Expanded HTT Long Range Planning Update

1. Expanded HTT Long Range Planning Update May 7, 2014

2. Starting immediately and continuing throughout planning and renovation process Storm the Gates of Heaven with Prayer (Congregation and Leadership) Update on Future State and Long Range Planning Starting immediately and continuing throughout planning and renovation process Messaging and communication plan begins targeted to the congregation; Groundwork for stewardship strategy/activities • Month of April • Expanded HTT identifies PUMC FS themes based on previous PUMC survey and community data/ information • Meeting with Architect to discuss and confirm integration between PUMC FS activities and architect’s process • April 2 • Council’s Spirit-lead consensus regarding LRP and renovation process and timeline • Beginning of May • PUMC FS themes shared with: • Leaders • Congregation • Architect • Ministry leaders equipped to consider FS needs in their areas • Month of May • Ministries meet to answer the following: • Given PUMC FS themes, what are ministry needs in 5-10 years? (“Our ministry plans to ______ so that…”) June 7 Leadership Retreat to discuss visioning from ministry LRP • June/July • Architect starts/ conducts leadership and congregational survey process: • How can the building support our congregational and ministry needs? (“The renovation is done so that…”) July/August Architect shares survey information/ results with Expanded HTT and ministries

3. Starting immediately and continuing throughout planning and renovation process Storm the Gates of Heaven with Prayer (Congregation and Leadership) Architect Proposed Timeline Starting immediately and continuing throughout planning and renovation process Messaging and communication plan begins targeted to the congregation; Groundwork for stewardship strategy/activities • June 2014 • Survey Rollout to congregation • Optional-architect introduction • Groundwork for Stewardship Campaign Begins • July/August 2014 • Congregation Survey results to renovation steering committee • Architect meets with individual stake holders (Pender Leadership • September 2014 • Initial architect sketches are shared with congregation • Town hall meetings conducted to address any questions or input • November 2014 • Proposal of plan design to Church Council • Spirit led consensus by Church Council • December 2014 • Initial cost proposal is submitted to Pender from Architect • Proposal of plan design and cost to District for approval • January 2015 • Final cost and any design changes completed and signed off by Pender • July 2015 • Construction Starts

4. Where are we? • Renovation has given us an opportunity to think beyond an annual cycle and in a more "long range" way. • How will your ministry answer this call? • We have “mined data” using several sources to identify the Pender Demographic Community (our neighbors). • This data reminds us that we need to think not only of our own congregation, but consider what God calls us to do beyond our walls and within our community.

5. Long Range Ministry Visioning • Each ministry’s "So that...“ should be considered with regard to long range planning and Pender Demographic • Each cluster/committee should ask themselves a single question set: • What would God call us to do in 5-10 years? • What is the dream of your ministry if you had the resources (funds, servants, space/building)?   • What is the "so that" for each dream? (important to make sure that the dreams stay linked to the "so that”) • This will be the basis for our discussion at the leadership retreat on June 7.

6. Next Steps • Immediate next step is for leadership to meet with their cluster, ministry or committee to discuss long range visioning using visioning questions as means to start a conversation. • HTT is available to meet with leaders for one-on-ones or attend cluster/committee meetings as needed to help facilitate the conversation. • June 7th leadership retreat.   • The objective of the retreat will be to share across clusters/committees the long range vision of ministry areas.

7. Pender Demographic Story May 7,2014 Sources: Mission Insite Report – April 2014 Pender Demographic Study – 2007 Fairfax County Demographic Report 2013

9. Summary of Mission Insite Report The surveyed community has the following traits: • In 10 years, area is expecting moderate growth • Expecting a significant increase in the number of school-aged children • Expecting more families with children, compared to the state • Area significantly better educated than the rest of the state (33% have Bach Deg, 25% have grad/prof degrees – vs 24% and 13% statewide) • Area is “very diverse” in terms of race/ethnicity • Median income is significantly higher than the rest of the state

10. More “Insites” • Fewer people living in poverty than other areas in the state (4.8% to 8.8% statewide) • “Very white collar” when it comes to jobs (80% have white collar jobs) • Largest racial group is White • “Level of religiosity” is “somewhat low” 23% say it’s important to attend religious services while 15% say their faith is really important to them. • Population from 2000 to 2010 spiked at 18%. Now expected to level off to between 4 and 6 percent until 2023 • More married-couple family households (83% vs 72%) than other areas in Virginia. • Numbers of single-mother households is significantly lower than other areas. We’re on par with single-father households statewide. Trend will remain stable in future. • Average age of population in 2010 was 33, in 2023 it will be 38. Numbers of children will increase too.

11. Other “Insites” • Beliefs about God – Very Traditional • Beliefs about Jesus – Somewhat non-Traditional • Actively involved in church community – 46.5%, 8.2% decline over past 10 years • Percent of people likely to become active – 7.2% • Percent of people likely to cease activity – 15.5% • Probable reasons for non-participation in religious congregation • No time/less time available 43.5% • No good faith community in area 29.9% • Moved from community 28.8% • Demands of raising children 27.1%

12. What keeps us up nights • Personal life • Weight loss • Personal health problems • Losing job • Depression • Home and Family • Stress/time to relax • Caring for aging parents • Health crisis/illness • Balancing work and family • Time for friends/family • Career and financial • Future/savings/retirement • Day-to-day financial matters • Future hopes and possibilities • Fear of the future/unknown • Finding personal direction/making right choices • Fulfilling marriage/romance/intimacy • Spiritual issues/religions (very low)

13. What We’re Looking For: Religious: • Traditional worship services • Bible or scripture studies • Christian education for children • Contemporary worship services • Small groups Generally: • Family-oriented activities (very high) • Opportunities for volunteering in the community • Holiday programs/activities • Youth social activities • Adult social activities • Seniors/retirees activities • Involvement in social causes • Marriage enrichment • Cultural programs • Personal/family counseling • Parenting development • Crisis Support Groups • Social justice advocacy work

14. Pender Findings 2007 • Projected growth of Asians and Hispanics – 30% • Growth in those segments appears to have leveled and is not expected to change significantly. • Demographics have shifted away from children to singles and seniors. • Pender will need to support expanding number of young people (6-25) as well as a continuing large population young adults and families (26-46). • Approximately 33% of households currently have no faith involvement and 27% only have a moderate faith involvement. • Need for increased evangelism activities and marketing. • Our culture is continually buying bigger, more materialistically impressive things. Presentation is an important factor in drawing people’s attention, whether it be for buying a house, a car, or grocery shopping. From this, we can surmise that Pender’s “presentation” to the public will be important for our future growth.

15. Also identified in 2007 Pender study: • Primary community desire for family oriented recreation: • youth social programs • family activities and outings • cultural programs • sports or camping • Achieving Financial Security • Better Quality Healthcare • Achieving a Fulfilling Marriage • Developing Parenting skills • Achieving Educational Objectives • Finding a Satisfying Job/Career • Finding time for recreation and leisure • Finding Retirement Opportunities. • Bible Study Discussion • Prayer Groups • Adult Theological Discussion Groups • Spiritual Retreats

16. Fairfax County Demographic Study 2013 Modest growth in next five years Over next 30 years +35,000 in closest 5 zip codes (22033, 22030, 20151, 20171, 22124) + 14,000 new housing units in same 5 zips over next 30 years More attached homes (apartments, condos, townhomes) than single family homes Most homes more than 30 years old, except in 20171, 20151 and 20120 which includes western suburbs, basically Centreville and Westfields areas (around Route 28 on either side) Mobile: Approx 26% in 22033 of people moved into the zip code last year (high turnover)

17. Summary of Data Findings Across Reports Our Area is about 55% Anglo and that will continue into future. Minority populations (Asians and Hispanics) remain important part of the cultural fabric, but growth has leveled off. Area will grey over the next ten years, but families with young adults and children will continue to flourish

18. In Summary Area is wealthier, better educated than most places Current trends in population/wealth likely to continue Area will grey in coming years Families remain important Material things, appearances and status will remain important Organized, denominational, faith communities may struggle, but aren’t dead Connections to community/family are important, but are elusive due to time/stress Health/financial worries mount as area ages