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DAAD Alumni Conference Sydney, 26th March 2010. Sustainability Harmonising Growth and Usage of Resources. Martin Faulstich Mario Mocker, Markus Köglmeier German Advisory Council on the Environment, Berlin Institute of Resource and Energy Technology, TU München
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DAAD Alumni Conference Sydney, 26th March 2010 Sustainability Harmonising Growth and Usage of Resources Martin Faulstich Mario Mocker, Markus Köglmeier German Advisory Council on the Environment, Berlin Institute of Resource and Energy Technology, TU München ATZ Development Center, Sulzbach-Rosenberg
Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources Content Global Challenges Opportunities in the value chain Sustainable industrial society Conclusion and outlook
Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources Content Global Challenges Opportunities in the value chain Sustainable industrial society Conclusion and outlook
Crude oil Reserves Resources Natural gas Uranium Hard coal Brown coal Global Challenges Availability of resources Range of coverage for non-renewable energy sources 40 24 64 61 79 140 43 345 388 132 2838 2970 275 4168 4443 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Years Source: BGR Study on Energy Resources 2009; diagram modified
Global Challenges Climate Change Development of the global mean temperature Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). "Climate change 2007“
Global Challenges Greenhouse gas reduction Political objectives Limit warming on 2°C „noticed“ Reduce emissions Formulate reduction objectives Reductions compared with 1990, USA: Reductions compared with 2005 * For industrialized countries
Lead 20 Zinc 22 Tantalum 29 Copper 31 Cadmium 34 Wolfram 39 Nickel 44 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Years Reserves Reserves Global Challenges Availability of resources Range of coverage for selected metals Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008
Global Challenges Availability of resources Range of coverage for selected metals in years (static) 34 39 44 Lead Zinc Tantalium Copper 20 22 29 31 Cadmium Wolfram Nickel Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008
Global Challenges Availability of resources Criteria for risk assessment Range of coverage Regional concentration Entrepreneurial concentration Substitution Source: Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft, 2008
51,6 13,0 2,7 22,7 4,3 99,8 Global Challenges Global fairness Energy consumption in MWh/Person/Year Resource consumption in Mg/Person/Year Quelle: Sustainable Europe Research Institute, www.materialflows.net, 2005, US Energy Information Administration, International Energy Annual, 2005
Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources Content Global Challenges Opportunities in the value chain Sustainable industrial society Conclusion and outlook
effort ? ? ? ? ? time Opportunities in the value chain Basic options and effort raw material exploitation base material production goods production productsusage waste management effort effort effort effort time time time time
Opportunities in the value chain Goods production and usage Impacts on sustainability durability design abrasion benefit repair lifestyle demounting recycling comfort material consumption production energy consumption
Opportunities in the value chain Waste management Urban Mining www.kle.nw.schule.de www.köster-bau.de Deposited sludge: 10 Mio. MgPhosphate: 1 Mio. Mg (Germany) Deposited domestic waste: 960 Mio. MgFe- + NE-Metals: 32 Mio. Mg (Germany) www.hdgb.de www.geo-reisecommunity.de Deponsited iron dross: 50 Mio. Mg Zinc: 70.000 Mg; Lead: 25.000 Mg Installed infrastructure: amount ???Potential for raw materials: ??? Quelle: Regierung der Oberpfalz
effort effort effort effort ? effort rebound-effekt ? time time time time ? time Opportunities in the value chain Model for tomorrow raw material exploitation base material production goods production products usage waste management
Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources Content Global Challenges Opportunities in the value chain Sustainable industrial society Conclusion and outlook
Sustainable industrial society Basic options for sustainability Metals / Minerals Sufficiency Sustainability Carbon Energy
Resources Goods & Use Conditioning & Production • Dematerialisation • Leasing instead of purchase • Information instead of material • Repair-friendly / easy of maintenance • Recycling friendly design • New materials • Consistent material legislation • Timeless design classics • Long-life products open for innovations Notebook Home Water Biomass Car Bicycle Minerals Metals Fridge Machine Demounting & Recycling Sustainable industrial society System Innovation: integrated circular flow economy
Sustainable industrial society System Innovation: integrated circular flow economy Timelessclassics Information vs material Multiple usedevices Leasingconcepts Stop lossof resources Recyclingfriendly design Long-life products open for innovation
Generation of primary energy Consumption of secondary energy ConversionTransportStorage electricity hydrogen methane Solar Biomass Heat Electricity/Heat Hydro Wind Cooling energy Electricity Geothermal Tidal Mobility Mobility Sustainable industrial society System innovation: integrated energy supply
Sustainable industrial society System innovation: integrated energy supply Quelle: www.desertec.org/DLR
Sustainable industrial society System innovation: integrated base material production Primary energy production Industrial energy+ carbon supply ConversionTransportStorage electricity hydrogen methane Solar Biomass Steel Aluminium Water Wind Copper Iron Geothermal Tidal Cement Chemicals
Sustainability – Harmonizing Growth and Usage of Resources Content Global Challenges Opportunities in the value chain Sustainable industrial society Conclusion and outlook
Conclusion and outlook Challenges and Chances Global Challenges climate change scarcity of raw materials sufficiency and efficiency increase Starting point value added chain depleted natural deposits optimized base material production secondary raw material as upcoming basis Sustainable industrial society integrated circular flow economy renewable energy and material supply managing system changes
Conclusion and outlook „Example“ for harmonising growth and use of resources … living today… Integration … living and driving tomorrow? … driving today…
DAAD Alumni Conference Sydney, 26th March 2010 Sustainability Harmonising Growth andUsage of Resources Thank you for your kindly attention!