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Experience of Strategic Planning Kazakhstan. High-Level Forum Bishkek , 17-19 May 2006. Questions for discussion. Statistics in the system of strategic planning of the country New approach for development of strategy Stages of development
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Experience of Strategic PlanningKazakhstan High-Level Forum Bishkek, 17-19 May 2006
Questions for discussion • Statistics in the system of strategic planning of the country • New approach for development of strategy • Stages of development • Programme up till 2008 as an example of new approach implementation
System of planning in RK Strategic planning Medium term planning Annual planning Address of the President Programme of the Government Strategy 2030 Plan of socio-economic development Budget Fiscal policy Strategy 2010 State and branch programmes
Why new approach was required • The coverage of the entire activity can be efficient at the stage of development of new statistics, when changes of all the system are required. By 2005 the new system of statistics has been created on the whole and it can function irrespective of availability of the programme • Why strategy is needed in these conditions ? For solution of complicated problems of today. This is a new task and new strategy is needed for its solution
Old approach Entire activity Directions of activity Measures for each direction New approach Problem of today, target Logic of solution (implementation) Directions of solution (works) Mechanism of implementation and criteria of implementation Volume and costs of works Distinction of new approach : «steps” in strategy development
What is topical? Low quality of data and heavy burden on small business Information for SNA is not sufficiently comparable Calculation of volume indices is time consuming process New data are needed on: tourism, middle class, trade via Internet, etc. What is the reason? The standards are not used on: structural statistics, short-term statistics, statistics of branches of economy, quality and metadata, other directions. Therefore the standards should be introduced Step 1. Evaluation of the situation for identification of the topical problem
Step 1. Identification of goals • There are many standards and recommendations, how to select those which are needed to be introduced? • There is an experience of Eastern European countries. They have passed this way before us. We need the set of standards which reflects the requirements of Eurostat for the countries of Eastern Europe which are entering the EU. We have formulated concrete goals
Step 2. Determination of the logic of solution:fоr each standard specific measures for introduction were determined including dates of their implementation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Standard А Step А1 Step А2 Step А3 Standard В StepB1 StepB2 Step B3 Step B4 Standard С Step С1 Step С2 Step B5 Step С3
Step 3. Determination of directions of work Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 • Analysis has shown that it is needed to execute many homogeneous and duplicating each other measures • Homogeneous measures were distributed by five kinds or directions of work Step А1 Direction of works 1 StepС1 Direction of works 2 Step B 1 Step А2 Step B5 Direction of works 3 Step B2 Step А3 Direction of works 4 StepС2 Шаг B4 Direction of works 5 Step B3 Step С3
Steps 4 and 5. Formation of plan and budgetary requirements Direction of work = Section of the plan Costs = Budgetary requirement Criteria of implementation Mechanism of implementation
Practical implementation of approach: Programme for 2006-2008 Goal: Improvement of quality of data through introducing EU standards Tasks: 1.Improvement of coordination as essential condition of standards introduction; 2. Development and introduction of methodology for adaptation of the standards; 3. Preparation of analytic reports as the form of dissemination of the results of standards introduction; 4.Creation of integrated information system as the means of standards introduction; 5. International cooperation as the principle of implementation of standards in statistics
Goals and tasks: links between them координация coordination методология methodology анализ analysis Цель goal Информ. системы Information systems Междун. сотруднич International cooperation
Task 1: Transition to the modern level of coordination of statistical system Introduction of quality management systems in statistics: first stage – for two processes (organization of observations, maintenance of Register) Beginning of works on creation of METIS: Development and Introduction of Classification of forms, formation of metadata register Expansion of the staff of the Agency on Statistics by involving territorial bodies in order to carry out functions on marketing, methodology, analysis, etc.
Task 2. Development and introduction of methodology with the purpose of adaptation standards at the national level Development of new State classifications and nomenclature of products in connection with changes of international analogues in 2007 Introduction of new branches and modules of statistics of: disabled persons, middle class, trade via Internet, etc. Introduction of new methodology of data collection, based on sample surveys, to reduce burden on enterprises
Task 3. Introduction of system approach to the organization and execution of statistical information analysis Introduction of a standard Conduct of a survey New (improved) data Analytic report (annual coordination of themes with State bodies) users
Task 4. Creation of the integrated information system «State Statistics» for the collection, processing, storage and dissemination of data Today: Selected self-dependent complexes, technology for different stages or kinds of works Programme: Development of missing subsystems (Data storage, Register for social statistics, Portal for users, etc. Result: Technology for the system as a whole, from the collection to dissemination of datathrough Internet, Accounting of burden
Task 5. Transition from getting technical assistance to active international cooperation The Programme envisagesto conduct 3 international seminars at the expense of the budget and the work in accordance with the concluded agreements Introduction of standards requires not the reduction but expansion of cooperation Statistics has 7 agreements and doesn’t have means for cooperation; during 10 years the volume of grants reduced twice
Mechanism of implementation • Adoption of normative acts (about the change in structure of the Agency on Statistics), receipt of certificates (for quality system), etc. will be the criteria of coordination measures implementation • Individual budget programmes and corresponding control of their implementation are envisaged for methodology and analysis • For other measures – budget control, as well as control on the part of other ministries (for information technologies – Agency for Information Systems; for international cooperation – Ministry of Foreign Affairs)
Expected results • Improvement of management: system of quality, accounting of burden, metadata, transition to a new system of classifications (2008г.) • Introduction of new statistical indicators for 14 modules • Annual execution of scientific and research works (methodology),analytic reports (approximately for 20 themes) • Development and introduction of 5 information systems • Conduct of 3 international seminars for the first time on the initiative of Kazakhstan: statistics of tourism, classifications, register of enterprises
Achievement of the goal Considerable expansion of the usage of fundamental international standards and recommendations. Increasing on this basis of the efficiency of the system of statistics, improvement of data quality and reduction of respondents burden.