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Post 2020: which technologies will deliver? Wind Power and Natural Gas

Post 2020: which technologies will deliver? Wind Power and Natural Gas. Simon Blakey Special Envoy Wind Conference Copenhagen Copenhagen , 16 April 2012. General Principles on Energy and Climate Policy. Gas offers a fast, cost-effective route to reducing carbon in the energy mix

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Post 2020: which technologies will deliver? Wind Power and Natural Gas

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  1. Post 2020: which technologies will deliver?Wind Power and Natural Gas Simon Blakey Special Envoy Wind Conference Copenhagen Copenhagen, 16 April 2012

  2. General Principles onEnergy and Climate Policy • Gas offers a fast, cost-effective route to reducing carbon in the energy mix • Substitution for higher carbon fuels, with high efficiency equipment, in the near term • Adaptable to work with zero-carbon technologies for a long future • GHG reduction should be key target • Subsidy-based approaches should be time limited

  3. Two Themes for Today Wind needs to beliberatedfrom system limits Weneed to makefriends …

  4. Making friends with gas ... • There is a limit to how much wind (and solar) an electricity system can absorb • We don’t know for sure how high or low it is • In the interest of maximizing zero-carbon output, we want it to be as high as possible • Interconnections, electricity storage, demand-side management can all help ... ... a little bit, at a price, and in time

  5. Three challenges Dealing with surplus wind power when demand is low Replacing wind on still days Following load quickly

  6. A friend today, a friend tomorrow • Natural gas can help immediately • Fast ramp-up/ramp-down rates of OCGTs • Balance local variability • Provide manually-operated tertiary reserve • Progressive technologies offer an even better deal: • New generation CCGTs (FlexEfficiency, KA-26) • Storing wind power as methane in the gas grid

  7. Two roads to onetarget

  8. The CCGT is still the bestcarbon-reducing tool we have • Existing technology, easier permitting, smaller visible footprint all mean that the gas-fired route to carbon reduction is the quickest available • But gas is not an alternative to wind and solar power—it can be built for base load, quick wins—and retained as flexible support for variable renewable output as the scale of renewables grows • A ‘both/and’ solution is needed, not ‘either/or’

  9. There is still scope for substitution • The EU Report to UNFCCC: “Gas has increased very rapidly, by a factor of 3 between 1990 and 2008, and its share stands at about one third of all the fuel used for the production of heat and electricity in the EU” “Solid fuels still represent more than half of the fuel used in public conventional thermal power plants, although its share in the fuel mix has been declining.” • EU gasused to makeelectricity has increasedfrom 54 to 149Mtoesince 1990; coalhas droppedfrom 286 to 229Mtoe. There isstill room for more quick wins.

  10. Contact details Av. de Cortenbergh 172 1000 Brussels BELGIUM Phone: +32 2 894 48 28 sab@eurogas.org www.eurogas.org

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