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UNICEF’s contribution to GIVAS and crisis monitoring Complex Crisis Workshop IDS 9-10 March 2010. Gaspar Fajth Chief, Social Policy and Economic Analyses gfajth@unicef.org. Intro and background. UNICEF’s value added Mission and global presence
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UNICEF’s contribution to GIVAS and crisis monitoringComplex Crisis WorkshopIDS 9-10 March 2010 Gaspar Fajth Chief, Social Policy and Economic Analyses gfajth@unicef.org
Intro and background • UNICEF’s value added • Mission and global presence • Focus on and staff in LICs, fragile states, emergencies • Experience in collecting evidence - and use for policy advocacy • Examples of UNICEF’s economic crisis monitoring • Monitoring the impact of Washington Consensus (AWHF, 1981-86) • Monitoring the transition in CEE/CIS (MONEE project, 1992-2001+) • Monitoring the impact of the 3F crises/contributions to GIVAS • Other examples of collecting evidence • Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey, Childinfo/Devinfo, Malawi/Etiopia
Monitoring the impact of the 3F crises • Food and fuel crisis • Nutrition and WES programme response with decentralized monitoring/rapid surveys (50 countries) • Social protection pilots/proposals for scaling up (simulation models) • Financial crisis • Global advocacy (UNICEF-UNIFEM Side Event in Doha, Nov/2008) • Advocacy and sentinel surveillance in East Asia and Pacific (Jan/09) • Contributions to UN GIVAS (from March/2009)
UNICEF’s contribution to GIVAS – Countries • Crisis framework for selecting countries • Macro- economic stress • Public budget stress • Sustained stress on household budgets (Food/CPI) • Availability of quantitative and/or qualitative evidence • Originally 27 countries identified (Input for SG’s first report) • Currently global pilot is planned in a sub-selection of these • E.g. Egypt, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Madagascar, Mongolia, Turkey, Uganda, Zambia
UNICEF’s contribution to GIVAS – Indicators • Proposed indicators at three levels (global/regional/country) • Selection principles for the global indicators • Relevant for MDGs and/or UNICEF’s mission • Development impact of the selection of the indicator • Relevant for LICs and well as MICs • Standard qualities of social indicators • Could be collected also at sub-national levels • Both absolute numbers and rates/ratios • Could be benchmarked by routine stats or representative surveys • It is expected that GIVAS will add other indicators…
Shortlist of proposed common indicators (18): • Wasting among girls and boys aged 6-59 months • denominator: # of girls/boys monitored • School attendance in primary/lower secondary education by gender • denominator: # of school girls/boys enrolled or # of children in age brackets • School attendance in upper secondary education by gender • denominator: # girl/boys enrolled or # girls/boys in age brackets • The proportion of children left without parental upbringing • nominator: infants left in maternity wards and/or infant homes, total children in care • denominator: # live births, total # of children • Use of antenatal care services by women • denominator: estimated # of live births in country or area
Issues to be addressed • Next steps, time-frame, partners • Methods, technology and frequency of data collection • Situating results in a broader framework/indicator system (UN-GIVAS?) • Who will analyse, publish results? • Alert whom, trigger what action? • Policy relevance, political sensitivity • Feedback to improve GIVAS and national/international monitoring?