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NMME CTB Meeting April 8th

Toward a National Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) System for Operational Intra-Seasonal to Interannual (ISI) Climate Forecasts. NMME CTB Meeting April 8th. White Paper. Compelling Evidence for the Forecast Quality Improvements with MME Need for National MME (NMME)

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NMME CTB Meeting April 8th

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  1. Toward a National Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) System for Operational Intra-Seasonal to Interannual (ISI) Climate Forecasts NMME CTB Meeting April 8th

  2. White Paper • Compelling Evidence for the Forecast Quality Improvements with MME • Need for National MME (NMME) • Identifying Critical Issues (February 2011 Meeting) • Who, What, Where, When and How • Research Priorities • Implementing a NMME: 2-Stage Approach • FY2011 • FY2012 and Beyond

  3. Stage-1: FY2011 • Leveraging Current Activities (Appendix) • Exchanging Hindcast Data • Routine Real-Time Forecasts • Producing Forecasts, Exchanging Data • Enhancing the “Pull” • Resource Requirements/Time-Line • Measuring Success • Developing Strategy for FY2012 and Beyond • NMME Transition to Operations • Identifying Research Priorities

  4. Stage-2: FY2012 and Beyond • Operational NMME Implementation Plan • Hindcast Protocol • Designed for Transitions to Operations • Hindcasts: Specific Procedures • Sharing of Data, Model and Assimilation Systems • Resource Requirements • Research Priorities • Decision Support/Application Science • Evolution • Implement Protocol Written in FY2011

  5. Stage-2: FY2012 and Beyond • Operational NMME Implementation Plan • Hindcast Protocol • Designed for Transitions to Operations • Hindcasts: Specific Procedures • Sharing of Data, Model and Assimilation Systems • Resource Requirements • Research Priorities • Decision Support/Application Science • Evolution • Implement

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