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Planning Update. Prepared by Anthony A. Athens III Director of Planning September 10, 2007. Topics. Enrollment Housing & Land Use Boundary Planning. 2007-08 Total Enrollment. Today’s Enrollment: 61,807 October 2006 Enrollment: 61,006 Enrollment Growth: 801 ; 1.3%
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Planning Update Prepared by Anthony A. Athens IIIDirector of PlanningSeptember 10, 2007
Topics • Enrollment • Housing & Land Use • Boundary Planning
2007-08 Total Enrollment • Today’s Enrollment: 61,807 • October 2006 Enrollment: 61,006 • Enrollment Growth: 801 ; 1.3% • Projected October 2007 Enrollment: 63,081 • Difference: -1,274 ; -2.0%
Metrostudy • Physical Inspection of All Active Subdivisions Every Quarter • Methodology • Starts = Slab Poured • Closings = New Evidence of Habitation • Inventory = Model, Vacant, Under Construction • Vacant Developed Lot = Streets & Utilities In
SA Research • SA Research Has Extensive Experience Analyzing Local Land Use Trends • Has Been One Of NEISD’s Primary Sources Of Housing Data For Nearly Twenty Years • Anticipated Housing Growth Is A Primary Input For Enrollment Forecasting Models
Land Use • Intensive Effort to Map All Land Use North of Loop 1604,Using Many Data Sources • 2007 Bexar Appraisal District Parcel File • 2007 Bexar Metro 911 Street File • 2006 City of San Antonio Aerial Photography • All Subdivisions: Built-out, Active, Future • All Other Land Uses: • Apartments • Commercial • Governmental • Flood Plain • Etc. • By Elimination, Outlines Remaining Land With Development Potential
Classen Steubing Yates Schwab
Johnson High SchoolBoundary Planning Workflow • Housing Projections by SA Research Already Completed • Contractor Produced Enrollment Projections by Deskmap Systems Using Post-Labor Day Enrollment Underway, due by September 19 • In-House Produced Enrollment Projections Using Post-Labor Day Enrollment Underway • Upon Completion of Enrollment Projections, Attendance Boundary Analysis Will Proceed
Johnson High SchoolBoundary Planning Meetings • Superintendent’s Lunch Meetings • September 12, 11:30 am & September 25, 12:00 pm; NEEC • Informal Meetings With Stakeholders Identified byAll Principals North of 1604 • Meetings to Discuss Boundary Concerns • No Boundary Proposals Presented • Public Hearings • October 3 & 17, 7:30 pm, Reagan HS Auditorium • Dates Chosen to Minimize Conflicts With Other School Activities • Boundary Proposals Presented • Public Feedback Solicited
Johnson High SchoolBoundary Planning Meetings • Additional Public Hearing • November 7, 7:30 pm, Reagan HS Auditorium • Only If Needed • Board of Trustees Vote • We Anticipate Bringing A Recommendation to The Board of Trustees For Their Consideration At Their Regular Meeting on November 12
Other Boundaries • We May Examine Minor Refinements To Elementary and Middle School Boundaries • Any Needed Meetings Will Take Place After The First Of The Year