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MLC Investments Quarterly Preview Pack. Year ended 30 th September 2009. Disclaimer.
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MLC Investments Quarterly Preview Pack Year ended 30th September 2009
Disclaimer Any advice in this communication has been prepared without taking account of individual objectives, financial situation or needs. Because of this you should, before acting on any information in this communication, consider whether it is appropriate to your objectives, financial situation and needs. You should obtain a Product Disclosure Statement or other disclosure document relating to any financial product issued by MLC Investments Limited (ABN 30 002 641 661) and MLC Nominees Pty Ltd (ABN 93 002 814 959) as trustee of The Universal Super Scheme (ABN 44 928 361 101), and consider it before making any decision about whether to acquire or continue to hold the product. A copy of the Product Disclosure Statement or other disclosure document is available upon request by phoning the MLC call centre on 132 652 or on our website at mlc.com.au. An investment in any product offered by a member company of the National group does not represent a deposit with or a liability of the National Australia Bank Limited ABN 12 004 044 937 or other member company of the National Australia Bank group of companies and is subject to investment risk including possible delays in repayment and loss or income and capital invested. None of the National Australia Bank Limited, MLC Limited, MLC Investments Limited or other member company in the National Australia Bank group of companies guarantees the capital value, payment of income or performance of any financial product referred to in this publication. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The value of an investment may rise or fall with the changes in the market. Please note that all return figures reported are before management fees and taxes, and for the period up to 30 June 2009, unless otherwise stated. The specialist investment management companies are current as at 30 June 2009. Funds under management figures are as at 30 June 2009, unless otherwise stated. Investment managers are regularly reviewed and may be appointed or removed at any time without prior notice to you.
Contents Slide no. • The recent environment 4 • Impact on asset class returns 7 • Impact on MLC multi-manager funds 8 • The global outlook 13 • Enduring investment principles revisited 14 3
The view through the rear view mirror still looks awful Source: Datastream
The windscreen looks much better.. Source: Datastream
The emerging world is powering along! The Stress index is based on external debt, budget deficit, credit growth vs GDP, and the current A/c balance. Periods of high stress for emerging markets explain poor absolute and relative economic performance vs the developed world.
What a difference 6 months makes! * Index data source: S&P/ASX 300, MSCI All Countries (hedged), MSCI All Countries, MSCI Emerging Markets, S&P/ASX 200 LPT, UBS Global REIT (hedged), UBS Composite Bond (all mats), BCGA Global Agg (hedged), BCGA US Corp HY BB/B (hedged), UBS Inflation Linked Bonds (all mats), UBS Australian Bank Bill respectively.
Significant positive impact on your MLC Horizon Portfolio Returns quoted are for the MLC Super Fundamentals Horizon series and are net of admin fees, issuer fees, investment fees and super tax, but before the deduction of entry/exit fees and policy charges.
Even greater impact at the MLC Sector Fundlevel! Returns quoted are for the MLC Super Fundamentals sector funds and are net of admin fees, issuer fees, investment fees and super tax, but before the deduction of entry/exit fees and policy charges.
Disciplined rebalancing & daily dollar cost averaging has contributed to your recovery 22nd Jan, 3rd July, 9th Oct and 19th Nov: Maintained your portfolio strategy by selling bonds and buying Aust’n & global shares. 7th April, 11th June, 31st July and 14th Aug: Maintained your portfolio strategy by selling Aust’n shares & buying bonds and global shares. Returns based on MLC Super GS Horizon 4 Balanced Portfolio and are net of management fees which include administration fees, issuer fees and investment fees and any Super tax payable, but do not take into account entry/exit fees or policy charges.
Rethinking emerging markets: more than one way to skin a cat? Theme Company Country of listing Key EM feature EMs achieved organic sales growth of 15.4% in 2008 and represents about 35% in volume (CHF 35 billion). Consumption growth Switzerland (Developed) Multinational electronic media company with 70% of revenue from South Africa. Communications & media South Africa (EM) Financial services 90% of profit from Asia, Africa and Middle East. UK (Developed) China's largest medical equipment manufacturer with a home customer base. Health care USA (Developed) Source: Company Specific Reports
The Global Outlook • Worst of the crisis over, but the recession is not. • Economic recovery is going to be VERY subdued – consumers (especially in the English speaking world) will take time to repair balance sheets, re-build savings • Australia has been late into this…more bad news to come on employment, trade, investment. • Prospects for the emerging economies are brighter than they’ve been for many years • Interest rates likely to stay lower for longer – world’s central banks won’t mind a bit more inflation? • Investment returns in this recovery are likely to be more modest than we’ve been used to • How long before memories fade? Longer this time than usual!
Enduring investment principles • Run your own race • Be sensible about your return expectations • Diversification is your friend • Minimise realised losses • Its time IN the market not TIMING the market • Take advantage of the magic of compounding • Dollar cost average to minimize regret • Be contrarian • Be patient • Talk to your financial planner regularly