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Spatial Disparities in Russia

Spatial Disparities in Russia. Economic & Social Trends. N. Zubarevich, Moscow State University. P. Krugman FIRST NATURE Natural resources Location SECOND NATURE Agglomeration effect Human capital Institutions. World Bank Report 2OO9 Density Distance Division.

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Spatial Disparities in Russia

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  1. Spatial Disparities in Russia Economic & Social Trends N. Zubarevich, Moscow State University

  2. P. Krugman FIRST NATURE Natural resources Location SECOND NATURE Agglomeration effect Human capital Institutions World Bank Report 2OO9 Density Distance Division Spatial development factors work in Russia!

  3. Economic concentration: Share of leading regions in Russian GDP,%

  4. Economic disparities: 40 times differentiation and vast middle zone (per capita GRP, thousand rubles)

  5. Siberia and Far East are growing slowerGRP Index, 2006 to1998,%

  6. Regional disparities: Industrial Output Index (1990=100)

  7. Regional disparities will grow furtherInvestment per capita 2000-2007 (Russia average =100)

  8. Migration rate: Center-Periphery trend

  9. Social trends: Regions are getting more divided in terms of life expectancy at birth

  10. Human Development IndexRussia – 67th in the world (2005) • Life expectancy at birth (men – 60 years, women – 72 years) • GDP per capita – 13.700 US$ PPP in 2007 (growth from 5.200 US$ PPP in the end of 1990s) • Education is only positive component: literacy - 99%, 6-24 years population enrollment - 75%

  11. Human Development IndexRegional inequality is increasing

  12. Russia Moscow Tyumen region St Petersburg Republics TyvaandIngushetia Belorussia, Brazil Czech Republic, Malta Hungary and Poland Bulgaria Mongolia, Guatemala and Tajikistan HDI comparison in Russian regions and countries

  13. Share of the population living in the regions with different HDI, %

  14. Economic and social disparitiesof Russian regionsGini coefficient

  15. WB Report 2009: regional inequalities grow worldwideEU 15 regional disparities – the same trend

  16. Conclusion • Regional inequality in Russia is a long-term phenomenon caused by objective factors and catching-up stage of economic development. • Regional economic disparities will grow further. • Social inequality is possible to be diminished if economic recourses for redistribution are high enough and social policy is effective (targeted) • But slow and contradictory improvement of basic social indicators in Russian regions point to low quality of economic growth and lack of effective social policy.

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