Welcome to the BioEarth Kick-Off Meeting!

1. Welcome to the BioEarth Kick-Off Meeting! Apr 11-12, 2011 Pullman, Washington

2. Outline • Background on NSF/USDA/DOE RFP • BioEarth Project Overview • Related Projects and Programs • BioEarth Project Organization • Kick-Off Meeting Objectives and Agenda • Some Examples of Initial Decisions to Make

3. Funding Agencies and Request For Proposals (RFP) • Joint RFP: NSF, USDA, DOE (submission to and review by NSF; ours was selected for funding by USDA) • “Decadal and Regional Climate Predictions using Earth System Models (EaSM)” • Two types: (ours is Type II) • Type I: Capacity Building: 15-20 awards (up to 3 yr, $300k/yr) • Type II: Full Research Projects: 6-10 awards (3-5 yr, $300k-$1M/yr): “large, ambitious, collaborative, inter/multidisciplinary efforts that advance the state of Earth System Modeling on regional and decadal scales” RFP URL: http://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2010/nsf10554/nsf10554.htm

4. RFP Specific Objectives • Overall Goal: to improve upon and expand on current modeling capabilities to substantively contribute to the advancement of reliable regional and decadal climate predictions. • Specific Goals: • Achieve comprehensive, reliable global and regional predictions of decadal climate variability and change through advanced understanding of the coupled interactive physical, chemical, biological and human processes that drive the climate system. • Quantify the impacts of climate variability and change on ecological, agricultural and other human systems, and identify and quantify feedback loops through which human systems help determine environmental outcomes. • Maximize the utility of available observational and model data for impact and vulnerability/resilience assessments through up/downscaling activities. • Effectively translate model results and associated uncertainties into the scientific basis for well-informed human adaptation to and management decisions for climate change.

5. Status on Award • National Institute of Food and Agriculture (NIFA) Official Award Notification on April 1, 2011 (project start date was April 1) • Subaward contracts currently being initiated • Separate budgets will be created for each unit within WSU • Official 3-agency public announcement not yet made

6. BioEarth Project Overview

7. Goal and Objectives Overarching Goal: To improve the understanding of regional and decadal-scale C:N:H2O interactions in context of global change to better inform decision makers involved in natural and agricultural resource management. Specific Objectives: Air to Land Linkage: To investigate the role that atmospheric processes play in land surface C:N:H2O cycles. Coupled Air/Land: To explore how ecosystem changes in the PNW affect land/atmosphere interactions. Coupled Air/Land/Human: To examine how potential policy changes might affect the interactions between C:N:H2O cycles and regional-scale climate. Communication: To explore how to best communicate the model results to resource managers and policy makers.

8. Earth System Models • Represents multiple components of the earth system • Example: Community Earth System Model (CESM) • Developed at National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and greater community • Global scale Atmosphere Land Land & Sea Ice Coupler Ocean

9. BioEarth versus CESM

10. BioEarth

11. A Few Definitions for Communication Between Models We need to have group consensus on our terminology: • “offline” – this term usually suggests the models are run independently or there is only 1-way communication between models • “soft coupled” – this term suggests a loose communication between models (iterative approach) • “online” = “hard coupled” = “integrated” – these terms suggest a tighter communication between models (they communicate at every time step or every several time steps)

12. BioEarth

13. Approach and Rationale • Integrate or link existing sophisticated “stand alone” models that are in continuous development • Atmosphere: meteorology, atmospheric chemistry • Terrestrial: hydrology, soil/plant biogeochemistry in cropped and natural systems, biogenic emissions • Aquatic: river routing, reservoir modeling, nutrient export • Economics • As the “stand alone” components continue to improve by their developers, BioEarth will also continue to develop

14. Modeling Domain: The Pacific Northwest

15. Related Projects and Programs

16. Center for Environmental Research Education & Outreach CEREO an umbrella organization with >150 members across all WSU colleges designed to enhance WSU environmental activities • to facilitate high quality environmental research, teaching and collaboration across the WSU system, including all campuses, and all research and extension centers and learning centers throughout the state • to promote development of broad multi-investigator interdisciplinary grant proposals for environmental research and outreach • to stimulate productive relationships and coordination of both research and education with diverse stakeholder communities to share information, provide service, and promote collaboration to benefit the State of Washington • to provide a roadmap of environmental programs at WSU for prospective students and researchers • to provide coordination of environmental programs across the WSU system

17. NSPIRE IGERT NSF-IGERT Integrated Graduate Education & Research Training Nitrogen Systems: Policy-oriented Integrated Research & Education NSPIRE • Interdisciplinary focus on N in the environment for PhDs in Engineering, Sciences and Agriculture • Enhanced policy training for science and engineering PhD students • Initiated in 2009, 3rd cohort begins Aug, 2011 • Currently several students working on measurement/modeling topics closely related to BioEarth

18. AEZ 1990 AEZ 2050 REGIONAL APPROACH TO CLIMATE CHANGE REACCH GOALS SOC GHG Sustainability Productivity 5 yr $20M UI/WSU/OSU Extension Education Participatory Processes: Stakeholders, scientists, policymakers, students, citizens SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND BIOTIC DRIVERS INFORMATION SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND BIOTIC DRIVERS INFORMATION Geospatial Trans-disciplinary Framework Economics Biology Sociology Cropping systems Modeling Experimental studies Monitoring networks Cyber-infrastructure Research Cropping systems Cropping systems

19. Objective 2: Monitoring/modeling of GHG Fluxes • Point measurements of CO2, H2O, and N2O fluxes will be performed with Li-8100 automated chambers coupled with an optical N2O continuous analyzer • Field-scale measurements will be performed using micrometeorological eddy covariance (EC) flux methods. • Regional scale estimates will be developed using the CROPSYST dynamic modeling system

20. Columbia Forecasting Project • Funded by Washington State Department of Ecology • For 2011 Report to State Legislature • Water Supply/Demand Forecasting for year 2030: • Agricultural demand, municipal demand, hydropower demand • Providing initial framework for integration between land surface hydrology and cropping systems at regional scale • Explicit inclusion of reservoir modeling and water rights information for curtailment decisions • Initial linkages between biophysical and economic models

21. BioEarth Project Organization

22. The Team • 6 Institutions with WSU as Lead • 18 Faculty • 3 Postdoctoral Scholars • 10+ PhD Students • CEREO Staff

23. Teams

24. Teams

25. Steering Committee • Overall Project: Jenny Adam & Brian Lamb • Terrestrial modeling: Jenny Adam • Atmospheric modeling: Serena Chung • Economics: Mike Brady • Agriculture: Claudio Stockle • Ecological Significance: Dave Evans • Cyberinfrastructure: Joe Vaughan • Extension/Outreach: Chad Kruger

26. Meeting Objectives and Agenda

27. Objectives for Kick-Off Meting • Get to know each other • Understand project “big picture” • Become familiar with stand alone models • Discuss approaches to project integration • Discuss milestones for first year of project

28. Meeting Agenda

29. Some Initial Decisions to Make

30. Peer Review Group • Land Surface Modeling: Laura Bowling & Keith Cherkauer, Purdue University, other? • Atmospheric Modeling: ? • Earth System Modeling: ? • Economics: ? • Agriculture: ? • Ecology: ? • Communications: ? • Other: ?

31. Timeline • Major milestones for entire 5-year project duration • Specific milestones for first year • Design milestones to match specific objectives • 1-way land/atmosphere impacts • 2-way land/atmosphere impacts/feedback • Feedbacks with human decision making (economics) • Communications and outreach

32. Working Groups • Need to discuss what working groups will look like • Working groups will change throughout project duration • Initial working groups will be formed to accomplish first year milestones

33. Meeting Frequency • Steering committee meetings • Bi-monthly in early stages, eventually monthly? • All faculty participants invited • Working group meetings: weekly to bi-monthly • All-faculty meetings: quarterly? • All-participant meetings (faculty&students): bi-annually? • E.g., Kick-off meeting, poster presentations, etc.. • Peer review meetings: annually? • Outreach Meetings: bi-annually to annually?

34. Integration of Stand-Alone Models • Degree of integration/coupling • 1-way • Iterative coupling • Tight coupling • States/fluxes to pass between various models • Model rebuilding, simplification, or code translation?

35. Cyberinfrastructure Needs • Code Versioning Software • subversion, cvs, git • Data Storage • DateOne, HDF • Cluster Software Support • Virtualization, MapReduce, Hadoop • Document Sharing • DropBox, SharePoint, Google Group, code.google.com • Videoconferencing • Evo, MeetingPlace, LiveMeeting (MS), BigBlueButton, SharePoint, Elluminate, Adobe Connect, Skype Refer to details in memo by Joe Vaughan

36. Project Disseminatione.g. Webpage: http://www.cereo.wsu.edu/bioearth/

37. Questions and Discussion?

39. Atmosphere Aquatic Terrestrial Atmosphere Terrestrial Aquatic Atmosphere Aquatic Terrestrial