (receptivity levels must be included as well-see corresponding report), need is a major factor that should be considered
strategic recommendations • Evangelicals must begin to do more and better missiological research throughout the U. S. and Canada and share their findings for the sake of the Kingdom • Evangelicals must begin prioritizing areas of the greatest need for gospel sowing and church multiplication • Within the areas of the greatest need the most strategic area/people to begin missional labors is among the most receptive to the gospel. Who is presently asking the Philippian Jailer Question in your area? If you don’t know—find out!
strategic recommendations • Evangelicals should consider using an evangelical church to population ratio of 1:1000 (urban) and 1:500 (rural)
Alabama: 41% evangelical, 717 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Alaska: 13% evangelical, 1,511 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Arizona: 10% evangelical, 2,959 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Arkansas: 43% evangelical, 586 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
California:7% evangelical; 3,760 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Colorado: 11% evangelical, 2,573 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Connecticut: 2% evangelical, 7,403 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Delaware: 5% evangelical, 3,628 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Florida: 14% evangelical, 2,401 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Georgia: 28% evangelical, 1,272 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Hawaii: 8% evangelical, 2,898 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Idaho: 9% evangelical, 2,193 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Illinois: 10% evangelical, 2,597 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Indiana: 16% evangelical, 1,481 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Iowa: 12% evangelical, 1,859 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Kansas: 16% evangelical, 1,489 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Kentucky: 34% evangelical, 788 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Louisiana: 22% evangelical, 1,755 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Maine: 3% evangelical, 3,783 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Maryland: 8% evangelical, 3,655 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Massachusetts: 2% evangelical, 8,078 people per church Barnstable and Yarmouth Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Michigan: 11% evangelical, 2,615 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Minnesota: 11% evangelical, 2,431 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Mississippi: 40% evangelical, 754 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Missouri: 25% evangelical, 1,111 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Montana: 11% evangelical, 1,251 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Nevada: 5% evangelical, 5,124 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
New Hampshire: 2% evangelical, 6,088 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
New Jersey: 2% evangelical, 7,540 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
New Mexico: 13% evangelical, 1,718 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
New York: 3% evangelical, 6,607 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
North Carolina: 27% evangelical, 1,172 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
North Dakota: 11% evangelical, 1,504 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Nebraska: 15% evangelical, 1,693 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Ohio: 10% evangelical, 2,254 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Oklahoma: 42% evangelical, 787 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009
Oregon: 11% evangelical, 1,909 people per church Statistic Source: The Association of Religion Data Archives Presentation by: The Church Planting Center, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, 2009