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Monitoring-PRS Budget Links THE MOZAMBICAN CASE

Monitoring-PRS Budget Links THE MOZAMBICAN CASE. PREM Knowledge & Learning Forum 17 April 2007. Jose Sulemane. Planning/Budgeting: System Overview. GOVERNMENT’S 5-YEAR PROGRAMME (PQG). AGENDA 2025. MEDIUM-TERM PROGRAMMING. ANNUAL OPERATIONAL PLANS. Integration of objectives & targets

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Monitoring-PRS Budget Links THE MOZAMBICAN CASE

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  1. Monitoring-PRS Budget LinksTHE MOZAMBICAN CASE PREM Knowledge & Learning Forum 17 April 2007 Jose Sulemane

  2. Planning/Budgeting: System Overview GOVERNMENT’S 5-YEAR PROGRAMME (PQG) AGENDA 2025 MEDIUM-TERM PROGRAMMING ANNUAL OPERATIONAL PLANS Integration of objectives & targets + Coordination of monitoring process Action Plan to Reduce Absolute Poverty (PARPA) ECONOMIC & SOCIAL PLAN (PES) Harmonization of sectoral policy & strategy Prioritization of resources Sectoral & Provincial Strategic Plans Integration of Sector objectives & targets Consistency of budgeting with policy actions and objectives Integration of sectoral policy & strategy Global resource envelope & allocation amongst sectors Macroeconomic & sectoral scenario Medium Term Expenditure Framework (CFMP) Expenditure limits STATE BUDGET (OE)

  3. Planning/Budgeting: Annual Cycle PES/OE GBS/IMF

  4. Planning/Budgeting:Monitoring Instruments • PES/PAF monitored by PES Review (produced in Feb each year) & PES Half-Year Review (Aug). • PES Review = overall review of GoM performance, including an evaluation of performance vis-à-vis PAF targets. • PAF targets derived from key objectives of the PQG/PARPA  PES Review key instrument for PARPA monitoring. • PAF set jointly by GoM & Direct Budget Support donors (PAPs). • Budget monitored through Annual Execution Report (CGE) and Half-Year Execution Report (RTEO). • CGE & REOE both include monitoring of expenditure in PARPA priority areas (current target = 65% total exp. to priority are • Quantitative (HH Survey) and qualitative analysis (QUIBB)

  5. Integration Issues: Assessment to Date Some barriers: • CFMP = medium-term macro/fiscal projections. Not a “classical” MTEF (programme-based etc). • CFMP  State Budget link weak, let alone with planning instruments (PQG, PES etc). First Time discussed in Cabinet in 2006 • Budget split btn. “current” & “investment” (project rather than capital expenditure!) • MPF divided (2005)  MF = current budget & overall execution, MPD = “investment” and overall budgetary ceilings, inc CFMP. Some positive points: • PAF =  monitoring of PARPA. •  integration of planning, budgeting & monitoring instruments. • Good progress made in some Provinces/Districts (e.g. Nampula’s integrated Planning & Budgeting);

  6. Integration Issues: Constraints & Opportunities • Key constraints to integration: • Sequencing of reform (full integration not feasible now!); • Capacity constraints; • Aid: Off-budgets, project-focus, unpredictability; • Institutions: Separation of Planning, Finance & Cooperation; • Lack of electronic budget management system, &; • Monitoring tied to PAP conditionality  GoM incentive to improve it • Weak Parliament and its technical commissions (need more oversight role) • Opportunities for improvement: • New PARPA to be costed and aligned with CFMP (more on this…); • Ongoing integration & strengthening of planning/budgeting documents; • Aid effectiveness agenda (lead by PAPs & GoM)  aid beginning to reinforce rather than undermine integration; • Increased emphasis on role of district in planning and budgeting, &; • New electronic budget management system (SISTAFE) set to begin roll-out.

  7. New Developments: PARPA 2006 - 2009 • PARPA II = “operationalization of the PQG” (also taking into account MDGs & Agenda 2025). • Time horizon altered to electoral cycle, i.e. period of PQG  Next time, no PARPA, only extension of PQG! • Participatory drafting process including civil society, provinces, districts, international partners.

  8. Final Remarks • Working Groups and mechanisms should be part of a normal routine of doing business in public administration in particular on policy design and following the planning/budget cycle • Institutional framework, in particular levels of decision-making are critical for better integration, and now that emphasis is giving to decentralization (this might require institutional reforms!!!) • Domestic Coordination in public administration is critical. Domestic institutions have to talk more among themselves • Key challenges to  PARPA integration in planning/budgeting: • Ensuring GoM/sector ownership • Prioritisation & Costing of activities/policies • Matching plans with overall CFMP fiscal framework • Taking into account external funding • Alternative Scenarios???

  9. THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION! PREM Knowledge & Learning Forum 17 April 2007

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