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The British Household Panel Survey and its Scottish Extension. Nick Buck Institute for Social and Economic Research University of Essex. The BHPS and longitudinal research. BHPS supports a wide range of types of longitudinal research
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The British Household Panel Survey and its Scottish Extension Nick Buck Institute for Social and Economic Research University of Essex ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
The BHPS and longitudinal research • BHPS supports a wide range of types of longitudinal research • Analysis of gross (individual level) change – inflow and outflow measures (e.g. employment and family status) • Inherently longitudinal phenomena (eg unstable employment, poverty persistence). • Controlling for unobserved characteristics • Causal inferences from temporal sequence – both short term and long term • Relationships between attitudes, expectations, preferences and behaviour • Analysis of quasi-experiments – impacts of policy ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
What is a Household Panel Study? • Many types of longitudinal studies (e.g. cohort studies, individual level panels) • Household panel studies involve repeated data collection about a panel of individuals • They are distinctive in the context of their households, and usually interview all members of respondent households • Follow individuals as they move between different households • Short intervals between surveys, allows collection of ‘continuous’ information • Use Household panel where household context is important (e.g. demographics, income dynamics, employment participation) • Collects information on changing household units ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
The development of Household Panel Studies • Household Panel Studies have become the leading survey type for cross-national longitudinal research • Began with Panel Study of Income Dynamics in USA - analysis of poverty persistence 1968 • SOEP in Germany/ SEP in Netherlands 1984 • BHPS in GB 1991 - widening agenda • ECHP 1994 - cross national comparison (also CNEF) • Understanding of transition countries (Hungary, Bosnia) • Understanding of differences within nation states: East/West Germany, Scotland, Wales, NIHPS, NHPS ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
British Household Panel Survey • Annual survey of members of initial sample of 5511 households interviewed in autumn 1991 • Random sample representative of population of Great Britain (south of Caledonian canal) • Follow sample members as they move and form new households • Sample increased by births, new household members, • ... reduced by deaths, refusals, moves out of scope • Low attrition means the BHPS is still representative ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
BHPS topics • BHPS questionnaire consists of core questions repeated each year and variable components. Core questions cover the following areas: • Housing and consumption, neighbourhood characteristics • Household organisation, domestic work • Education and training • Labour market behaviour, current job, and annual job history • Health, limitation of activities, use of health services • Social and political values, social participation and networks • Income: current and annual measures, non-monetary indicators ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
Types of BHPS data • Initial conditions / life histories • Repeated annual measures • Continuous history information (work, income, family) • Irregular topics, collected from variable components (e.g. wealth, ageing etc.) • Permits a range of different statistical methods, including panel repeated measures models and duration models. • Data files contain weights for a range of analysis, imputation for item non-response, and a considerable number of derived variables. ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
Examples of Research Using BHPS • Poverty and income dynamics / impacts of family change • Welfare in old age and wealth accumulation over the life course • Impacts of class or human capital on life chances • Scarring effects of unemployment and poor quality jobs on later employment • Impacts of life events on psychological well-being • Choice between marriage and cohabitation • Neighbourhood effects on social exclusion • Sharing of political attitudes within the household • Impacts of parental circumstances on child outcomes ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
BHPS Scottish Extension sample • Extension sample, funded by ESRC, added in 1999 • 1500 households, added to 500 in original sample • Includes Highlands and Islands • New questions on national identity, attitudes to government structure • Tends to follow BHPS variable component pattern (e.g. Wealth at Wave 2); Wave 3 contains life histories • Four waves available very shortly, • Funded up to wave 5; ESRC is currently considering funding up to Wave 10. ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
Rationale for Scottish extension • Sample sizes large enough for independent analysis of panel research issues in Scotland • Comparative analysis - in what ways is Scotland different from England? Wider impacts of structural differences in e.g. housing and labour markets • Understanding impacts of changing governance of UK - impacts of diverging policy with Scottish Parliament. • With ECHP/other comparative data - understanding of Scotland within European Union. ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
Early findings from the Scottish sample • Collection of papers, originally presented at a conference organised by Scotecon, published later this year by Policy Press– e.g: • Living arrangements of young people • National identity and voting behaviour • Gender wage gap • Health and deprivation • Pay mobility • Teenage family life ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
Future prospects • Scottish BHPS is still a relatively short panel, but soon able to exploit some of the advantages of longer panels: • Period and cohort differences (has devolution made a difference?) • Analysis of longer spells and sequences of spells (poverty exit or poverty churning) • Life course changes and impacts of earlier life events, • Intergenerational influences ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
Future data plans: variable components • Wave 14 (2004) National identity, views of UK governance, additional health measures (SF36), and measures of work attitudes and work stress. • Wave 15 (2005) Wealth, Assets and Debts – second measurement in Scotland • Wave 16 (2006) Ageing, retirement, health, and quality of life • Wave 17 (2007) Children and parenting, non-resident parents, aspirations of young people • Wave 18 (2008) Neighbourhood, expectations of relationships and marriage in the future ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
Other issues for the future • Sample size, re-sampling • Representation of migrants to the population • Linkage to contextual data – neighbourhoods, organisations (e.g. school, workplace) – how do we dal with disclosure risks? • Linkage to individual administrative data • New agendas for data collection e.g. health measurement, crime and victimisation • New methods of data collection (e.g. web-surveys) ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre
More information • Documentation, including lists of publications based on BHPS available at http://www.iser.essex.ac.uk/ulsc/bhps • Also provides information on BHPS user group • Data from Economic and Social Data Service (Data Archive) http://www.esds.ac.uk • One day BHPS training course in Edinburgh on 29 March (via http://datalib.ed.ac.uk) ESRC UK Longitudinal Studies Centre