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2014 World Cup Prediction

2014 World Cup Prediction. Jared Ness. World Cup Play. Consists of 32 international teams Must pass through 5 stages. http:// www.fifa.com / worldcup /teams/. Stages. Stage 1, groupings A-H of 4 teams. 4 teams play each other to gain points: 3 win, 1 draw, 0 loss

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2014 World Cup Prediction

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  1. 2014 World Cup Prediction Jared Ness

  2. World Cup Play • Consists of 32 international teams • Must pass through 5 stages http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/teams/

  3. Stages • Stage 1, groupings A-H of 4 teams. • 4 teams play each other to gain points: • 3 win, 1 draw, 0 loss • Stage 2-5 are single game elimination http://www.mlssoccer.com/

  4. MLP learning with BP • Will take data from the first stage of World Cup to predict the final stages outcomes. • For now will test out previous years World Cup stats to check authenticity http://bioinformatics.oxfordjournals.org/

  5. Inputs • 8 features based on team performance • Goals for, Shots, Shots on goal, fouls committed, corner kicks, direct free kicks to goal, indirect free kicks to goal, possession • Each input value in normalized based on team played based on equation: • yiA= xiA/(xiA+xiB) , yiB= xiB/(xiA+xiB) • Therefore y= 0 - 1

  6. Inputs • The averages of the first 3 games will be taken and used to compare for stage 2 • This will continue through each stage with each victorious team http://www.worldcupblog.org/

  7. Training • Based on first 3 games will take undefeated and winless teams data, set it to 1 and 0 respectively • Continue to run until smallest error occurs and then run stage 2 data • After stage 2 take undefeated data and train the program again. • This continues after each stage until there are no more undefeated teams

  8. Results • Pending • Will test accuracy on previous World Cups. http://travel.nationalgeographic.com/

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