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Mapping of the Impact Of Sea Level Rise On Arab States

Mapping of the Impact Of Sea Level Rise On Arab States. Mohamed El Raey University of Alexandria Regional Center for Disaster Risk Reduction. Impacts of Sea level rise. Impacts include: Direct inundation Salt water intrusion Soil Salinization

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Mapping of the Impact Of Sea Level Rise On Arab States

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  1. Mapping of the Impact Of Sea Level Rise On Arab States Mohamed El Raey University of Alexandria Regional Center for Disaster Risk Reduction

  2. Impacts of Sea level rise Impacts include: • Direct inundation • Salt water intrusion • Soil Salinization • Impacts of extreme events such as surges and flash floods Prof El Raey

  3. Vulnerability of the coastal zone • Population and population density • Land use • Urban structures • Industrial structures Prof El Raey

  4. Estimated Magnitudes of SLR Prof El Raey

  5. Prof El Raey

  6. Population at Risk in the Arab world Prof El Raey

  7. Prof El Raey

  8. Overall Vulnerable areas Prof El Raey

  9. World Bank comparison among potential impacts of Sea level rise on Arab States Prof El Raey

  10. Impact of storm surges Prof El Raey

  11. Egypt Prof El Raey

  12. Land subsidence Prof El Raey

  13. Satellite estimation of Land subsidence Prof El Raey

  14. Saudi Arabia Prof El Raey

  15. Yemen Prof El Raey

  16. Extensive urbanization in Emirates Prof El Raey

  17. 3m SLR in Emirates (sea Level Explorer) Prof El Raey

  18. Percentage inundation in Emirates Prof El Raey

  19. Kingdom of Bahrain Prof El Raey

  20. Kuwait Prof El Raey

  21. 3m SLR in Kuwait Prof El Raey

  22. 1m sea level rise at Djibouti Prof El Raey

  23. Prof El Raey

  24. Mediterranean Coast of MoroccoSnousi et al,2008 Prof El Raey

  25. Eastern coast of Sudan on the Red Sea at I.0 m sea level rise Prof El Raey

  26. Qatar at 1m sea level rise Prof El Raey

  27. Southern Iraq at 3m Sea level rise Prof El Raey

  28. Iraq Kuwait Borders Prof El Raey

  29. Mauritania at 1m SLR Prof El Raey

  30. Libya at 1m Slr Prof El Raey

  31. Conclusions • All Arab countries are highly vulnerable with varying magnitudes. Many such as Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Emirates, Tunisia and Morocco have realized the seriousness of these impacts to their economy and have started steps towards adaptation and risk reduction and many have just started. • Excessive coastal urbanization, oil and groundwater extraction especially in high population densities areas and gulf countries, constitutes serious risk to coasts and coastal properties, especially in the absence of accurate data and information on coastal land subsidence • No systematic observations on coastal land subsidence and changes especially of areas subject to excessive petroleum and gas extraction. There is a high shortage of human capacity in most countries • Increasing severity and frequency of extreme events constitute a serious threat to the coastal and non-coastal communities due to increasing rates of droughts, flash floods and heat waves. Very limited institutional capacities for risk reduction already exist. • The shortage of systematic observation systems, lack of awareness and weak enforcement of environmental regulations constitute basic obstacles for proper implementation of proactive planning for sustainable development • Many decision makers take advantage of uncertainties of sea level rise not to take strategic decisions. However, it should be noted that all required decisions are needed whether we have a sea level rise or not. All countries should take action for adaptation the sooner the better. Prof El Raey

  32. Recommendations • A Regional integrated center for climate change and risk assessment has been established (RCDRR) and needs to be supported for development of data base and systematic observations of the region. The center should be capable to provide data and information to researchers • A data base of systematic observation of sea level parameters such as sea level, storm surges, water and soil salinity, coastal temperatures and phytoplankton, erosional pattern and coastal socioeconomic parameters, must be established • Systematic observations of land subsidence has to be carried out by radar imagery interferometry in coastal areas of oil extraction to identify and assess rates of land subsidence and vulnerability to sea level rise • Encouraging and supporting research and building capacities in the lines of systematic observations, time series analysis, modelling, water desalination and wastewater treatment , salt tolerant plants, extreme events and awareness programs for vulnerable communities • Upgrading awareness and building national capacities Prof El Raey

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