1 / 12

The future of warfare and implications for civil military cooperation and humantarian space

The future of warfare and implications for civil military cooperation and humantarian space. Peter Viggo Jakobsen Royal Danish Defence College Ifs-71@fak.dk Danish Health Network Seminar, 11 December 2013. The future = recent past. No new Iraqs or Afghanistans in the decade ahead.

lacy-maddox
Download Presentation

The future of warfare and implications for civil military cooperation and humantarian space

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. The future of warfare and implications for civil military cooperation and humantarian space Peter Viggo Jakobsen Royal Danish Defence College Ifs-71@fak.dk Danish Health Network Seminar, 11 December 2013

  2. The future = recent past • No new Iraqs or Afghanistans in the decade ahead

  3. The future = recent past • Anti-piracy, air campaigns, capacity building and use of special forces

  4. Drivers shaping future wars • US militarydominance • Nuclearmutualassureddestruction • Economicinterdependence  No great power wars

  5. Drivers shaping future wars • State failure  internalwars

  6. Future conflict management • Lower Western ambitions and fewer troops • BRICS military involvement will remain limited

  7. Implications for humanitarian space? + Humanitarian organisations lesslikely to beasked to work as part of integratedapproaches

  8. Implications for civil-military cooperation ÷ Inadequate military presence and security (DRC) the norm  Humanitarian organisations must negotiate security and access

  9. Implications for humanitarian space Humantarian workers less targeted?

  10. Implications for humanitarian space Targeting driven by need and ideology (anti-West) in existential conflicts likely to fall Targeting driven by greed likely to remain

  11. Implications for humanitarian space ÷ Greater risk of future Syrias and Rwandas

More Related