150 likes | 352 Views
The Futurist. Key Trends Shaping the Future Workplace. John Challenger September 2000. Resumes will be implanted in workers’ bodies. Jobs will demand information systems know-how. High Tech will relieve labor shortages. Technology. Demography. Women shatter the glass ceiling.
E N D
The Futurist Key Trends Shaping the Future Workplace John Challenger September 2000
Resumes will be implanted in workers’ bodies. Jobs will demand information systems know-how. High Tech will relieve labor shortages. Technology
Demography • Women shatter the glass ceiling. • End of single-sex jobs. • Boom in birthrate equals boom in opportunities. • Downsizing will breed teen entrepreneurship.
Demography Elder Care: Company benefit and business opportunity. • Wanted: Older mangers with previous long-term tenure. • Next: Retiree entrepreneurs.
Environment • U. S. work force geography will shift to sunbelt. • Telecommuting will drive U.S. productivity. • Corporate Hotels: Check in and go to work.
Economics • Higher education is key to factory jobs. • Business-school partnerships will battle illiteracy and basic job skills. • “Occupational Synthesis” breeds big salaries.
Economics • Retail stores: The dinosaur of the next century? • Internet losers lead surge in startups.
Government • City-Suburb cooperation for solving a human supply, demand crisis. • Stronger push for rights for the disabled.
Society • Culture diversifies: Goodbye Christmas? • Home and work fuse: Goodbye weekends? • The rise of the 24/7 worker. • New workplace problem: Isolation.
Roaring 2000s The Greatest Boom in History 1998 – 2009 Harry S. Dent
Generations Drive Economy Family spending cycles: • Age 26 – 47 families spend the most $. • Boom periods last 26-29 years followed by bust periods, 12-14 years, after the generation has peaked in its spending.
80-Year Economic Revolutions • Every 80 years, or every 2 generations, we see an economic revolution. • Generations swing back and forth between being more individualistic or being more conformist. • Major changes in technology.
Making Way for the New • “An old economy must die for a new one to emerge.” • Outmoded industries, products, services and business practices disappear. • School systems fail for lack of consensus as to how to prepare children for the world they will inherit.
Internet – 8 Critical Technology Trends • Vastly expanded computer power. (Voice and teleconferencing.) • Mass consumption of portable and home computers. • Computers evolve into simple, inexpensive appliances. • Microprocessor-embedded home appliances linked through the Internet. 15 to 1
Consumers rapidly move online. Mail order to email. Expansion of communications bandwidth. More power. Object-oriented programming for customized software. Icons, Java, digital agents. Increased computer literacy, due to an aging population. Internet – 8 Critical Technology Trends